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PostPosted: Thu Dec 07, 2006 14:16 
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Sixy_the_red wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
These days it really isn't an issue for me. I've got far more important things to be concerned about than fighting for the right to drive faster than I need to. So I drive to the conditions, and stay within the limit. Of course, the needle strays over occasionally, but generally when I look at the speedo I find that my judgement is keeping me within the limit. I have never been distracted by having to be obsessed with speed.


BANG! Give that man a gold star!

This is why cameras are a bad thing! You're not doing anything wrong or danerous, but you still get nicked for it!


Perhaps I should have added that in almost 20 years of driving many thousands of miles, that admission has never resulted in me being done for speeding. Exactly what speeds are you talking about 'drifting' up to?


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 07, 2006 14:17 
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bad company wrote:
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Of course, the needle strays over occasionally


Which I have been saying on C+ - That's quiet an admission from you.


Why is it? I've never said anything that would counter it, and have never denied it.


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 07, 2006 14:22 
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Jub Jub wrote:
Or are you suggesting that is is normal for your speed to wander way over the limit?


Jub Jub previously wrote:
I got three points about 10 years ago for an SP30………..
Of course, the needle strays over occasionally


Jub Jub wrote:
Perhaps I should have added that in almost 20 years of driving many thousands of miles, that admission has never resulted in me being done for speeding.


Jub Jub wrote:
I'm yet to see a serious proposal for a blanket reduction of the 70mph limit, for example.

There was a recent one where the proposal was for all signs to mean kph and the NSL changed to 50mph.

Jub Jub wrote:
And so it also follows that if, for example, motorway limits were raised to 80mph, then exactly the same problem would occur, but at 10mph faster. Unless you teach yourself not to aim at the limit.

Ever driven in Germany? Many drivers don’t exceed 80mph on dry, clear unrestricted stretches.


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 07, 2006 14:26 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
No, none of the above.

Speed limits are a perfectly reasonable and useful small part of a road safety system. But the modern means of enforcement has promoted speed limits WAY beyond their level of competence.

The utimate objective of the Safe Speed campaign is to restore the policies that gave us the safest roads in the world in the first place. It isn't US who want to wander off into uncharted territory - it's the authorities who have, carelessly and recklessly wandered off.


In this post you have left reason and have withdrawn to opinion.


It's opinion based on evidence, analysis and experience. What else is there?

Jub Jub wrote:
What do you mean by the highlighted?


Try this... We all know that it's important that no one drives too fast. The government defines 'too fast' in terms of the posted speed limit. We (Safe Speed Campaign) define 'too fast' in terms of the conditions. The speed limit is actually no more and no less than a proxy for the desired objective. Official messages are focussed on the proxy and not on the desired behaviour. Since sticking to the speed limi won't keep you safe, that's wrong, wrong, wrong.


You've leapt a big canyon there. Keeping to the speed limit will keep you safer, as it keeps those who are unable to drive fast safely from doing so. Increasing driver education will enable those who can't drive safely within the posted speed limits to improve, and will keep us all safer. Removing speed cameras isn't even an issue in this scenario.


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 07, 2006 14:36 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
Ahh, well, I think you're close to the core of the problem there.

- Setting speed for legal compliance is always a conscious process.

- Setting speed for safety (operating a risk model) is always a subconscoius process in an experienced driver.

- Experienced and responsible drivers have FAR better things to do with limited conscious processing power than to worry about legal compliance.

- Overriding highly valuable subconscious risk assessment is unwise at best and downright dangerous at worst.


-agreed
-agreed.

-of course. And an experienced and responsible driver by definition does not need to worry about legal compliance, once he has accepted that it is there and made the decision to follow it. It is only a problem if he refuses to comply.

-Disagree. Unless you are suggesting that risk assessment and response is as easy at 70mph as is is at 40mph, which of course it isn't. This is where your argument starts to fall down, as you move away from generally agreed ideas, and into your own theories.


Risk assessment and response is usually easier at 70mph than 40mph. You're making the mistake of thinking that speed is an 'input' to the driving process, where in fact it's an 'output' from the driving process. You don't drive at 70mph or so on a motorway because it's permitted. You drive at 70mph or so on a motorway when it is safe to do so because you know it is safe to do so. 'Fast roads' are only fast roads when drivers assess them as being suitable to support that speed. When hazards threaten we slow down. When traffic stops we stop.


