Abercrombie wrote:
…we now know that you can have an excellent safety record with
cameras. Which rather undermines the central plank of your campaign.
Not at all.
We know countries can have a worse safety record with cameras. We also know we can have an excellent safety record without cameras (indeed we did).
We also know we have had a far better drop of casualty rate, even though traffic had been increasing at a significantly faster rate than today.
We also know we can have a better and more predictable driving environment by having fair limits and proportional penalties.
We also know we can have a better safety record than we have today by reversing the pseudo-science based policy of displacing trafpol with cameras.
Abercrombie wrote:
As for the newest numbers, how many of those countries had a 7 per cent drop
in 2007 alone?
You tell us.
Anyway, that's a clear deviation from the decade long trend for no apparent reason. I hardly think it likely to be as a result of the camera/speed kills policy when it hasn’t had any such effect in any earlier years; that year is much more likely to be an outlier.
Let’s explore other possible reasons:
We know we were stung pretty hard with fuel duty, then the recession bit us. The high rate of UK pubs closing could go some way to explaining the casualty falls.
Also,
in 2007 and 2008 there's a lot of anecdotal evidence that the intensity of speed enforcement activity has been considerably reduced compared with earlier in the decade when the notorious hypothecation scheme was in operation. [PeterE]
and thus the historic downward trend from safer cars, better medical care etc has now surfaced/resumed. [hairyben]