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 Post subject: Speed isn't speed...
PostPosted: Tue Dec 12, 2006 16:32 
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It's a constant and vital Safe Speed theme that 'speed' isn't a simple thing to measure and specify usefully. It's all to easy to think that 'speed is speed, and that's the end of it.' But of course we all know that's got us into a horrible mess.

Here's what I wrote in 2004

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The sort of speed that delivers safety on the roads is not the same sort of speed that we seek to measure in miles per hour. An assumption that these sorts of speed are similar is the most fundamental flaw underlying the entire concept of improving road safety with speed cameras.

We define these sorts of speed as follows:

Appropriate speed is a speed chosen by a driver as safe and appropriate for the immediate circumstances. We say that a driver uses “safe speed behaviour” as a mental process that enables him to set such appropriate speeds by reference to circumstances and the rule that he “should always be able to stop within the distance that he knows to be clear”. Failure to observe this rule always creates immediate danger.

Numerical speed is specified by speed limits and measured by speedometers. In most practical circumstances numerical speed cannot tell us anything at all about the degree of danger. Most of our towns are covered by a 30 mph speed limit, yet 30 mph is a deadly speed. If a driver chose to set his speed at 30 mph regardless of hazards ahead he would not last a day before he had an accident.


Since then I've been terming 'appropriate speed' as 'relative' and 'numerical speed' as 'absolute'. This terminology is useful to scientists and engineers, but seems to mean little to journalists or politicians.

I've just realised that we could also use the terms 'qualititative' and 'quantitative' in a similar way. But it's still awfully technical.

Get your thinking caps on chaps, and let's nail this vital point in a way that's obvious to everyone (or at least the smarter 50% of the population).

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 Post subject: Re: Speed isn't speed...
PostPosted: Tue Dec 12, 2006 16:53 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
Since then I've been terming 'appropriate speed' as 'relative' and 'numerical speed' as 'absolute'. This terminology is useful to scientists and engineers, but seems to mean little to journalists or politicians.

I've just realised that we could also use the terms 'qualititative' and 'quantitative' in a similar way. But it's still awfully technical.

Get your thinking caps on chaps, and let's nail this vital point in a way that's obvious to everyone (or at least the smarter 50% of the population).


but in the context of a vehicle..... the worst case relative speed is in relation to a stationary pedestrian..... or object.... which is the same as numerical.

perhaps appropriate speed is subjective, since numerical speed is clearly objective (i.e. can be absolutely measured/quantified).

(neither of which i confess are any better for journos)


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 Post subject: Re: Speed isn't speed...
PostPosted: Tue Dec 12, 2006 16:57 
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OK, I'll have a go..........

Your first definition should stick with appropriate. Everything we do when driving/riding has to be appropriate for the conditions. Where we look, where we position, what gear we're in and what speed we are going must all be appropriate.

The second is more tricky but I'm tempted towards reference.

I look at my speedo for reference - and that's the only reason I look at it. Depending on the road conditions, my perception of my actual speed can vary. A quick look down gives me a reference point.

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 Post subject: Re: Speed isn't speed...
PostPosted: Tue Dec 12, 2006 17:10 
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ed_m wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
Since then I've been terming 'appropriate speed' as 'relative' and 'numerical speed' as 'absolute'. This terminology is useful to scientists and engineers, but seems to mean little to journalists or politicians.

I've just realised that we could also use the terms 'qualititative' and 'quantitative' in a similar way. But it's still awfully technical.

Get your thinking caps on chaps, and let's nail this vital point in a way that's obvious to everyone (or at least the smarter 50% of the population).


but in the context of a vehicle..... the worst case relative speed is in relation to a stationary pedestrian..... or object.... which is the same as numerical.


No! No!

A pedestrian displaced sideways by 100 feet could safely be passed at 150mph.

A pedestrian displaced sideways by only six inches would force us to slow to under 5mph.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue Dec 12, 2006 18:14 
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The thing is that speed isn't important - no matter how you try to dress it up as "appropriate", "qualitative" , etc. It is space and time that matter.

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PostPosted: Tue Dec 12, 2006 19:10 
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Not sure how you can make more simple that you have.

