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PostPosted: Sat Aug 29, 2009 18:00 
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GreenShed wrote:
There are KSI Collisions
There are KSI Casualties



That make no sense if KSI - KILLED?SERIOUSLY INJURED.


Logically the KSI in the collision would be the KSI casualty from that collision. :popcorn:


It almost sound like you count twice here? :? :?


Greenshed wrote:
Casualties refer to the human cost in a collision and are what road safety organisations are measured upon.

You can have an increase in collisions and a reduction in casualties; this is common on roads that become congested. Loads of slow speed collisions with little or no casualties at all.


They do not figure in the stats as they are not counted. (I have a Swiss article which comment on this at a tight bend - notorious for accidents :popcorn: I summarised in English. Do not Google translate it .. it waffle on about cockroaches at one point :roll:)


Slow speed collisions with no injuries cannot be called KSI collisions :popcorn:

Greenshed wrote:
Increase the speed and free flowing traffic on single carriageway 2-way roads and casualties will increase greatly for a relatively small increase in collisions. The reason is pretty obvious.


Plenty of roads have not one accident und no cams. Und NSL limit :popcorn: I recall Kevin Delaney (Once Cop ,, then AA spokeman .. now IAM spokesman) commenting on a Radio 4 show that a speed cam on the A40 was erected after 4 died ar scene. Stolen car. All young. No accident before .. none since. It does not then follow that cars will drive into each other at 40 -60 mph by default. There are still - believe it or not - :wink: plenty of these roads still in UK with no history of tragedy nor any mobile or other speed trap. :popcorn:

Greenshed wrote:
You and your friends keep mentioning the 5% collision figure that have speed as a contributory factor and say it is a relatively low percentage to be bothering with yet that low percentage of collisions contribute greatly to the number of casualties in those collisions.



You could argue that 4 in that lad's car und the 5 injured in the stolen Merc (which killed two other innocent women in Bradford this week per BBC) are huge casualties in this 5% figure. Stolen car. Unlicenced. These "thug-riders" injure themselves und others - but their accidents are nearly always in this 5% figure. They are almost always crowding in for the "lark of riding in a stolen car" :banghead: - thus you can argue that a high number die .. in this 5%. But they are not the type who would respect a speed cam anymore than they respect the police in the police cars who try - een put themselves at great risk to reign in these young fools :banghead:

So .. HOW do you educate und reach these kids who feature predominantly in this 5% figure? Alll very well to waffle on about the casualties but we need to examine why the speed only kill und why so many. MOST of these are kids on red mist who TWOCCED the car. :roll:

Greenshed wrote:
It is for that reason that speed management is worthwhile and the reduction in speed at impact for whatever the cause of that impact will have a massive mitigating effect on the casualty outcome...just for you...it will decrease.

You seem to be concentrating on me responding to your insignificant points when they are of no consequence to what I have been trying to explain, rather pointlessly it would seem, why repeating the 5% collision sound-byte is misuse of the figures. It may not be deliberate misuse as it would seem you "know not what you do!"

Now read what I posted above very slowly and think very carefully and you may, just may, follow what is being said.



Now I suggest you read carefully Steve. Those figures in the 5% are more than likely to be the kids who crowd into a car und die in cloud of red mist as evidenced by Kevin Delaney in BBC interview which we did record at the time as we are "right geeks at times!" :wink:

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PostPosted: Sat Aug 29, 2009 18:11 
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GreenShed wrote:
Steve wrote:
...The speed is a contributory factor, i.e. it is (statistically) one of several factors that lead to the collision. Take away one of these other factors and the crash may not have happened (even if the excessive speed remains); consider driving under the influence which itself leads to poor hazard perception and/or evasion.
I don't doubt a few of this set are caused solely by exceeding the speed limit...

...and equally take away speed as a contributory factor leaving in the rest and the accident may not have happened.


Hang on!

Wouldn't that make it the major factor?


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PostPosted: Sat Aug 29, 2009 18:47 
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Although I try my best to stick to the speed limit for the road that I'm using, i find that sometimes i'm going over by a couple of miles not intentionally but because the car just pick up speed along the way and i can't constantly check what speed i'm doing. So does that make me a bad driver?

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PostPosted: Sat Aug 29, 2009 19:29 
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WildCat wrote:
GreenShed wrote:
There are KSI Collisions
There are KSI Casualties



That make no sense if KSI - KILLED?SERIOUSLY INJURED.


