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PostPosted: Mon Jun 15, 2009 18:42 
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Steve wrote:
GreenShed wrote:
3. Speed limits are generally set correctly within the confines of the speed limit values allowed.

Are they? Shall we ask motorway drivers?

GreenShed wrote:
Why then are they being reduced? Well for a start there is a problem with them being observed. Set a 60 mph limit and see the average or 85th percentile at 70 mph, set the same road to 50 mph speed limit and see that drop into the 50's or low 60's job done.

Wait a minute: say the limit is seemingly set needlessly low and people already disregard it, and then the limit is dropped further, don't you think yet more people would disregard the limit, and many of those who already did so would continue at their original pace hence exceeding it by a greater amount? Wouldn’t that make our roads an even more unpredictable place to be, twice over?

Dropping the limit purely as compensation against those who exceed it is tantamount to accepting the lowered limit can be exceeded. The disrespect for the limit is accepted and amplified by those who reduced them.

GreenShed wrote:
You may not like it but you have to look at the reasons for the lower limit and quite often it's because some drivers take the pi55 in the face of the limit and the public demand protection from that sort of atttude.

You mean the joyriders and boy racers who don't give a stuff about the limits anyway? This is what the public complain about (it's certainly what I whinge about), so is the right response to these to drop the limits further? Who demands protection from drivers doing 80 on a clear motorway?

Set limits to 1mph and you can bet most would exceed 11mph. Going the other way: if such limits were set to 100 mph, do you think (normal) drivers would do 110mph? You only need to drive on the derestricted autobahns to see that clearly isn't the case. It is clear your argument is overly simplistic.

GreenShed wrote:
A lower speed limit reduces the average in a step-change similar to the value of the limit change; a lower average speed reduces the number of KSI casualties.

So where should the line be drawn? Zero mph?
Besides, what you said isn't necessarily the case. We know the fastest roads have the best safety record [Using the RCGB2007 figures, motorways account for 5.6% of all fatalities and 3.7% of all KSI, even though they hold 19.5% of all traffic (net distance travelled) even with their higher speed limit]. Increasing the limit on these roads would displace traffic away from the more dangerous roads (which is why they are slower); or increasing the limit during non-busy periods would displace traffic away from busy periods. This is why the one-size-fits-all limit reductions, of one-size-fits-all limits, fail.

While it is tempting to answer each point I believe it is rather pointless to do so.
I drove about 900 motorway miles last week and wouldn't have been anywhere near getting a speeding ticket or exceeding the limit by a significant amount, more than 4 to 5 mph for instance. I am about to do another 700 or so this week, perhaps 1500 if another job comes up while I am out and I will do the same.
If the MWay limit is 70 mph then that 's the maximum; if you want to 80 mph tough it's 70. I can do it and feel no ill effects or desire to go faster; why don't you?
I would have no problem dropping a limit if I thought it was being exceded in an attempt to reduce average speeds to reduce casualties. It works so why not use it; it's the arrogant individuals who think they can ignore the limits in perceived safety that are to blame if this tactic is used. If it is...I only suggest it may.


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PostPosted: Mon Jun 15, 2009 19:05 
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Steve wrote:
...We know the fastest roads have the best safety record [Using the RCGB2007 figures, motorways account for 5.6% of all fatalities and 3.7% of all KSI, even though they hold 19.5% of all traffic (net distance travelled) even with their higher speed limit]. Increasing the limit on these roads would displace traffic away from the more dangerous roads (which is why they are slower); or increasing the limit during non-busy periods would displace traffic away from busy periods. This is why the one-size-fits-all limit reductions, of one-size-fits-all limits, fail.

Hang on...spoke too soon, I will address this point.
The dilution of the number of casualties on motorways is often hung on to say exactly this, they are the safest roads. Well that's nice, divide the number of casualties by miles driven and we get a great safety figure. While it is useful it doesn't show the roads are the places that have the least number of killed and serious injures by volume.
The opposite is true for a less populated road, the A683, a road in Cumbria gets featured in the worst roads in Europe every year as the rate of killed and serious casualties is massive compared to its use yet less than a handful are injured yearly. This is far from being the worst road but it's considered worse than the motorway where many 10's are killed or seriously injured every year, nowhere near as bad as some of the rural A roads for volume of casualties.
As the MWay and the A-roads are touted as being the safest because loads of people use them I suppose that's OK...I don't think.
Your sound-byte of the fastest roads are the safest is one of the grossest distortions you can perpetrate...keep it up, this is easy.