Appropriate speed is.....appropriate speed.

I have difficulty with the term 'speeding' what does it mean?


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PostPosted: Tue Dec 12, 2006 20:12 
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I'm with Willcove on this. It is all about space and time. If you have the space and time you can be doing a huge numerical speed. Without knowing the space and time you cannot judge whether the speed is appropriate, you can only know its numerical value.

5mph with no space is catastrophic, ditto 5 mph with no time. It's too much of a metaphysical argument for the plebs to grasp as they are only interested in what their speedo says. Even the 50% if those that are bright wouldn't understand the significance, at least not without the right kind of prodding and the understanding you have to reference speed in terms of the context of whatever situation you are doing that speed in.


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 Post subject: Re: Speed isn't speed...
PostPosted: Tue Dec 12, 2006 20:17 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
ed_m wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
Since then I've been terming 'appropriate speed' as 'relative' and 'numerical speed' as 'absolute'. This terminology is useful to scientists and engineers, but seems to mean little to journalists or politicians.

I've just realised that we could also use the terms 'qualititative' and 'quantitative' in a similar way. But it's still awfully technical.

Get your thinking caps on chaps, and let's nail this vital point in a way that's obvious to everyone (or at least the smarter 50% of the population).


but in the context of a vehicle..... the worst case relative speed is in relation to a stationary pedestrian..... or object.... which is the same as numerical.


No! No!

A pedestrian displaced sideways by 100 feet could safely be passed at 150mph.

A pedestrian displaced sideways by only six inches would force us to slow to under 5mph.


hmmm ok then... relative velocity?


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue Dec 12, 2006 20:23 
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teabelly wrote:
I'm with Willcove on this. It is all about space and time. If you have the space and time you can be doing a huge numerical speed. Without knowing the space and time you cannot judge whether the speed is appropriate, you can only know its numerical value.

5mph with no space is catastrophic, ditto 5 mph with no time. It's too much of a metaphysical argument for the plebs to grasp as they are only interested in what their speedo says. Even the 50% if those that are bright wouldn't understand the significance, at least not without the right kind of prodding and the understanding you have to reference speed in terms of the context of whatever situation you are doing that speed in.


Yet the vast majority of 'the plebs' are capable of driving reasonably safely. To do that they MUST be making the safety judgements. Can't we 'connect' to what they know?

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed Dec 13, 2006 05:00 
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civil engineer wrote:
I have difficulty with the term 'speeding' what does it mean?


Almost always these days it means 'exceeding the speed limit', and I only ever use it with that definition.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed Dec 13, 2006 05:09 
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willcove wrote:
The thing is that speed isn't important - no matter how you try to dress it up as "appropriate", "qualitative" , etc. It is space and time that matter.


I'm by no means sure that I agree with you on that. It seems to me that speed and space need to be 'in balance'. They are highly interdependent, but as a driver I think I mostly make space by adjusting speed.

You might be suggesting that speed is only an agent used to make space, which tends to fit with my practice; but that still doesn't feel right.

But for risk control, I think I use something very much like Steve Haley's model: http://www.safespeed.org.uk/sss.html

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed Dec 13, 2006 09:55 
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I try to avoid the term 'speeding' but I reckon that when the brake lot refer to 'speeding' drivers I suspect they really mean travelling at a dangerous speed.....or an inappropriate speed. They've just not been educated to disconnnect that from adherence to the limit.

Maybe the gulf isn't as wide as we think?


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed Dec 13, 2006 11:05 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
willcove wrote:
The thing is that speed isn't important - no matter how you try to dress it up as "appropriate", "qualitative" , etc. It is space and time that matter.


I'm by no means sure that I agree with you on that. It seems to me that speed and space need to be 'in balance'. They are highly interdependent, but as a driver I think I mostly make space by adjusting speed.

Speed isn't a primary factor of safety. If it were, you'd keep safe by setting a particular speed and then adjusting other factors to maintain that speed. However, that doesn't happen - speed is the factor most commonly adjusted to maintain other things.