Logically the KSI in the collision would be the KSI casualty from that collision. :popcorn:


It almost sound like you count twice here? :? :?


Greenshed wrote:
Casualties refer to the human cost in a collision and are what road safety organisations are measured upon.

You can have an increase in collisions and a reduction in casualties; this is common on roads that become congested. Loads of slow speed collisions with little or no casualties at all.


They do not figure in the stats as they are not counted. (I have a Swiss article which comment on this at a tight bend - notorious for accidents :popcorn: I summarised in English. Do not Google translate it .. it waffle on about cockroaches at one point :roll:)


Slow speed collisions with no injuries cannot be called KSI collisions :popcorn:

Greenshed wrote:
Increase the speed and free flowing traffic on single carriageway 2-way roads and casualties will increase greatly for a relatively small increase in collisions. The reason is pretty obvious.


Plenty of roads have not one accident und no cams. Und NSL limit :popcorn: I recall Kevin Delaney (Once Cop ,, then AA spokeman .. now IAM spokesman) commenting on a Radio 4 show that a speed cam on the A40 was erected after 4 died ar scene. Stolen car. All young. No accident before .. none since. It does not then follow that cars will drive into each other at 40 -60 mph by default. There are still - believe it or not - :wink: plenty of these roads still in UK with no history of tragedy nor any mobile or other speed trap. :popcorn:

Greenshed wrote:
You and your friends keep mentioning the 5% collision figure that have speed as a contributory factor and say it is a relatively low percentage to be bothering with yet that low percentage of collisions contribute greatly to the number of casualties in those collisions.



You could argue that 4 in that lad's car und the 5 injured in the stolen Merc (which killed two other innocent women in Bradford this week per BBC) are huge casualties in this 5% figure. Stolen car. Unlicenced. These "thug-riders" injure themselves und others - but their accidents are nearly always in this 5% figure. They are almost always crowding in for the "lark of riding in a stolen car" :banghead: - thus you can argue that a high number die .. in this 5%. But they are not the type who would respect a speed cam anymore than they respect the police in the police cars who try - een put themselves at great risk to reign in these young fools :banghead:

So .. HOW do you educate und reach these kids who feature predominantly in this 5% figure? Alll very well to waffle on about the casualties but we need to examine why the speed only kill und why so many. MOST of these are kids on red mist who TWOCCED the car. :roll:

Greenshed wrote:
It is for that reason that speed management is worthwhile and the reduction in speed at impact for whatever the cause of that impact will have a massive mitigating effect on the casualty outcome...just for you...it will decrease.

You seem to be concentrating on me responding to your insignificant points when they are of no consequence to what I have been trying to explain, rather pointlessly it would seem, why repeating the 5% collision sound-byte is misuse of the figures. It may not be deliberate misuse as it would seem you "know not what you do!"

Now read what I posted above very slowly and think very carefully and you may, just may, follow what is being said.



Now I suggest you read carefully Steve. Those figures in the 5% are more than likely to be the kids who crowd into a car und die in cloud of red mist as evidenced by Kevin Delaney in BBC interview which we did record at the time as we are "right geeks at times!" :wink:

I find it hard to believe we are at this point after all of these years.

KSI means Killed or Seriously Injured

You can have a collision in which people are Killed or Seriously Injured - This is a KSI COLLISION

The people in the KSI COLLISION are CASUALTIES

One KSI COLLISION can have 1 or 100 CASUALTIES.

are you still following? ....then I will continue.

Slow speed collisions that have no KSI casualties are called Slight Injury Collisions with Slight casualties or Damage Only Collisions and they too are counted in police records and hence in the records held by DfT.

Now if you have been in forum discourse for 6 years and you have still to appreciate the very basics of road traffic collision and casualty terminology the safespeed campaign is in a pretty poor state and it is a tragedy that the UK media are turning to its officials and moderators for comments. It is very evident even in this one thread that the level of knowledge is less than elementary and is no better than pub talk. Perhaps the media should be made aware of this. After Thursday's rejection on the breakfast show I do believe they are already well aware of the tired old sound-bytes you keep repeating.


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PostPosted: Sat Aug 29, 2009 20:41 
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GreenShed wrote:
WildCat wrote:
GreenShed wrote:
There are KSI Collisions
There are KSI Casualties



That make no sense if KSI - KILLED?SERIOUSLY INJURED.


