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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 17:06 
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The self interest allegation is born out of the pages that used to be on this site, and were endorsed by their inclusion, which suggests ways of evading punishment for speeding. Such as way of obscuring your number plate, and picking a name out of the obituary in the local paper and declaring that dead person as the driver of your car when you were photographed. Of course there was the worthless disclaimer at the top of the pages, but this was followed by thanks and credits given to people who suggested other methods.

Not much safety campaigning there is there?


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 17:11 
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So whose self interest are we talking about?


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 17:15 
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jamie_duff wrote:
On a petition thread in the Campaigning section I myself have criticised a Safespeed endorsed wording stating that speed cameras were responsible for thousands of deaths. I myself stated more than once on that thread that Safespeed cannot prove that and thus it was damaging to Safespeed's credibility. So far no-one has seemed interested in discussing this with me on that thread. :?


I never noticed that... where is it?

Have you seen this: http://www.safespeed.org.uk/buckingham.html ?

or this: http://www.safespeed.org.uk/stone.html ?

or this: http://www.safespeed.org.uk/againstcameras.html ?

We can't prove that speed cameras and associated policies are responsible for thousands of road deaths - we don't have the resources, and it's highly complex and resource hungry. But that's what I believe. That's why I gave up work to run the campaign. And there's a great deal of analysis that supports the belief.

TRL agrees that drivers are getting worse, and that's the main reason for the 'loss of fatality trend'.

Well, OF COURSE drivers are getting worse. We're filling their heads with lies and distractions and we aren't Policing the roads properly. What else would you expect?

And if it's not 'bad policy' founded on speed cameras causing the loss of trend, what is?

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 17:20 
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Bad attitude?

I don't pretend to know, but certainly it seems to me that driver attitude is declining. It's all me first, get there quickly, never mind anyone else - exactly the same attitude as you see in pedestrians cramming themselves through little old ladies to get on a bus, cyclists RLJing or increases in other areas of petty criminality and bad judgement. Is any or all of this directly attributable to government policy? I personally don't think so... and as you say, we can't prove it.


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 17:29 
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lizard wrote:
Bad attitude?

I don't pretend to know, but certainly it seems to me that driver attitude is declining. It's all me first, get there quickly, never mind anyone else - exactly the same attitude as you see in pedestrians cramming themselves through little old ladies to get on a bus, cyclists RLJing or increases in other areas of petty criminality and bad judgement. Is any or all of this directly attributable to government policy? I personally don't think so... and as you say, we can't prove it.


I agree, but speed cameras won't, and never will fix bad attitude.

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 17:29 
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civil engineer wrote:
So the SCP publicised the fact that a stretch of road 'fixed itself' without the need for camera enforcement and the journalists/public were to stupid to pick it up????

I know! I was absolutely amazed that the SCP were daft enough to let it be published - or even announce it in the first place :-)

civil engineer wrote:
They are claiming 42% reduction at camera sites but here we are with a 75% reduction by natural means.

Yeah... Good innit!?

civil engineer wrote:
It's witchcraft I tell you!

"White Witchcraft" though... (If it's OK with the PC Ploice to say "white" as a term of approbation!). :-)

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 17:30 
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civil engineer wrote:
So whose self interest are we talking about?


Those who want to drive as fast as they want to, and not as fast as they are told to, and don't want to be penalised for doing so.


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 17:31 
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I don't think it's unreasonable to want to get somewhere quickly.

Take this morning's example, I'm trying to get to work as quick as I can only for my journey to be impeded by slow moving vehicles in L1,2& 3

who has the bad attitude, me for wanting to get to work as quickly as I safely can or those who would impede my progress?

'Lane hogging' is worse since aggressive enforcement of limits. I suspect this is compounded by a holier than thou attitude of "I'm driving at 70 so you can wait' reinforced by the Speed Kills mantra.

So long as I'm doing 70 then I'm safe, no other rules apply.....what is lane discipline by the way??