Now driving with COAST requires you to concentrate on your driving, observe what's going on around you, anticipate possible hazards and give yourself enough space and time to deal with hazards before they become problems. If you do that, you will drive safely. Note that "speed" doesn't appear anywhere in that list - and that's because if you drive with COAST you will automatically choose a safe speed at all times. IOW, speed is a dependent factor - and thus must be secondary to the determinant factors.

In my earlier post, I wrote that space and time are important - and that's because they are often interdependent. In many situations, you can trade time for space and vice versa. For example, when passing a row of parked cars on your left, you can give yourself both by moving further to the right. If you can't move over, then you have to buy yourself extra time by slowing down.

I suspect that the situations you're thinking of when speed and space need to be in balance is where you're adjusting both to give yourself enough time. In those circumstances, neither speed nor space are primary factors.

Whether time or space is more important depends on the circumstances. For example, with high hazard density, the most important factor is the time required to properly scan your surroundings. On a twisting, single-track country road, the most important factor is the space required for you and an oncoming vehicle to stop.

HTH,

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed Dec 13, 2006 12:18 
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civil engineer wrote:
...when the brake lot refer to 'speeding' drivers I suspect they really mean travelling at a dangerous speed....

Which in their case means "anything over 4mph"! :twisted:

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PostPosted: Wed Dec 13, 2006 14:27 
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Maybe but it's their perception of an appropriate speed.....is there a glimmer of hope?


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed Dec 13, 2006 18:19 
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willcove wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
willcove wrote:
The thing is that speed isn't important - no matter how you try to dress it up as "appropriate", "qualitative" , etc. It is space and time that matter.


I'm by no means sure that I agree with you on that. It seems to me that speed and space need to be 'in balance'. They are highly interdependent, but as a driver I think I mostly make space by adjusting speed.

Speed isn't a primary factor of safety.If it were, you'd keep safe by setting a particular speed and then adjusting other factors to maintain that speed. However, that doesn't happen - speed is the factor most commonly adjusted to maintain other things.

Now driving with COAST requires you to concentrate on your driving, observe what's going on around you, anticipate possible hazards and give yourself enough space and time to deal with hazards before they become problems. If you do that, you will drive safely. Note that "speed" doesn't appear anywhere in that list - and that's because if you drive with COAST you will automatically choose a safe speed at all times. IOW, speed is a dependent factor - and thus must be secondary to the determinant factors.

In my earlier post, I wrote that space and time are important - and that's because they are often interdependent. In many situations, you can trade time for space and vice versa. For example, when passing a row of parked cars on your left, you can give yourself both by moving further to the right. If you can't move over, then you have to buy yourself extra time by slowing down.

I suspect that the situations you're thinking of when speed and space need to be in balance is where you're adjusting both to give yourself enough time. In those circumstances, neither speed nor space are primary factors.

Whether time or space is more important depends on the circumstances. For example, with high hazard density, the most important factor is the time required to properly scan your surroundings. On a twisting, single-track country road, the most important factor is the space required for you and an oncoming vehicle to stop.

HTH,


For sake of argument, suppose we're driving with all our risks well controlled. If we spuriously accelerate hard then quite quickly we'll be experiencing substantially elevated danger due to speed.

Normally we use something akin to the safe speed rule to keep speed and space in balance.

Now the bit I've emboldened seems to be at the centre of this. You are refering to 'numerical speed'. Clearly that's no help - I agree. However, if instead we talk in terms of the appropriateness of a speed then surely it's a primary safety factor?

Or perhaps this helps - speed is an OUTPUT of the risk assessment process that underpins safe driving.

A few disconnected points, I know, but I'm trying to connect with the difference between the view you have expressed and my views.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed Dec 13, 2006 19:13 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
For sake of argument, suppose we're driving with all our risks well controlled. If we spuriously accelerate hard then quite quickly we'll be experiencing substantially elevated danger due to speed.

I'd say that we elevated the danger because we ignored the primary factors.

SafeSpeed wrote:
Normally we use something akin to the safe speed rule to keep speed and space in balance.