Logically the KSI in the collision would be the KSI casualty from that collision. :popcorn:


It almost sound like you count twice here? :? :?


Greenshed wrote:
Casualties refer to the human cost in a collision and are what road safety organisations are measured upon.

You can have an increase in collisions and a reduction in casualties; this is common on roads that become congested. Loads of slow speed collisions with little or no casualties at all.


They do not figure in the stats as they are not counted. (I have a Swiss article which comment on this at a tight bend - notorious for accidents :popcorn: I summarised in English. Do not Google translate it .. it waffle on about cockroaches at one point :roll:)


Slow speed collisions with no injuries cannot be called KSI collisions :popcorn:

Greenshed wrote:
Increase the speed and free flowing traffic on single carriageway 2-way roads and casualties will increase greatly for a relatively small increase in collisions. The reason is pretty obvious.


Plenty of roads have not one accident und no cams. Und NSL limit :popcorn: I recall Kevin Delaney (Once Cop ,, then AA spokeman .. now IAM spokesman) commenting on a Radio 4 show that a speed cam on the A40 was erected after 4 died ar scene. Stolen car. All young. No accident before .. none since. It does not then follow that cars will drive into each other at 40 -60 mph by default. There are still - believe it or not - :wink: plenty of these roads still in UK with no history of tragedy nor any mobile or other speed trap. :popcorn:

Greenshed wrote:
You and your friends keep mentioning the 5% collision figure that have speed as a contributory factor and say it is a relatively low percentage to be bothering with yet that low percentage of collisions contribute greatly to the number of casualties in those collisions.



You could argue that 4 in that lad's car und the 5 injured in the stolen Merc (which killed two other innocent women in Bradford this week per BBC) are huge casualties in this 5% figure. Stolen car. Unlicenced. These "thug-riders" injure themselves und others - but their accidents are nearly always in this 5% figure. They are almost always crowding in for the "lark of riding in a stolen car" :banghead: - thus you can argue that a high number die .. in this 5%. But they are not the type who would respect a speed cam anymore than they respect the police in the police cars who try - een put themselves at great risk to reign in these young fools :banghead:

So .. HOW do you educate und reach these kids who feature predominantly in this 5% figure? Alll very well to waffle on about the casualties but we need to examine why the speed only kill und why so many. MOST of these are kids on red mist who TWOCCED the car. :roll:

Greenshed wrote:
It is for that reason that speed management is worthwhile and the reduction in speed at impact for whatever the cause of that impact will have a massive mitigating effect on the casualty outcome...just for you...it will decrease.

You seem to be concentrating on me responding to your insignificant points when they are of no consequence to what I have been trying to explain, rather pointlessly it would seem, why repeating the 5% collision sound-byte is misuse of the figures. It may not be deliberate misuse as it would seem you "know not what you do!"

Now read what I posted above very slowly and think very carefully and you may, just may, follow what is being said.



Now I suggest you read carefully Steve. Those figures in the 5% are more than likely to be the kids who crowd into a car und die in cloud of red mist as evidenced by Kevin Delaney in BBC interview which we did record at the time as we are "right geeks at times!" :wink:

I find it hard to believe we are at this point after all of these years.

KSI means Killed or Seriously Injured

You can have a collision in which people are Killed or Seriously Injured - This is a KSI COLLISION

The people in the KSI COLLISION are CASUALTIES

One KSI COLLISION can have 1 or 100 CASUALTIES.


I think you will find my wife did not dispute as she said "4-5 in one car died" in this 5% of "speed per se. What she's suggesting is that we are cointing illegal TWOCS who are high.

Look Steve.. we foster kids. In the past .. I've dealt with and hopefully steered plenty towards a safer and more productive life. I have kids. They have passengers in their cars. I also have my brood. I admit I need a bus. At the moment . I carry half the family and Wildy the other half in her car. Most cars can only fit 7. I have 12 kids including the fosters. OK .. so this reduces as we head for new lives in 3 weeks' short time. You are aware we leave for USA because of our jobs . or rather Wildy's job and I had a headache for a while .. You could say it's why we were so tense and short tempered for a while. Posting on line on something we care deeply about is a release.. and I think we got a bit over "felined" at times because of that and an unexpected and potentially dangerous pregnancy to Wildy. I am sure decent caring folk can understand this.

