Pete317 wrote:
Smeggy, with respect, that would only be true if pedestrians constantly ran out in front of you. In reality, it's a very rare occurrence - it's only happened to me twice in 35+ years of driving (neither of them were hit) so it's nonsense to suggest that had I been at a different place at the time that I could have hit someone else. The odds against that are truly astronomical.
It doesn't matter. You still have to consider the relative portion of those not hit.
All you've done is cherry pick case(s) which had only the one outcome, then changed a variable to get a different outcome, then draw a conclusion from that. To do this properly, you also have to consider the relatively extremely larger group of those who not hit and see how many of those become unfortunate enough to get hit.
Think of it another way: if everyone left 1 second later (travelling at exactly the same speed) then those who would have been hit would be spared, so why don't we leave 10 minutes later to spare 600 times more people; in fact why don't we leave really, really late and save
everyone ........ it doesn't work does it. Statistically, the same number of people (nationally) will still be hit (give or take some fluctuation).
Pete317 wrote:
My risk, or lack of, in no way affects the risk of the next person.
That’s correct, but in this case the risk posed to one is dependent on the risk posed to another.