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 17:32 
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Paul - here's the link:

http://www.safespeed.org.uk/forum/viewtopic.php?t=9948&start=20

You participated early on in the thread, and the petition was re-written (better, but still wide of the mark IMO). I seem to recall you were rather busy at the time?? Anyways - it's still there - I've still not signed it and there has been no further comment on the wording. I did not believe that Safespeed should be associated with the claims I've highlighted in that thread then and still don't think it does anyone any good now. It wasn't written by you personally but it's still linked to, discussed (briefly) by and unchallenged by Safespeed - which I'm sure you'll agree could be construed by critics as being an indication of Safespeed's agreement with it.

I hope you can accept that I'm keeping a fairly neutral stance here. I do support the majority of Safespeed's arguements, but as I said in the linked thread - I'm not about to sign my name against anything I'm not sure I can prove.

Please understand that I do support your (Safespeed's) efforts, but I am concerned about making (or at least not disassociation yourself from) comments which are not bomb proof and thus leave Safespeed wide open to attack and criticism. This, I feel, is more harmful than anything else to the campaign.

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Last edited by jamie_duff on Fri Dec 08, 2006 17:34, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 17:33 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
Look what I just found... Jub Jub's assessment of us:

http://www.cyclingplus.co.uk/forum/topi ... ichpage=18

Mister Paul / Jub Jub on C+ wrote:
I'm on the verge of giving up. To be fair to them, the can hold an argument without resorting to insults. But several times it has come down to the bare bones of the argument, and I can conlude that-

1)They want to be able to drive as fast as they want to.

2)They don't want to be penalised for doing this.

3)Arguments are aimed mainly at speed cameras, the obvious main responsibility for their penalisation.

4)These real issues are wrapped up in a 'campaign for safety'.

5)Paul Smith bases all of his campaign on his theories. These are largely unsubstantiated, but rather evidenced by theoretical charts.

6)Members support Paul Smith's theories because of 1) and 2).

7)Some of the members themselves struggle with Paul Smith's theories, the biggest being our BC.

8)There is no substance to the campaign.

9)Most worryingly, Paul Smith has avoided all reasonable questions about the 'old pages', aside from a very vauge denial that can't be specifically pinned down.

10)The only reasonable conclusion that can be drawn from 9) is that he is in fact the author, and so it follows that....

11)The undeniable reason for the creation of SafeSpeed was to enable points 1) and 2).

12)Paul Smith takes personal credit for positive policy decisions on road safety. A worrying delusion.

13)The final conclusion, as you will no doubt be reading this Paul, is that you are completely wasting your time. Both the Government and the press are aware of the 'old pages', and so you will clearly never be taken seriously for either. The only reason that you are regularly asked to contribute to the debate is that you make yourself closest to hand. This is not an indication of success.

Of course, all of the above is purely opinion and conjecture.


No, not 'us', Paul. I am well aware that there are many different views on here.


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 17:35 
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Jub Jub wrote:
The self interest allegation is born out of the pages that used to be on this site, and were endorsed by their inclusion, which suggests ways of evading punishment for speeding. Such as way of obscuring your number plate, and picking a name out of the obituary in the local paper and declaring that dead person as the driver of your car when you were photographed. Of course there was the worthless disclaimer at the top of the pages, but this was followed by thanks and credits given to people who suggested other methods.

Not much safety campaigning there is there?


You do know the basic history don't you?

I started the campaign after hearing about a lady accountant being flashed twise by one speed camera within 6 minutes. She stood to lose her licence, job and home in rapid sequence because of her exact circumstances. I thought that was very bad justice.

I also knew from my own experience and extensive driver training that the speedo played no significant role in safe driving. Instead it mattered very much that drivers set a safe speed according to the conditions. I felt that speed cameras were undermining this vital message.

This is 2001 and I set up the web site as a hobby. In order to populate the site I started exploring every aspect of speed cameras and speed camera policy. I was amazed at what I found. Everthing the government was saying was wrong, and wildly wrong. Layer upon lay was built on false assumptions. Of course, the more you discover the more interesting it gets. I just kept digging and got a diamond in every shovelful.