Last edited by GreenShed on Mon Jun 15, 2009 19:12, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 15, 2009 19:07 
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dcbwhaley wrote:
Greenshed? What do you consider to be the purpose of speed limits? Is it to protect drivers from the consequences of their own folly? Or to protect vulnerable road users from motor vehicles?

The main purpose is the latter but there is no reason why it can't be both...is there?


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PostPosted: Mon Jun 15, 2009 19:09 
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graball wrote:
Orrr....to raise money for the treasury.... ;-)

:roll: £120M in £120M out
It's raised it's spent.
You are convincing nobody with this. Give it up.


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PostPosted: Mon Jun 15, 2009 19:19 
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Quote:
graball wrote:

. Speed limits are generally set correctly within the confines of the speed limit values allowed. Why then are they being reduced? Well for a start there is a problem with them being observed. Set a 60 mph limit and see the average or 85th percentile at 70 mph, set the same road to 50 mph speed limit and see that drop into the 50's or low 60's job done.



That's not true! I have yet to see a report on any road where the 85% or mean speed was higher than the limit. Normally a NSL road will have a mean speed of approx 52 MPH.

I would challenge you to find me a report that says otherwise. We both know that the Dept for Transport guidelines say that the limit SHOULD NOT be set BELOW the mean speed. If a road has a mean speed of above 50MPH it should not be set BELOW it.


Really! I have seen loads of reports that put 85th and averages above the limit and above the speed enforcement thresholds.


Fine give us examples then because just like all camera partnership propaganda it just isn't true. If you can prove me wrong then I will stand down but I defy you to give areport showing a mean speed ABOVE the normal limit before it was dropped. You have access to these reports...give us just ONE other wise withdraw it as a LIE.

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My views do not represent Safespeed but those of a driver who has driven for 39 yrs, in all conditions, at all times of the day & night on every type of road and covered well over a million miles, so knows a bit about what makes for safety on the road,what is really dangerous and needs to be observed when driving and quite frankly, the speedo is way down on my list of things to observe to negotiate Britain's roads safely, but I don't expect some fool who sits behind a desk all day to appreciate that.


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PostPosted: Mon Jun 15, 2009 19:24 
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Quote:
y GreenShed on Mon Jun 15, 2009 5:33 pm

graball wrote:And while you are at it , Greenshed, perhaps you can answer the question which I've asked you before, as to why are speed limits being reduced against the advice of the police? (as in the case of Norfolk and Warwickshire)

It obviously has nothing to do with road safety, if the people who should know more about road safety than anybody are being ignored.


Why would the police be the authority on this subject? I am not saying they couldn't be but they may well not be. Are the police carrying out surveys and traffic engineering investigatoions; I would think not.




The traffic police have got to be the ONLY authority qaulified to know more about road safety than anyone else. Their officers travel the road and see incidents more than anyone else, far more than you do or any highway official sat in an office all day. What makes you think that you, or a highway officer sat in his office, knows more about road safety than people who are trained and use the roads constantly?

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My views do not represent Safespeed but those of a driver who has driven for 39 yrs, in all conditions, at all times of the day & night on every type of road and covered well over a million miles, so knows a bit about what makes for safety on the road,what is really dangerous and needs to be observed when driving and quite frankly, the speedo is way down on my list of things to observe to negotiate Britain's roads safely, but I don't expect some fool who sits behind a desk all day to appreciate that.


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PostPosted: Mon Jun 15, 2009 19:24 
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GreenShed wrote:
While it is tempting to answer each point I believe it is rather pointless to do so.

Someone who didn't have a logical counter would likely say the same.
If you feel this is pointless and can't give an appropriate response then there is no point your continuing to debate any of the issues I've raised.

GreenShed wrote:
If the MWay limit is 70 mph then that 's the maximum; if you want to 80 mph tough it's 70. I can do it and feel no ill effects or desire to go faster; why don't you?

We're all individuals, no two people are exactly alike. what makes you think everyone else also has the same opinion as you?
A great many feel that 70mph on a clear motorway (for example) is needlessly low. You may well not have any issue with 70mph even in all conditions; it's not like anyone is forcing you to drive faster than that, but a great many feel it is a needless restriction - it's not because they want to exceed the limit (remember, very few drivers set out to break a law). There is also the significant issue of fatigue, even with today's limits (need I repeat myself by asking if you need credible evidence of it?)

The simple fact is this obsession with making limits lower is nowhere near as simple as the anti-speed, pro-camera types would like to portray. There are many obvious confounding factors which even the non-experts can demonstrate.