No I'm not. You're seeing things differently, and ignoring a crucial point. Speed is obviously a factor in response, in terms of time. And you are also incorrectly assuming that all hazards are predictable. They are not.


SafeSpeed wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
There is a base-layer requirement for a driving standard and awareness at any speed. Consider this to be a horizontal line on one of your charts. Subconscious risk assessment of these issues is always present. Above this line, speed is proportional to requirement for increased risk assessment, with the added factors that it brings.


The horizontal line is 'max safe speed' according to the conditions. This is the safety line. The speed limit line varies wildly either side of this safety limit. You're suggesting that an arbitrary legal limit (which is always wrong) is more important than an assessment of the conditions. Clearly it isn't.


No. You've got a different chart in your head to the one I have in mine. What I said is that there is a basic requirement in terms of awareness and assessment requirements, regardless of speed. Above that, speed is a factor, for the reason I have stated above.


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 07, 2006 14:37 
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Jub Jub wrote:
Perhaps I should have added that in almost 20 years of driving many thousands of miles, that admission has never resulted in me being done for speeding. Exactly what speeds are you talking about 'drifting' up to?


You tell me. I don't consider 'drifting up' by 5mph particularly significant if the conditions permit, and I CERTAINLY wouldn't think twice about exceeding the posted limit in order to overtake a slow moving vehicle if it allowed me to return to safety sooner.

I get the distict feeling that you're getting hung up on the basics without considering that driving has more to do with psycology than physics.

Lets take the argument discussed on C+ about the comparrison between an 'accident' at 30 and an 'accident' at 40. If the driver is doing 30 when conditions permit 40 then he will be bored and distracted and thus more likely to have an accident, yes? If he's travelling at 40 on the same road he may well not have the acccident at all because he's paying more attention and looking further ahead. If he's driving so close to parked cars that he can't see a child waiting to cross then he shouldn't even be doing 30!

Free travelling speed and impact speed are only directly related once you remove the psycological element. In reality there's so much more to it that talking in terms of physics is too simplified.

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 07, 2006 14:45 
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Jub Jub wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
No, none of the above.

Speed limits are a perfectly reasonable and useful small part of a road safety system. But the modern means of enforcement has promoted speed limits WAY beyond their level of competence.

The utimate objective of the Safe Speed campaign is to restore the policies that gave us the safest roads in the world in the first place. It isn't US who want to wander off into uncharted territory - it's the authorities who have, carelessly and recklessly wandered off.


In this post you have left reason and have withdrawn to opinion.


It's opinion based on evidence, analysis and experience. What else is there?

Jub Jub wrote:
What do you mean by the highlighted?


Try this... We all know that it's important that no one drives too fast. The government defines 'too fast' in terms of the posted speed limit. We (Safe Speed Campaign) define 'too fast' in terms of the conditions. The speed limit is actually no more and no less than a proxy for the desired objective. Official messages are focussed on the proxy and not on the desired behaviour. Since sticking to the speed limi won't keep you safe, that's wrong, wrong, wrong.


You've leapt a big canyon there. Keeping to the speed limit will keep you safer, as it keeps those who are unable to drive fast safely from doing so. Increasing driver education will enable those who can't drive safely within the posted speed limits to improve, and will keep us all safer. Removing speed cameras isn't even an issue in this scenario.


You're ignoring the side effects.

And don't forget that we're only here because the results have been very bad indeed. We're just coming up to 10,000 unexpected accumulated road deaths. TRL629 says that can only be because 'drivers are getting worse'. - around 3 years after I warned that drivers were getting worse under the influence of bad policy.

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 07, 2006 14:48 
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smeggy wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
Or are you suggesting that is is normal for your speed to wander way over the limit?

Jub Jub previously wrote:
I got three points about 10 years ago for an SP30………..
Of course, the needle strays over occasionally

Jub Jub wrote:
Perhaps I should have added that in almost 20 years of driving many thousands of miles, that admission has never resulted in me being done for speeding.