At the end of 2002 I turned my attention to long term trends. I was amazed and mortified to find that we'd got a truly desperate road safety trend failure. Having been doing a giant 'road safety jigsaw' for 2 years and 5,000 hours, this was the puzzle piece that made sense of everything else. The smoking gun, if you like.

Suddenly I'm the only chap in the UK that knows that bad policy had already killed thousands. So I gave up work to tell the world and that's what I'm doing. It's the loss of life that drives me now. No more and no less. OK. I admit it. I'm also having fun running rings around the government and the so-called road safety industry.

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The Safe Speed campaign demands a return to intelligent road safety


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 17:40 
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Jub Jub wrote:
civil engineer wrote:
So whose self interest are we talking about?


Those who want to drive as fast as they want to, and not as fast as they are told to, and don't want to be penalised for doing so.


I want to drive to the appropriate safe speed for the conditions at all times. I want all drivers to do the same. We're never going to get there, but we CAN move closer.

Present policy is moving us further away from the ideal.

Do you know that 'excessive speed crashes' are increasing? It's no surprise to me...

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Our scrap speed cameras petition got over 28,000 sigs
The Safe Speed campaign demands a return to intelligent road safety


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 17:41 
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Dixie wrote:
lizard wrote:
Bad attitude?

I don't pretend to know, but certainly it seems to me that driver attitude is declining. It's all me first, get there quickly, never mind anyone else - exactly the same attitude as you see in pedestrians cramming themselves through little old ladies to get on a bus, cyclists RLJing or increases in other areas of petty criminality and bad judgement. Is any or all of this directly attributable to government policy? I personally don't think so... and as you say, we can't prove it.


I agree, but speed cameras won't, and never will fix bad attitude.


Of course not, any more than the new Oyster 'touch-in-touch-out' system will fix people spitting on the floor of the underground, swearing at staff or puking on the platforms. But it can insist that people actually pay for their journeys, you can't bum a fare like you used to be able to. Similarly, cameras can get people driving more slowly, which if they are driving with a stinking attitude is an improvement, albeit a minor one.

(Incidentally I'm not convinced of any system which invades our privacy but that's another story.)


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 17:47 
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To be honest my speed on the roads is almost always governed by my wallet. It's very simple - I don't want to spend much more than I have to on fuel so my speed will be enough so that I can keep up with the majority of the traffic (reduces my workload and stress) but not much if any faster because the petrol tank empties faster.

I overtake probably as many vehicles as overtake me.

I can say that I'd sooner be passed by someone going much faster than someone creeping up behind, passing equally slowly, then pulling in in front of me spraying me with dirty water, stones grit and generally blocking my view of the road ahead whilst they open out the gap with a 1~2mph speed advantage on me.

All that means is that I have to back off to protect my paintwork, my windscreen and my life in general costing me time and money in wasted fuel.

Provided I keep awake, that "moron" in the A4 TDi shooting past going 20mph faster than me isn't a problem as I've seen him coming, and he's at a safe distance by the time he pulls back in. He's gone from view within half a minute - no problem.

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 17:49 
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So the speed camera is the motoring equivalent of the naughty step?


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 17:49 
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lizard wrote:
Dixie wrote:
lizard wrote:
Bad attitude?

I don't pretend to know, but certainly it seems to me that driver attitude is declining. It's all me first, get there quickly, never mind anyone else - exactly the same attitude as you see in pedestrians cramming themselves through little old ladies to get on a bus, cyclists RLJing or increases in other areas of petty criminality and bad judgement. Is any or all of this directly attributable to government policy? I personally don't think so... and as you say, we can't prove it.


I agree, but speed cameras won't, and never will fix bad attitude.