GreenShed wrote:
I would have no problem dropping a limit if I thought it was being exceeded in an attempt to reduce average speeds to reduce casualties.

I realise this may well be a daft strawman, but by that logic you would have to accept the setting of limits to zero - or not use a car at all; afterall, even 4mph has killed. This is the problem with these overly simplistic arguments - pragmatism is never applied. Perhaps you would have realised this part of what I was getting at if you had properly replied to my response.

GreenShed wrote:
It works so why not use it;

Perhaps it works, but it's not the only solution; other methods can be more effective, much fairer and leads to greater respect of the law as well as the spirit of the law.
Some people say speed cameras work, but I say this policy and the misinformation surrounding it has deprived us all of a much better road safety policy (cost recovering trafpol, as well as the pragmatic approach to speed).

GreenShed wrote:
it's the arrogant individuals who think they can ignore the limits in perceived safety that are to blame if this tactic is used. If it is...I only suggest it may.

Like I already said: If the reason for a seemingly unreasonably low limit isn't obvious then that reason needs to be made obvious, otherwise the respect is eroded. Reducing the limit (instead of making drivers aware of the hazards, or engineering out those hazards) to compensate against those who exceed it is tantamount to accepting the lowered limit can be exceeded.

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 15, 2009 19:37 
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Quote:

* Report this post
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Re: Wish I had a camera to hand....

Postby GreenShed on Mon Jun 15, 2009 6:05 pm

Steve wrote: ...We know the fastest roads have the best safety record [Using the RCGB2007 figures, motorways account for 5.6% of all fatalities and 3.7% of all KSI, even though they hold 19.5% of all traffic (net distance travelled) even with their higher speed limit]. Increasing the limit on these roads would displace traffic away from the more dangerous roads (which is why they are slower); or increasing the limit during non-busy periods would displace traffic away from busy periods. This is why the one-size-fits-all limit reductions, of one-size-fits-all limits, fail.


Hang on...spoke too soon, I will address this point.
The dilution of the number of casualties on motorways is often hung on to say exactly this, they are the safest roads. Well that's nice, divide the number of casualties by miles driven and we get a great safety figure. While it is useful it doesn't show the roads are the places that have the least number of killed and serious injures by volume.
The opposite is true for a less populated road, the A683, a road in Cumbria gets featured in the worst roads in Europe every year as the rate of killed and serious casualties is massive compared to its use yet less than a handful are injured yearly. This is far from being the worst road but it's considered worse than the motorway where many 10's are killed or seriously injured every year, nowhere near as bad as some of the rural A roads for volume of casualties.
As the MWay and the A-roads are touted as being the safest because loads of people use them I suppose that's OK...I don't think.
Your sound-byte of the fastest roads are the safest is one of the grossest distortions you can perpetrate...keep it up, this is easy.


What you are saying amongst all this waffle is the A/mvkm is lowest on motorways than say the A683.

But doesn't that mean motorways are safer? THAT IS THE POINT of A/mvkm figures. The lower the figure,the SAFER the road.

No matter how much you wriggle and squirm on this one , you know you are WRONG.

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My views do not represent Safespeed but those of a driver who has driven for 39 yrs, in all conditions, at all times of the day & night on every type of road and covered well over a million miles, so knows a bit about what makes for safety on the road,what is really dangerous and needs to be observed when driving and quite frankly, the speedo is way down on my list of things to observe to negotiate Britain's roads safely, but I don't expect some fool who sits behind a desk all day to appreciate that.


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PostPosted: Mon Jun 15, 2009 19:37 
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GreenShed wrote:
Hang on...spoke too soon, I will address this point.
The dilution of the number of casualties on motorways is often hung on to say exactly this, they are the safest roads. Well that's nice, divide the number of casualties by miles driven and we get a great safety figure. While it is useful it doesn't show the roads are the places that have the least number of killed and serious injures by volume.

I thought it did. They hold 19% of all traffic by distance travelled, they suffer far less than that in terms of casualties – it follows that motorways are a safe type of road per distance driven (even with their high speeds); indeed they are the safest by that measure. What better exposure compensated, measure of safety is there?

As for your A683 example: I don’t think anyone should be relying upon simplistic N=1 type arguments.

GreenShed wrote:
As the MWay and the A-roads are touted as being the safest because loads of people use them I suppose that's OK...I don't think.