I got the SP30 from deliberately speeding, not from drifting over the speed limit. While annoying, I was doing what I shouldn't have been and accepted the punishment. As I said a couple of posts ago, those days are gone. My assertion above still stands.


smeggy wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
I'm yet to see a serious proposal for a blanket reduction of the 70mph limit, for example.

There was a recent one where the proposal was for all signs to mean kph and the NSL changed to 50mph.

I said serious. I don't think you need to worry about that one going through.

smeggy wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
And so it also follows that if, for example, motorway limits were raised to 80mph, then exactly the same problem would occur, but at 10mph faster. Unless you teach yourself not to aim at the limit.

Ever driven in Germany? Many drivers don’t exceed 80mph on dry, clear unrestricted stretches.


And what are the limits on these roads? Why should they drive any faster than that? Your underlying view is emerging here.


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 07, 2006 14:58 
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Sixy_the_red wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
Perhaps I should have added that in almost 20 years of driving many thousands of miles, that admission has never resulted in me being done for speeding. Exactly what speeds are you talking about 'drifting' up to?


You tell me. I don't consider 'drifting up' by 5mph particularly significant if the conditions permit, and I CERTAINLY wouldn't think twice about exceeding the posted limit in order to overtake a slow moving vehicle if it allowed me to return to safety sooner.


So you're not actually talking about accidentally drifting over the limit. What you are really unhappy about is being punished for deliberately breaking the speed limit. Two different issues.

Sixy_the_red wrote:
Lets take the argument discussed on C+ about the comparrison between an 'accident' at 30 and an 'accident' at 40. If the driver is doing 30 when conditions permit 40 then he will be bored and distracted and thus more likely to have an accident, yes? If he's travelling at 40 on the same road he may well not have the acccident at all because he's paying more attention and looking further ahead. If he's driving so close to parked cars that he can't see a child waiting to cross then he shouldn't even be doing 30!

Free travelling speed and impact speed are only directly related once you remove the psycological element. In reality there's so much more to it that talking in terms of physics is too simplified.


You've got it backwards. Aside from incorrectly assuming that children never leap out into the road, you are ignoring the basic physics, as has been described in either this post or that (I can't remember now).

Yes, what is going on in the driver's mind is important, but speed is also important. You can't discount either, so they will always both be a factor in impact speed.

Look at the crash test dummies. Devoid of any psychological elements, they do more damage driving at 40 than 30.


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 07, 2006 14:59 
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Jub Jub wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
Ahh, well, I think you're close to the core of the problem there.

- Setting speed for legal compliance is always a conscious process.

- Setting speed for safety (operating a risk model) is always a subconscoius process in an experienced driver.

- Experienced and responsible drivers have FAR better things to do with limited conscious processing power than to worry about legal compliance.

- Overriding highly valuable subconscious risk assessment is unwise at best and downright dangerous at worst.


-agreed
-agreed.

-of course. And an experienced and responsible driver by definition does not need to worry about legal compliance, once he has accepted that it is there and made the decision to follow it. It is only a problem if he refuses to comply.

-Disagree. Unless you are suggesting that risk assessment and response is as easy at 70mph as is is at 40mph, which of course it isn't. This is where your argument starts to fall down, as you move away from generally agreed ideas, and into your own theories.


Risk assessment and response is usually easier at 70mph than 40mph. You're making the mistake of thinking that speed is an 'input' to the driving process, where in fact it's an 'output' from the driving process. You don't drive at 70mph or so on a motorway because it's permitted. You drive at 70mph or so on a motorway when it is safe to do so because you know it is safe to do so. 'Fast roads' are only fast roads when drivers assess them as being suitable to support that speed. When hazards threaten we slow down. When traffic stops we stop.


No I'm not. You're seeing things differently, and ignoring a crucial point. Speed is obviously a factor in response, in terms of time. And you are also incorrectly assuming that all hazards are predictable. They are not.


It's not me that's ignoring anything. Read it again, and if you still think I'm ignoring a crucial point, then tell me exactly what it is.

99.9% of hazards (at least!) are entirely predictable. But far more important than that, the vast majority of real world crashes that are killing and injuring don't involve these theoretical unpredictable hazards.