Of course not, any more than the new Oyster 'touch-in-touch-out' system will fix people spitting on the floor of the underground, swearing at staff or puking on the platforms. But it can insist that people actually pay for their journeys, you can't bum a fare like you used to be able to. Similarly, cameras can get people driving more slowly, which if they are driving with a stinking attitude is an improvement, albeit a minor one.

(Incidentally I'm not convinced of any system which invades our privacy but that's another story.)


I'm absolutely certain that speed cameras worsen the skills and attitudes on which road safety is founded.

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Our scrap speed cameras petition got over 28,000 sigs
The Safe Speed campaign demands a return to intelligent road safety


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 17:57 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
lizard wrote:
Dixie wrote:
lizard wrote:
Bad attitude?

I don't pretend to know, but certainly it seems to me that driver attitude is declining. It's all me first, get there quickly, never mind anyone else - exactly the same attitude as you see in pedestrians cramming themselves through little old ladies to get on a bus, cyclists RLJing or increases in other areas of petty criminality and bad judgement. Is any or all of this directly attributable to government policy? I personally don't think so... and as you say, we can't prove it.


I agree, but speed cameras won't, and never will fix bad attitude.


Of course not, any more than the new Oyster 'touch-in-touch-out' system will fix people spitting on the floor of the underground, swearing at staff or puking on the platforms. But it can insist that people actually pay for their journeys, you can't bum a fare like you used to be able to. Similarly, cameras can get people driving more slowly, which if they are driving with a stinking attitude is an improvement, albeit a minor one.

(Incidentally I'm not convinced of any system which invades our privacy but that's another story.)


I'm absolutely certain that speed cameras worsen the skills and attitudes on which road safety is founded.


I totally agree with that, and the sooner they've all gone the better (as well as speed bumps and chicanes etc).

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 19:08 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
The self interest allegation is born out of the pages that used to be on this site, and were endorsed by their inclusion, which suggests ways of evading punishment for speeding. Such as way of obscuring your number plate, and picking a name out of the obituary in the local paper and declaring that dead person as the driver of your car when you were photographed. Of course there was the worthless disclaimer at the top of the pages, but this was followed by thanks and credits given to people who suggested other methods.

Not much safety campaigning there is there?


You do know the basic history don't you?

I started the campaign after hearing about a lady accountant being flashed twise by one speed camera within 6 minutes. She stood to lose her licence, job and home in rapid sequence because of her exact circumstances. I thought that was very bad justice.

I also knew from my own experience and extensive driver training that the speedo played no significant role in safe driving. Instead it mattered very much that drivers set a safe speed according to the conditions. I felt that speed cameras were undermining this vital message.

This is 2001 and I set up the web site as a hobby. In order to populate the site I started exploring every aspect of speed cameras and speed camera policy. I was amazed at what I found. Everthing the government was saying was wrong, and wildly wrong. Layer upon lay was built on false assumptions. Of course, the more you discover the more interesting it gets. I just kept digging and got a diamond in every shovelful.

At the end of 2002 I turned my attention to long term trends. I was amazed and mortified to find that we'd got a truly desperate road safety trend failure. Having been doing a giant 'road safety jigsaw' for 2 years and 5,000 hours, this was the puzzle piece that made sense of everything else. The smoking gun, if you like.

Suddenly I'm the only chap in the UK that knows that bad policy had already killed thousands. So I gave up work to tell the world and that's what I'm doing. It's the loss of life that drives me now. No more and no less. OK. I admit it. I'm also having fun running rings around the government and the so-called road safety industry.


That's all very nice, but you have completely ignored the issue that has been raised, that on this site you included and encouraged highly dubious and sometimes illegal suggestions for ways of not being penalised for speeding when caught by a camera. There's no safety campaign there.


And I would be interested to know how someone would lose their license from being photographed by a camera twice in six minutes.

Oh, and you have just admitted to starting the campaign not out of safety concerns, but because you supported a woman who was caught speeding. Exactly what I have been saying. Thank you.

I rest my case.


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 19:12 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
lizard wrote:
Dixie wrote:
lizard wrote:
Bad attitude?