Anyway maudling apart..(knackered after bike ride training )

My wife said that 4 in a car counted to a Gatos per Kev Delaney in a past piece. We think Autumn 2007 Radio 4


I will have to dig out the recording we made. Pass to Claire who can perhaps work out how to publish on line.

greenshed wrote:
are you still following? ....then I will continue.

Slow speed collisions that have no KSI casualties are called Slight Injury Collisions with Slight casualties or Damage Only Collisions and they too are counted in police records and hence in the records held by DfT.


BUT most of these are not reported. Insurers may record. But these are not part of your stats. :popcorn: Wildy pointed out a foreign article . a good 24 hours before your post That article stated minors were not reported and thus not counted .. on a bend which seems to be fairly lethal per the article as Wildy translated it. She will be accurate. Discount the "ist" - she's far superior to "google translate" :lol: Steve .. you once commented that she is gifted in this respect. I think you respect us really :bow: I think you know we ain't the enemy too.

Quote:
Now if you have been in forum discourse for 6 years and you have still to appreciate the very basics of road traffic collision and casualty terminology the safespeed campaign is in a pretty poor state and it is a tragedy that the UK media are turning to its officials and moderators for comments. It is very evident even in this one thread that the level of knowledge is less than elementary and is no better than pub talk. Perhaps the media should be made aware of this. After Thursday's rejection on the breakfast show I do believe they are already well aware of the tired old sound-bytes you keep repeating.



You may say so ...But we help by preaching COAST on your SAC behalf :wink: We are also ex BRAKE members., Something which hgte late Paul accepted . but which your other chums on another forum cannot abide, We noted the "change" as sson as we admitted this. I have to say spindrift was right on that one.

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PostPosted: Sat Aug 29, 2009 20:43 
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GreenShed wrote:
It is beginning to get frustrating explaining the difference time-and-again.

Why do you do so when that's not what I was asking for? See below.

GreenShed wrote:
You and your friends keep mentioning the 5% collision figure that have speed as a contributory factor and say it is a relatively low percentage to be bothering with yet that low percentage of collisions contribute greatly to the number of casualties in those collisions.

...

Now read what I posted above very slowly and think very carefully and you may, just may, follow what is being said.

I follow it quite easily, you again miss the very simple point. A few posts earlier I asked you:
Steve previously wrote:
How on earth can you reconcile that with:
RCGB2007 wrote:
Exceeding speed limit was attributed to 3 per cent of cars involved in accidents, while travelling too fast for conditions was attributed to 6 per cent. For fatal accidents ** these ?gures are 7 per cent and 10 per cent respectively.

Now, the key word here is "attributed", not 'caused', not by 'severity', but attributed; this is an umbrella term regardless of causation and severity.

It's all very well explaining the difference between casualty and collision, but how does your earlier comment of ...
GreenShed previously wrote:
Speed [...] is responsible for almost 50% of the fatal casualties and a similar figure for the serious casualties.

... fit in with the quoted RCGB statement? I’ve highlighted the relevant part in red.

I think what you have done is mistake "fatal accidents" ** as collisions, which as you've correctly explained, is clearly misleading. I think we can all agree that the term "fatal accidents" is a measure of casualties, not collisions.

Please explain where you got your 50% from.

GreenShed wrote:
Casualties refer to the human cost in a collision and are what road safety organisations are measured upon.

Do these so-called road safety organisations do so accounting for RTTM, long-term trends and 'bias on selection'? If not, is the measurement they use an invalid and misleading one?

GreenShed wrote:
Increase the speed and free flowing traffic on single carriageway 2-way roads and casualties will increase greatly for a relatively small increase in collisions. The reason is pretty obvious.

Only if you consider speed in isolation; in the real world nothing is ever isolated. Take the issue of fatigue for example. We already know this claims many drivers on the faster roads, so going slower will result with less driver stimulation, for longer (for a given journey length) – a double whammy. Of course the resulting severity may be reduced – but which effect wins? Then you have the effect of frustration and the inevitable bad judgements a needless restriction brings. Add to that the effect of displacement: the effect of increasing – oh I don’t know, motorway limits, would pull drivers from less safe roads (if only you understood what safe was – is cyanide safer than water?). Then there is the risk of bringing limits into disrepute where the reduction is seen as needless. You may have noticed the last two have been important factors in this thread. Suddenly the issue isn’t so clear cut is it?

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PostPosted: Sat Aug 29, 2009 20:55 
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Hi Steve.