This 'model' that crashes happen when something 'suddenly' happens is more-or-less false. Things only happen 'suddenly' when drivers fail to observe or anticipate them. For experienced drivers this becomes rare.

Jub Jub wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
There is a base-layer requirement for a driving standard and awareness at any speed. Consider this to be a horizontal line on one of your charts. Subconscious risk assessment of these issues is always present. Above this line, speed is proportional to requirement for increased risk assessment, with the added factors that it brings.


The horizontal line is 'max safe speed' according to the conditions. This is the safety line. The speed limit line varies wildly either side of this safety limit. You're suggesting that an arbitrary legal limit (which is always wrong) is more important than an assessment of the conditions. Clearly it isn't.


No. You've got a different chart in your head to the one I have in mine. What I said is that there is a basic requirement in terms of awareness and assessment requirements, regardless of speed. Above that, speed is a factor, for the reason I have stated above.


Yeah. Mine is labelled 'safety'. Yours is marked 'legality'. Mine is calibrated in terms of 'relative', 'appropriate speed'. Yours is calibrated in terms of 'absolute', 'legal' speed. I'll take mine any day of the week, thanks! :)

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 07, 2006 15:03 
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Smeggy is talking about unrestricted sections of Autobahn where the guideline limit (130kmh = 81mph) is only a recommendation, but there is no enforced speed limit. Motorists in such sections go at the speed they are most comfortable with, and because they are fully aware that others are allowed to go at significantly higher speeds, they also drive with a lot more consideration and lane dicipline.

Most drivers will continue at the 130kmh guideline speed, while others will exploit the lifting of restrictions and drive at 200khm or higher. The safety records on such roads are very good and better than the fully limieted roads in many other countries,

http://gettingaroundgermany.home.att.net/autobahn.htm


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 07, 2006 15:05 
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Jub Jub wrote:
Sixy_the_red wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
Perhaps I should have added that in almost 20 years of driving many thousands of miles, that admission has never resulted in me being done for speeding. Exactly what speeds are you talking about 'drifting' up to?


You tell me. I don't consider 'drifting up' by 5mph particularly significant if the conditions permit, and I CERTAINLY wouldn't think twice about exceeding the posted limit in order to overtake a slow moving vehicle if it allowed me to return to safety sooner.


So you're not actually talking about accidentally drifting over the limit. What you are really unhappy about is being punished for deliberately breaking the speed limit. Two different issues.


No I'm not.

I take it you've never driven a turbo diesel?

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 07, 2006 15:07 
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Sixy_the_red wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
Sixy_the_red wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
Perhaps I should have added that in almost 20 years of driving many thousands of miles, that admission has never resulted in me being done for speeding. Exactly what speeds are you talking about 'drifting' up to?


You tell me. I don't consider 'drifting up' by 5mph particularly significant if the conditions permit, and I CERTAINLY wouldn't think twice about exceeding the posted limit in order to overtake a slow moving vehicle if it allowed me to return to safety sooner.


So you're not actually talking about accidentally drifting over the limit. What you are really unhappy about is being punished for deliberately breaking the speed limit. Two different issues.


No I'm not.

I take it you've never driven a turbo diesel?


Yup. What has that got to do with having to break the speed limit?


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 07, 2006 15:14 
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Jub Jub wrote:
Sixy_the_red wrote:
Lets take the argument discussed on C+ about the comparrison between an 'accident' at 30 and an 'accident' at 40. If the driver is doing 30 when conditions permit 40 then he will be bored and distracted and thus more likely to have an accident, yes? If he's travelling at 40 on the same road he may well not have the acccident at all because he's paying more attention and looking further ahead. If he's driving so close to parked cars that he can't see a child waiting to cross then he shouldn't even be doing 30!

Free travelling speed and impact speed are only directly related once you remove the psycological element. In reality there's so much more to it that talking in terms of physics is too simplified.


You've got it backwards. Aside from incorrectly assuming that children never leap out into the road, you are ignoring the basic physics, as has been described in either this post or that (I can't remember now).