Well the way you put it is obviously a rubbish argument – there’s your ‘grossest distortion’ right there!
These are the safest roads due to a driver having the least risk of injury per unit distance driven, not because 'loads of people use them ' :roll: Please refrain from erroneously paraphrasing or misrepresenting statements.

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 15, 2009 19:38 
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GreenShed wrote:
dcbwhaley wrote:
Greenshed? What do you consider to be the purpose of speed limits? Is it to protect drivers from the consequences of their own folly? Or to protect vulnerable road users from motor vehicles?

The main purpose is the latter but there is no reason why it can't be both...is there?


There is no reason why it can't but there are good reasons why it shouldn't.

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 15, 2009 19:39 
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If you as a spokes person for camera partnerships cannot get your facts right without mistruths on these simple facts, how can the general public be expected to believe ANY of your propoganda?

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My views do not represent Safespeed but those of a driver who has driven for 39 yrs, in all conditions, at all times of the day & night on every type of road and covered well over a million miles, so knows a bit about what makes for safety on the road,what is really dangerous and needs to be observed when driving and quite frankly, the speedo is way down on my list of things to observe to negotiate Britain's roads safely, but I don't expect some fool who sits behind a desk all day to appreciate that.


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PostPosted: Mon Jun 15, 2009 19:43 
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dcbwhaley wrote:
Johnnytheboy wrote:
Oh well, no job in politics for me...


Oh but I think so. You certainly have the required ability to ignore facts.


Insults still don't explain your attempt to claim that you meant the same thing by saying:

Quote:
Why a traffic engineer? If we accept that accident occurrence and severity is related exponentially to speed then it follows that any speed above zero is dangerous. The amount of danger we are prepared to accept should be open to debate and decided by the community at large not by a self appointed "expert" .


and:

Quote:
I didn't say that the population at large should set the speed limit. I said that the population at large should debate the acceptable amount of risk and then allow professionals to set the limit to meet that degree of risk.


Gotta ask, does the "c" in your name stand for "Contradictory"?


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PostPosted: Mon Jun 15, 2009 19:47 
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Johnnytheboy wrote:
dcbwhaley wrote:
Johnnytheboy wrote:
Oh well, no job in politics for me...


Oh but I think so. You certainly have the required ability to ignore facts.

Not an insult, merely a statement of fact.

Quote:
Insults still don't explain your attempt to claim that you meant the same thing by saying:

Quote:
Why a traffic engineer? If we accept that accident occurrence and severity is related exponentially to speed then it follows that any speed above zero is dangerous. The amount of danger we are prepared to accept should be open to debate and decided by the community at large not by a self appointed "expert" .


and:

Quote:
I didn't say that the population at large should set the speed limit. I said that the population at large should debate the acceptable amount of risk and then allow professionals to set the limit to meet that degree of risk.


Statement 1: "The amount of danger we are prepared to accept should be open to debate and decided by the community at large"

Statement2: " The population at large should debate the acceptable amount of risk"

Not exactly a lot of difference in those statements though the first is a little prolix.

Quote:
Gotta ask, does the "c" in your name stand for "Contradictory"?


No. And I don';t have to ask but I will: do the last six letters in your user name refer to your mental age?

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 15, 2009 20:02 
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graball wrote:
Quote:
graball wrote:

. Speed limits are generally set correctly within the confines of the speed limit values allowed. Why then are they being reduced? Well for a start there is a problem with them being observed. Set a 60 mph limit and see the average or 85th percentile at 70 mph, set the same road to 50 mph speed limit and see that drop into the 50's or low 60's job done.



That's not true! I have yet to see a report on any road where the 85% or mean speed was higher than the limit. Normally a NSL road will have a mean speed of approx 52 MPH.

I would challenge you to find me a report that says otherwise. We both know that the Dept for Transport guidelines say that the limit SHOULD NOT be set BELOW the mean speed. If a road has a mean speed of above 50MPH it should not be set BELOW it.


Really! I have seen loads of reports that put 85th and averages above the limit and above the speed enforcement thresholds.


Fine give us examples then because just like all camera partnership propaganda it just isn't true. If you can prove me wrong then I will stand down but I defy you to give areport showing a mean speed ABOVE the normal limit before it was dropped. You have access to these reports...give us just ONE other wise withdraw it as a LIE.

I have seen plenty of them as stated; I don't have access or posses any so can't provide; maybe I will have to be put in the armchair class of commentator...ha ha.
Why when someone posts something that doesn't accord they are asked for references and proof yet those who do accord are requested no such trial by ordeal?
I won't withdraw what I have attested; if you think and maintain that I am proposing an untruth so be it.