I don't pretend to know, but certainly it seems to me that driver attitude is declining. It's all me first, get there quickly, never mind anyone else - exactly the same attitude as you see in pedestrians cramming themselves through little old ladies to get on a bus, cyclists RLJing or increases in other areas of petty criminality and bad judgement. Is any or all of this directly attributable to government policy? I personally don't think so... and as you say, we can't prove it.


I agree, but speed cameras won't, and never will fix bad attitude.


Of course not, any more than the new Oyster 'touch-in-touch-out' system will fix people spitting on the floor of the underground, swearing at staff or puking on the platforms. But it can insist that people actually pay for their journeys, you can't bum a fare like you used to be able to. Similarly, cameras can get people driving more slowly, which if they are driving with a stinking attitude is an improvement, albeit a minor one.

(Incidentally I'm not convinced of any system which invades our privacy but that's another story.)


I'm absolutely certain that speed cameras worsen the skills and attitudes on which road safety is founded.


See? There you go again. Absolutely certain. You can't get there unless you have irrefutable evidence. And you don't. And you never will, because it is one of those things with too many variables.

I could be absolutely certain that the old chocolate teapot was orbiting Mars. But unless I could prove it, people would laugh at me as well.

What you mean is, it is your opinion. That's better.


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 19:32 
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I wanted to quote more from you, but I’ve decided to continue with the relevant otherwise the thread will become unreadable.

Jub Jub wrote:
Forgive me for not being totally up on the relevant language. So are you saying that when cameras are installed, other measures are put in place, or at that particular site there are also other factors that you could accredit with a reduction in accidents?

Both.
Other measures are also put in place alongside the speed camera, yet only the speed camera gets the credit for any accident reduction. The A12 had a recent spate of accidents, head on crashes; hence the location qualifies for speed enforcement. At the same time a central reservation has been erected to prevent the head on crashes…..
The other factor is Regression to the Mean:

Jub Jub wrote:
Just because there were 2 KSIs one year, doesn't mean that there will be 2 the next. There are lots of factors involved, which is exactly the point. Sometimes blips happen,

Wayhay! You do understand RTTM.
DfT policy puts 85% of speed camera resource only at locations where these blips occur.


Jub Jub wrote:
smeggy wrote:
Wrong. People can speed at camera sites and still do, obviously you’ve not been considering my posts properly. And yes it does matter how the accident rate went down; if a method is successful then it should be rolled out, if not then it must be ended such that the resource can be allocated elsewhere which could yield real benefit..


That's an interesting conclusion. Does speeding (above the limit) not reduce at camera sites then? Either people are panic braking or they aren't. You can't claim both sides of the argument.

Actually I can. You actually said (which my response was based upon):
Jub Jub wrote:
it also means that you are no longer able to speed at that point, but never mind

Which is clearly an erroneous deduction because drivers do.
- Some drivers will continue to speed at camera sites, otherwise there would be slightly less than 2 million speeding offences last year.
- Some other drivers will brake; either to some to scrub off excess speed, others to make sure they are well under.
Not difficult to understand it is?


Jub Jub wrote:
No. There are no ways to prove it. There are ways to formulate statistics based on theories, but you end up coming down to odds and percentages.

Invalid comment!
I didn’t come to percentages, that was from the raw data. I used the percentages, without further modification or interpretation, to form the next logical step in the argument. I repeat:

Given that only 5% of the accidents used to justify the placement of a speed camera at a given location have ‘exceeding the speed limit’ as a contributing factor, the camera cannot influence the probability or severity of 95% of accidents. So how can the camera be anything more than 5% effective at reducing accidents? (and that’s not accounting for the unregistered, cloned, joyriders, nutters… as well as the stoned/drunk/distracted drivers who just so happened to be exceeding the speed limit).

Surely you must accept this and realise that this is at adds with the claims of speed cameras being so successful (which we know is subject to RTTM
- which you now understand)


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