I've noted that Ted's on line and hope to nip in before he does the "Sir Galahad thing" again.

I think reading her post and your post just now - you are saying the same thing as she is - but in a different style :lol:

Now .. let's see. All cars carry passengers. Two to five dependent on the car. The Mad Cats need those two cars and new kids and Wildy's lacklustre after this last pregnancy. A personal comment . but her subsequent collapse made life hard for them. To her credit - she obeyed her doctor. Would not drive despite craving.


Steve? You think a family of their size don't know that cars carry more than one person? I've been at nasties whereby bodies and even bits of them have been strewn around. Speed? Sometimes. SOmetimes a bike hitting a tree at apeed.. . sometimes a multiple.. sometimes HGV way back in the past :popcorn:



Damn He beat me
But we deal with some horrifics. 2-6 kids in one car. One single car crash with many in the one vehicle - or - too frequently - colliding and killing innocents . Oh.. I have no doubt that some of these young kids are "good kids really" But they TWOC/nick cars for the hell of it. Now these KSIs are in the 5% of what we know to be pure speed and red mist to be the prime cause. 95% of the others are the result of serious driver error - not one the same error - even at the known black spots :scratchchin: as each of these would unique to whatever caused that error at the time. When we investigate these - we can find enough to proesecute accordingly from udue care.. inconsiderate.. careless . dangerous . drunk etc etc.

You see the crash of one car with another is not just the two vehicles involved .. but how many in each car. Now that's what Steve Greenshed's talking about. Now when he is talking about KSI casualties versus KSI collisions in number and stats - he happens to be correct . We thus perhaps need to break down these statistics a bit more when releasing to the press then :popcorn:




But we also have to be honest here. If all occupants die because one young hot head was showing off or had stolen the car and was high on adrenalin . then in reality we cannot say it meets the criteria for a fixed speed camera. decisions should be audited and more discrete in evaluation.

But let me rietterate. we know 95% of recorded accidents are due to driver error. A mere 5% are due to speed alone.

Our KSI stats are based on persons injured. I can thus have a rogue minibus driver colliding with a saloon carring a full 5 person load. One collision and about 12 injured ... to various degrees. I think we still have a requiement to educate in many of these cases as a first resort. OK we need a database but surely no different than the speedwatch ones? 7


I am making controversial comments to expamd discussion by the way :wink:

Perhaps we need to define the stats better to avoid confusion like this..

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PostPosted: Sat Aug 29, 2009 21:15 
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In Gear wrote:
Hi Steve.

Which one? ;)

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PostPosted: Sat Aug 29, 2009 21:21 
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soopoot wrote:
Although I try my best to stick to the speed limit for the road that I'm using, i find that sometimes i'm going over by a couple of miles not intentionally but because the car just pick up speed along the way and i can't constantly check what speed i'm doing. So does that make me a bad driver?


We're primarily talking about people who purposfully speed, knowingingly above the limit.

To add a couple of mph here and there ain't going to get you prosecuted (although it is of course illegal).

Case in point I watched a copper stop a cyclist the other day for jumping a red light. I was also over the white line (to get a head start I had no intention of carrying on until the light was not red) so I'd committed the same offence the other guy had, but the copper didn't bother with me.


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PostPosted: Sat Aug 29, 2009 21:37 
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Steve wrote:
In Gear wrote:
Hi Steve.

Which one? ;)



I think you know I mean Greenshed :loll: Sorry if I cofused all here.

I nearly pm'd the guy too. We are saying the same stuff . but perhaps with a different style or emphasis in some instances, We are not disagreeing over stats nor the danger nor rthe need for training and constant education. WE do have sped cams but we think we use them better. Our track record suggests this. FOI bears me out :wink: I do not want to put FOI on this as postrd by me. I'd rather some on independent do so., if you understand me on this one :popcorn: Namely what I post .. can be backed officialy :wink:

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PostPosted: Sat Aug 29, 2009 21:46 
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soopoot wrote:
Although I try my best to stick to the speed limit for the road that I'm using, i find that sometimes i'm going over by a couple of miles not intentionally but because the car just pick up speed along the way and i can't constantly check what speed i'm doing. So does that make me a bad driver?



Misssed ya. :welcome: I understand you,


It;s so easy for me to say "feel the speed"


That means much to Wildy. Mad Doc .. most regulars here



It means little to the average b ut sill safe and competent out there Llook just because most on here claim IAM . HC skid course this and advanced course that

For all that each and everyone of us . including our best . are only as good as the last safe drive we do.