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PostPosted: Mon Jun 15, 2009 20:05 
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graball wrote:
If you as a spokes person for camera partnerships cannot get your facts right without mistruths on these simple facts, how can the general public be expected to believe ANY of your propoganda?

If you are referring to me I have no responsibility for a Camera Partnership nor am I a spokes person for them or one of them. Perhaps you have mistaken me for someone else.


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PostPosted: Mon Jun 15, 2009 20:28 
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Well I can supply reports with mean speeds lower than the posted limit and in your lack of evidence against mine then I believe that the only thing you can do there is admit defeat and withdraw. Now how do you explain your A/mvkm mistake???

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 15, 2009 21:01 
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Quote:
GreenShed on Mon Jun 15, 2009 7:05 pm

graball wrote:If you as a spokes person for camera partnerships cannot get your facts right without mistruths on these simple facts, how can the general public be expected to believe ANY of your propoganda?


If you are referring to me I have no responsibility for a Camera Partnership nor am I a spokes person for them or one of them. Perhaps you have mistaken me for someone else.


Well you are obviously not fit to quote on road safety issues or speed limits ,if you are unable to get these basic facts right. I as a lay person know far more than you and can back my arguements up with facts.

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My views do not represent Safespeed but those of a driver who has driven for 39 yrs, in all conditions, at all times of the day & night on every type of road and covered well over a million miles, so knows a bit about what makes for safety on the road,what is really dangerous and needs to be observed when driving and quite frankly, the speedo is way down on my list of things to observe to negotiate Britain's roads safely, but I don't expect some fool who sits behind a desk all day to appreciate that.


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PostPosted: Mon Jun 15, 2009 21:10 
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graball wrote:
Well I can supply reports with mean speeds lower than the posted limit and in your lack of evidence against mine then I believe that the only thing you can do there is admit defeat and withdraw. Now how do you explain your A/mvkm mistake???

In your experience you have no evidence so nobody else can have seen what is dissimilar to yours, you seem to be a skeptic. That doesn't justify making claims someone is untruthful.
I have a full understanding of the A/mvkm method of accounting but I do not agree that it is useful in casualty reduction; it is only of use in transport infrastructure performance. It is being misused by this campaign to say that faster is safer and that isn't correct; it is your mistake and I have clearly said why.
A county that had over 25% of it's KSI casualties was on its fastest road, the motorway yet by the A/mvkm method it was showing as the best performing and safest but one road of less than 60 miles in thousands of miles was representing 25% of the deaths and serious injuries. Following the diluted statistics the volume of casualties could not and would not be addressed, the A/mvkm method was useless and meaningless for casualty reduction.
If you reduce all casualties on the A683, 2 or 3 a year, it moves the road from one of the worst in Europe to one of the best yet does society and road safety very little service that is worthwhile. Reduce the number of KSI's on a motorway from 120/year to 50/year and make no detectable difference to the A/mvkm figure and society is served well in the saving of death and suffering.
I can't see where the mistake is in that but I am willing to be convinced.


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PostPosted: Mon Jun 15, 2009 21:13 
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graball wrote:
Quote:
GreenShed on Mon Jun 15, 2009 7:05 pm

graball wrote:If you as a spokes person for camera partnerships cannot get your facts right without mistruths on these simple facts, how can the general public be expected to believe ANY of your propoganda?


If you are referring to me I have no responsibility for a Camera Partnership nor am I a spokes person for them or one of them. Perhaps you have mistaken me for someone else.


Well you are obviously not fit to quote on road safety issues or speed limits ,if you are unable to get these basic facts right. I as a lay person know far more than you and can back my arguements up with facts.

...or so you think!
How is it at the Flat Earth Society these days?


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PostPosted: Mon Jun 15, 2009 21:27 
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I can supply reports with data showing mean speeds to be lower than the limit ...you can't or won't supply reports showing mean speeds to be above the limit because none exist.

A/mvkms are used by the Dept for Transport in their 2006 guidelines for setting speed limits, WHY?, if in YOUR opinion they are "worthless".... do you know better than the Government?


Or are you the flat earth society...)

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My views do not represent Safespeed but those of a driver who has driven for 39 yrs, in all conditions, at all times of the day & night on every type of road and covered well over a million miles, so knows a bit about what makes for safety on the road,what is really dangerous and needs to be observed when driving and quite frankly, the speedo is way down on my list of things to observe to negotiate Britain's roads safely, but I don't expect some fool who sits behind a desk all day to appreciate that.


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