Yes, what is going on in the driver's mind is important, but speed is also important. You can't discount either, so they will always both be a factor in impact speed.

Look at the crash test dummies. Devoid of any psychological elements, they do more damage driving at 40 than 30.


You seem to have a massive blind spot here, and I'm wondering about how to help. I'll already given you reasonable reference material, but as far as I can tell you don't understand it. There's no room for doubt about the point, so I'm more than happy to help you see it.

The potential danger in road transport is massive. At any given moment there's enough kinetic energy in moving vehicles to kill the entire population of the country over and over again. But this energy only gets released in crashes. Most of the time we're not crashing, but more than that, the process of driving is one of active crash avoidance. If every driver shut their eyes for just 20 seconds the resulting carnage would be unimaginable. That's what happens when you inhibit the psychology and unleash the physics.

By comparison, the practical danger in road transport is tiny. Very few journeys end in crashes and 1,000 times fewer end in deaths.

It's the psychology that tames the physics and keeps us safe.

Now try this again:

Image

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 07, 2006 15:14 
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Well, if you've driven a TD for any amount of time then you should understand how the speed can creep up even with a constant throttle position, as the pressure in the turbo gradually builds.

At no point did I say you HAD to break the limit. I think we're talking about too different things. I'm not talking about DELIBERATELY breaking the limit, I'm talking about speed increasing very gradually over time (virtually IMPOSIBLE to notice) whilst attention is focussed elsewhere.

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 07, 2006 15:16 
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Paul

Making up a new graph so to completely ignore what I am trying to say doesn't help. I have been going to great pains to understand some of the admittedly confusing information you come out with. And now you are assuming more statistics. 99.9% (at least)??

Are you denying that reaction times do not increase at the same rate as speed?

It was said on here earlier that people don't drive at the speed limits because it is safe to do so, but because it is permitted. You have now just said the complete opposite.

People drive at 70 because that is the limit. Whether or not they are capable drivers. Taking evasive action at 70 is more risky than doing so at 30.

SafeSpeed wrote:
This 'model' that crashes happen when something 'suddenly' happens is more-or-less false. Things only happen 'suddenly' when drivers fail to observe or anticipate them. For experienced drivers this becomes rare.


Are these the same experienced drivers that are not capable of driving safely past a speed camera?

I feel we are beginning to go round in circles.

And while I'm here, before having to go off for a bit, could you please answer the reasonable question (asked 'elsewhere') as to the origin of the SafeSpeed pages that supposedly came from this site? You know which ones I mean. Were you or were you not the author?


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 07, 2006 15:18 
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Sixy_the_red wrote:
Well, if you've driven a TD for any amount of time then you should understand how the speed can creep up even with a constant throttle position, as the pressure in the turbo gradually builds.

At no point did I say you HAD to break the limit. I think we're talking about too different things. I'm not talking about DELIBERATELY breaking the limit, I'm talking about speed increasing very gradually over time (virtually IMPOSIBLE to notice) whilst attention is focussed elsewhere.


I thought you posted that you deliberately break the speed limit in order to overtake?


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 07, 2006 15:22 
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Oh Paul.

A car hits a wall at 40mph. A car hits a wall at 30mph. There is a difference in damage.

Please tell me where this is wrong. Without going on about psychology. I am fully aware of what you are saying, but regardless of the amount of brain processing that is responsible for damage. You are trying to discount the one by going on about the other. Neither is mutually exclusive.


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 07, 2006 15:32 
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Jub Jub wrote:
Oh Paul.

A car hits a wall at 40mph. A car hits a wall at 30mph. There is a difference in damage.

Please tell me where this is wrong. Without going on about psychology. I am fully aware of what you are saying, but regardless of the amount of brain processing that is responsible for damage. You are trying to discount the one by going on about the other. Neither is mutually exclusive.


Think man! (getting frustrated now!)

Which is more important? The physics or the psychology? How much more important?

Or ask Dr Ladyman who said very recently:

"Because we must always remember that road safety is driven by, above all else, human behaviour."

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 07, 2006 15:46 
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Hello. Been watching from the sidelines for a while.

Just thought I would put my twopennorth in: is this the same speech from Ladyman here where he says that speed cameras are a great success?


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