You are no bad driver. BUt do concentrate . observe. anticatte . allow space and time. I have a post which many took to heart. It was from the heart. I ma not a robot really :lol:

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Last edited by In Gear on Sun Aug 30, 2009 09:18, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Sat Aug 29, 2009 23:25 
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weepej wrote:
We're primarily talking about people who purposefully speed, knowingly above the limit.


I, personally, do not believe for one second that any one of the 33 million drivers in this country belts up of a morning and thinks, 'I know! I'm going to break some bloody speed limits today! I feeling all Spartacus!" You will have the Max Power lot, who I suspect seek to impress their peers by driving like a twat. But even then, such twattery may not involve an excursion above a posted speed limit. For the most part, drivers just drive and conditions permit a speed sometimes above the posted limit, sometimes below it. Considering the number of car journeys undertaken every day, the death toll in RTA's that can be directly attributed to exceeding a speed limit seems pretty acceptable to me.

I've edited the quote for schpeeling mistorkes, BTW

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PostPosted: Sun Aug 30, 2009 02:05 
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soopoot wrote:
Although I try my best to stick to the speed limit for the road that I'm using, i find that sometimes i'm going over by a couple of miles not intentionally but because the car just pick up speed along the way and i can't constantly check what speed i'm doing. So does that make me a bad driver?

Welcome soopoot & Kiteless :welcome:
Well if your speedometer is accurate then you might be illegal if over the posted limit. Not always a good idea to admit so on any public forum. However since a 10%+2 is 'tolerated' to allow for misrepresentation of accuracy in individual speedometers you should be expected to not be booked and fined, however a policeman/woman might question you, because of this and then check every aspect of you, and your car or query other aspects of your driving for any & all other reasons.
It is expected therefor that drivers good and bad will drift over a specific numeric value - hence the tolerance allowed.

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PostPosted: Sun Aug 30, 2009 02:39 
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weepej wrote:
As I understand it that 5% is crashes CAUSED by excessive speed, i.e. the driver loses control due to excessive speed and nothing else. Have you got the figures that show had the participant been going at or below the limit the crash would not have happened?


The 5% is "only 5% of crashes involve any speeding vehicle". This includes all those over the posted limited and those exceeding a speed suitable for the conditions, they have been clubbed together.
Now take away the joyriders, TWOC (taken without consent), thefts, drunks, drugged, and this figure drops to around 2% of drivers that have excessive speed crashes.
Now we need to find ways of improved this figure but it will not be improved whilst so much emphasis is placed on the 'speed' policy than engineering & design, better enforcement of bad driver behaviours, better guidance and education.

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PostPosted: Sun Aug 30, 2009 02:56 
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weepej wrote:
Have you got the figures that show had the participant been going at or below the limit the crash would not have happened?
Many incidents have no way of proving just prior to the accident so there is no way of officially recording a figure that can be accurate or meaningful. Road Accident Engineers can tell the speed of the car in many cases prior to a crash from evidence left but not what or why the driver behaved and missed the information earlier to tell them of the impending hazard and why no reaction took place to avoid the impending collision.
Because people are often in shock and fail to recall prior incident memories that accurately it is very difficult to reply on data that is forthcoming.

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PostPosted: Sun Aug 30, 2009 09:09 
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SafeSpeedv2 wrote:
...The 5% is "only 5% of crashes involve any speeding vehicle". This includes all those over the posted limited and those exceeding a speed suitable for the conditions, they have been clubbed together.
Now take away the joyriders, TWOC (taken without consent), thefts, drunks, drugged, and this figure drops to around 2% of drivers that have excessive speed crashes...

Here we go again.
We will no doubt see this repeated again-and-again and suddenly it will become an established figure.
Joyriders and TWOC, theft , drunks and drugged were not figuring at a high number in the collisions in police records. 5% down to 2% is a 60% reduction. 60% of collisions have these features? No try 5 or 6% and that would be large.
You can't keep making these figures up.