Actually, I use the safe speed rule only where it's on the "critical path". How fast I'm going (subject to remaining legal) often depends on how far I can see and how quickly I can complete my scan. I don't feel safe unless I can drive at least ten seconds ahead of myself (i.e. scan up to at least where I'll be in ten seconds). The Safe Speed rule(tm?) applies when conditions deny me that scanning range and/or I spot a hazard that reduces my "cleared safe area" (the region from which I've discounted all hazards). For example, on approach to a junction I make sure I can stop before that junction until I'm satisfied that no conflicting road users are going to pull out of or turn into it.

SafeSpeed wrote:
Or perhaps this helps - speed is an OUTPUT of the risk assessment process that underpins safe driving.

Yep, I will agree with that. Speed and road position are the outputs of the process and it is by manipulating those factors that we give ourselves enough time to spot and deal with hazards, and enough space to keep safe.

However, concentrating on the outputs of the risk assessment process is like putting the cart before the horse. IMO, we need to understand the inputs to that process and why they are important. For example, the safe speed rule doesn't mention speed and it makes perfect sense (Always ensure that you are able to stop comfortably on your own side of the road within the distance you know is clear and will remain clear). If we don't understand the inputs (the need to have enough time to properly observe and anticipate, the need to have enough space to take avoiding action before hazards become problems, etc.) the outputs can seem as arbitrary as speed limits themselves.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed Dec 13, 2006 19:25 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
Or perhaps this helps - speed is an OUTPUT of the risk assessment process that underpins safe driving.


That's close to what I was trying to express here and here

Quote:
I see COAST as the expression of a system for safe driving - a system that require an equilibrium to be maintained between (C)oncentration, (O)bservation and (A)nticipation (non-physical variables) on the one hand and (S)pace and (S)peed on the other hand (physical variables), in order to provide the (T)ime to react that is necessary for safe driving.

We can see that the "C", "O" and "A" inputs have qualitative and quantitiative components which are infinitely and constantly variable. For any given value of C + O + A, the physical variables, (S)pace and (S)peed, must be adjusted to maintain the equilibrium. Space and speed are interdependent - if there is less space, then speed must be reduced to maintain the equilibrium. If speed increases, more space must be found.

So C + O + A + [ (S)peed/(S)pace) ] = Time to react.



Quote:
(C)oncentration (somtimes also (C)ourtesy and (C)onsideration)
(O)bservation
(A)nticipation
(S)pace
(T)ime to react (sometimes also allowing adequate Time for journey etc)

It is an acronym for the critical components of safe driving (on public roads).

I like to see it as a logical process or system for safe driving where 'Concentration' and 'Observation' are the driver sensory inputs; 'Anticipation' is the driver sensory output, 'Space' is the driver physical output and 'Time to react' is the system output.


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed Dec 13, 2006 20:22 
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willcove wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
Or perhaps this helps - speed is an OUTPUT of the risk assessment process that underpins safe driving.

Yep, I will agree with that. Speed and road position are the outputs of the process and it is by manipulating those factors that we give ourselves enough time to spot and deal with hazards, and enough space to keep safe.


Yeah. NOW I understand what you mean. We agree, I think, except for the terms.

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PostPosted: Wed Dec 13, 2006 20:28 
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Observer wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
Or perhaps this helps - speed is an OUTPUT of the risk assessment process that underpins safe driving.


That's close to what I was trying to express here and here

Quote:
I see COAST as the expression of a system for safe driving - a system that require an equilibrium to be maintained between (C)oncentration, (O)bservation and (A)nticipation (non-physical variables) on the one hand and (S)pace and (S)peed on the other hand (physical variables), in order to provide the (T)ime to react that is necessary for safe driving.

We can see that the "C", "O" and "A" inputs have qualitative and quantitiative components which are infinitely and constantly variable. For any given value of C + O + A, the physical variables, (S)pace and (S)peed, must be adjusted to maintain the equilibrium. Space and speed are interdependent - if there is less space, then speed must be reduced to maintain the equilibrium. If speed increases, more space must be found.

So C + O + A + [ (S)peed/(S)pace) ] = Time to react.


I'm going off COAST. Risk management and responsibility are only weakly present.

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