dcbwhaley wrote:
Mole wrote:
I think we're all assuming that electric cars have got as good as they're going to get. This is an industry still in its infancy, and I'm expecting huge improvements in the first 10 years. The EVs we have now are (by comparison) like IC cars were in 1910, IMO!
But battery technology is not in its infancy. And the efficiency of the IC engine has probably tripled since 1910. A tripling of battery life in the next 100 years isn't going to let EVs supplant ICVs
Agreed. the only realistic way in which battery performance will be significantly improved is by using rare (and extreamly reactive) chemicals. Large scale deployment of EV's also have the (Possibly even bigger)problem in that providing the compact high power magnets for the motors will require the use of large quantities of "Rare Earth" minerals. (Emphasis is on the "Rare" )
A much better solution is to find some industrial route that alows the synthasis of non-fossil derived, liquid chemical fuels that can be used in ICE's of a more or less conventional design. (at room temperature, and at room presure or under mild presure such as LPG)
It is a combination that really cannot be beaten!
(As an intrim, My choice would be to use non-fossil derived hydrogen to "Platform" oil or even coal into LPG, basically using the Carbon as a vehicle for carriying the non-fossil hydrogen to the vehicle user without having to go through all that cryogenic nonsense! This has the added advantage that most vehicles currently in use can be easily adapted to use the synthetic fuel. Of course the government/manufacturers wouldnt like that. They both want a solution that requires us to all scrap all our old vehicles and go out and buy shiny new (and no doubt, very expensive) ones!

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