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PostPosted: Sun Aug 30, 2009 09:18 
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SafeSpeedv2 wrote:
weepej wrote:
Have you got the figures that show had the participant been going at or below the limit the crash would not have happened?
Many incidents have no way of proving just prior to the accident do there is no way of officially recording a figure that can be accurate or meaningful. Road Accident Engineers can tell the speed of the car in many cases prior to a crash from evidence left but not what or why the driver behaved and missed the information earlier to tell them of the impending hazard and why no reaction took place to avoid the impending collision.
Because people are often in shock and fail to recall prior incident memories that accurately it is very difficult to reply on data that is forthcoming.

They can but they don't so again you are misrepresenting the facts and are displaying how little of the practical you actually know.

Road accident engineers, who are they then? Does the team flood out of the council office when there is a bump? That would be good. It doesn't happen.

Any evidence will be analysed by police accident investigators in a fatal collision with council and highways agency engineers left to analyse the numbers and locations only; they do not get the opportunity to routinely examine evidence.

The most reliable evidence is from crash survivors so the outcome from your reasoning above is reversed on the streets of the UK; what world are you living in?

I may seem a little harsh here but the impression given out by this site is that it is knowledgeable in the subject when it clearly is not. The practitioners laugh at you while the media play you like puppets; you need to get yourselves educated in the practical aspects and start again.


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PostPosted: Sun Aug 30, 2009 09:59 
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US Paper wrote:
US DOT Report Confirms Speed Not Major Accident Cause
US Department of Transportation study finds only five percent of crashes caused by excessive speed.

As lawmakers around the country continue to consider speed limit enforcement as the primary traffic safety measure, the most comprehensive examination of accident causation in thirty years suggests this focus on speed may be misplaced.

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) investigated 5,471 injury crashes that took place across the country between July 3, 2005 and December 31, 2007. Unlike previous studies automatically generated from computerized data found in police reports, researchers in this effort were dispatched to accident scenes before they were cleared. This allowed a first-hand comparison of physical evidence with direct interviews of witnesses and others involved in the incident. NHTSA evaluated the data to determine the factors most responsible for the collision.

"The critical reason is determined by a thorough evaluation of all the potential problems related to errors attributable to the driver, the condition of the vehicle, failure of vehicle systems, adverse environmental conditions, and roadway design," the report explained. "The critical pre-crash event refers to the action or the event that puts a vehicle on the course that makes the collision unavoidable, given reasonable driving skills and vehicle handling of the driver."

Overall, vehicles "traveling too fast for conditions" accounted for only five percent of the critical pre-crash events (page 23). More significant factors included 22 percent driving off the edge of a road, or 11 percent who drifted over the center dividing line.

When driver error was the primary cause of a crash, researchers went further to identify the "critical reason" behind that error. Distraction and not paying attention to the road accounted for 41 percent of the errors. Ten percent of errors were attributed to drivers lacking proper driving skills and either freezing up or overcompensating behind the wheel. Eight percent were asleep, having a heart attack or otherwise incapacitated. A similar eight percent of errors were attributed to driving too fast for conditions and five percent driving too fast for a curve (page 25).

The NHTSA findings are mirrored in accident statistics provided by the Virginia Department of Motor Vehicles. The agency's most recent report lists "speed too fast" as the driver error that caused 2.9 percent of crashes in 2007 (view chart, see page 19). More accidents -- 3.8 percent -- were caused in Virginia by drivers falling asleep or becoming ill behind the wheel. Another 14.6 percent were caused by bad weather such as fog, rain and snow. "Speed too fast" was a more significant factor -- 13.7 percent -- in fatal accidents, as compared to 18 percent of fatal accidents involving alcohol and 9.6 percent caused by sleepiness and fatigue ( view full Virginia report in 1.9mb PDF format).

In the NHTSA and Virginia reports, "too fast for conditions" does not mean exceeding the posted speed limit. A vehicle driving 10 MPH on an iced-over road with a 45 MPH limit would be traveling too fast for the conditions if it lost control, but it would not have exceeded the speed limit. The UK Department for Transport isolated cases where only the posted limit was exceeded and found that, "Exceeding speed limit was attributed to 3 percent of cars involved in accidents" (view UK report).

"Four of the six most frequently reported contributory factors involved driver or rider error or reaction," the Road Casualties Great Britain 2007 report stated. "For fatal accidents the most frequently reported contributory factor was loss of control, which was involved in 35 per cent of fatal accidents."

A full copy of the NHTSA report is available in a 400k PDF file at the source link below.

Source: National Motor Vehicle Crash Causation Survey (U.S. Department of Transportation, 7/15/2008)






http://www.thenewspaper.com/news/26/2627.asp


http://www.thenewspaper.com/rlc/docs/20 ... hcause.pdf


Unlike UK press - this US one provided the source of their article :popcorn: I've spent a little time reading through the pdf file. I would suggest Greenshed reads through before his next post :wink: I could quote your comment to my wife .. but as an SCP manager who has been posting to these boards for as long as she has .. your lack of back up to your post is one of "could do better" :P

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PostPosted: Sun Aug 30, 2009 10:25 
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GreenShed wrote:
SafeSpeedv2 wrote:
Many incidents have no way of proving just prior to the accident do there is no way of officially recording a figure that can be accurate or meaningful. Road Accident Engineers can tell the speed of the car in many cases prior to a crash from evidence left but not what or why the driver behaved and missed the information earlier to tell them of the impending hazard and why no reaction took place to avoid the impending collision.
Because people are often in shock and fail to recall prior incident memories that accurately it is very difficult to reply on data that is forthcoming.



They can but they don't so again you are misrepresenting the facts and are displaying how little of the practical you actually know.

Road accident engineers, who are they then? Does the team flood out of the council office when there is a bump? That would be good. It doesn't happen.

Any evidence will be analysed by police accident investigators in a fatal collision with council and highways agency engineers left to analyse the numbers and locations only; they do not get the opportunity to routinely examine evidence.



Well I keep hearing that the roads are closed for hours whilst police collect all the forensic evidence. Motorway Cops and all the rest of them show the cars in the garages for a fuller examination later. This information should be used in the same way as in the US link I just provided :wink: (We are leaving for the USA .. end September.. for a while) Now I am sure you are going to say the Washington National Highway Safety Admin are wrong and you are right.. but I'd put me money on them as an occasional betting man :lol:

Greenshed wrote:
The most reliable evidence is from crash survivors so the outcome from your reasoning above is reversed on the streets of the UK; what world are you living in?



They will say the speed was faster than it was. Most of it happened too quickly to register. Sometimes they see it in slow motion and brain tries to make sense . but can get things confused all the same :popcorn: I take it you have not dealt with traumatised patients who had an accident.. as me and Wildy did during our respecitve trainings.

I can speak from experience .. of the shock of a police officer coming to tell me that there had been a shocking accident. I know he drove at high speed to get me to her that day .. but I had little more feeling than it "was not fast enough" at the time.

Widly herself recalls seeing the car charging and bearing down towards her. Others who saw this said it was "over the ton". The police officer who was parked on the hard shoulder and actually saw this confirmed almost 80 mph on impact and even the forensics of 19 years or so ago seemed to confirm this.

But in every fatal accident - police have always asked for witnesses to come forward via each media open to them. Now that request is not made just to find more evidence to back up any charges. It's made to find out what actually happened and that information should be researched properly.

The 5% figure though seems to be backed by researchers across the globe per the link .. and the aim of this research is to develop better safety systems - from vehicle development to people behaviour and training.

Quote:
I may seem a little harsh here but the impression given out by this site is that it is knowledgeable in the subject when it clearly is not. The practitioners laugh at you while the media play you like puppets; you need to get yourselves educated in the practical aspects and start again.



Have you read your press lately? Does not reflect well .. especially the accident rate this last week.. both of which held me up on way home to my wife.

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We use our smilies on YOU today
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KEEP SMILING
It makes folk wonder just what you REALLY got up to last night!

Smily to penny.. penny to pound
safespeed prospers-smiles all round! !

But the real message? SMILE.. GO ON ! DO IT! and the world will smile with you!
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PostPosted: Sun Aug 30, 2009 10:32 
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It's plainly obvious to me, and I'm sure many others reading this, that Greenshed's liberal sprinkling of "redherrings" involving dodgy statistics is merely a ploy to distract from the main plot of this thread, which is....THE MAJORITY OF DRIVERS IN THIS COUNTRY (82%) ADMIT TO EXCEEDING A SPEED LIMIT.

Now this means, (a) that the majority of drivers feel that speed limits are sometimes set too low, (b) the majority of drivers feel that it is safe to exceed posted speed limits at times and (c) the majority of drivers exceed these speed limits without causing injury to themselves or others.

Now if the MAJORITYOF DRIVERS feel this way, shouldn't the government be doing something constructive about speed limits and putting them into the category where the MAJORITY of drivers don't feel the need to exceed them?

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