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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 19:52 
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Jub Jub wrote:
That's all very nice, but you have completely ignored the issue that has been raised, that on this site you included and encouraged highly dubious and sometimes illegal suggestions for ways of not being penalised for speeding when caught by a camera. There's no safety campaign there.

There is. It might have started out as something else, if so it has certainly morphed into a campaign with safety of all road users as its ultimate goal.

Jub Jub wrote:
And I would be interested to know how someone would lose their license from being photographed by a camera twice in six minutes.

Perfectly possible, It depends on the speed she was caught at.

Jub Jub wrote:
Oh, and you have just admitted to starting the campaign not out of safety concerns, but because you supported a woman who was caught speeding. Exactly what I have been saying. Thank you.

I rest my case.

That’s your case?

What on earth has helping others you don’t even know got to do with “self-interest”?


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 20:16 
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Jub Jub wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
Look what I just found... Jub Jub's assessment of us:

http://www.cyclingplus.co.uk/forum/topi ... ichpage=18

Mister Paul / Jub Jub on C+ wrote:
I'm on the verge of giving up. To be fair to them, the can hold an argument without resorting to insults. But several times it has come down to the bare bones of the argument, and I can conlude that-

1)They want to be able to drive as fast as they want to.

2)They don't want to be penalised for doing this.

3)Arguments are aimed mainly at speed cameras, the obvious main responsibility for their penalisation.

4)These real issues are wrapped up in a 'campaign for safety'.

5)Paul Smith bases all of his campaign on his theories. These are largely unsubstantiated, but rather evidenced by theoretical charts.

6)Members support Paul Smith's theories because of 1) and 2).

7)Some of the members themselves struggle with Paul Smith's theories, the biggest being our BC.

8)There is no substance to the campaign.

9)Most worryingly, Paul Smith has avoided all reasonable questions about the 'old pages', aside from a very vauge denial that can't be specifically pinned down.

10)The only reasonable conclusion that can be drawn from 9) is that he is in fact the author, and so it follows that....

11)The undeniable reason for the creation of SafeSpeed was to enable points 1) and 2).

12)Paul Smith takes personal credit for positive policy decisions on road safety. A worrying delusion.

13)The final conclusion, as you will no doubt be reading this Paul, is that you are completely wasting your time. Both the Government and the press are aware of the 'old pages', and so you will clearly never be taken seriously for either. The only reason that you are regularly asked to contribute to the debate is that you make yourself closest to hand. This is not an indication of success.

Of course, all of the above is purely opinion and conjecture.


No, not 'us', Paul. I am well aware that there are many different views on here.


If you meant Paul then why use "they"?

Just as a point of interest, I have long been unhappy with government "safety" measures, and yes I detest those yellow boxes. When I found & joined Safe Speed it was quite a while till the issue of cameras came up & I actually had to ask Paul what he thought of cameras. There's no way this organisation is (just) about speed cameras.

I can't see why you keep going on about some 5 year old web pages (which I've not seen but get the general point). My comment would be "so what"??? It's a fact that most people feel wronged when the "NIP" arrives in the post & would do almost anything to get out of it. I would.

If you take the time to look round this site you'll see many posts from people asking for help to "avoid" points. In every single case the answer they get is directed to another site - NEVER "blame your dead granny".

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 21:55 
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Jub Jub wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
The self interest allegation is born out of the pages that used to be on this site, and were endorsed by their inclusion, which suggests ways of evading punishment for speeding. Such as way of obscuring your number plate, and picking a name out of the obituary in the local paper and declaring that dead person as the driver of your car when you were photographed. Of course there was the worthless disclaimer at the top of the pages, but this was followed by thanks and credits given to people who suggested other methods.

Not much safety campaigning there is there?


You do know the basic history don't you?

I started the campaign after hearing about a lady accountant being flashed twise by one speed camera within 6 minutes. She stood to lose her licence, job and home in rapid sequence because of her exact circumstances. I thought that was very bad justice.

I also knew from my own experience and extensive driver training that the speedo played no significant role in safe driving. Instead it mattered very much that drivers set a safe speed according to the conditions. I felt that speed cameras were undermining this vital message.

This is 2001 and I set up the web site as a hobby. In order to populate the site I started exploring every aspect of speed cameras and speed camera policy. I was amazed at what I found. Everthing the government was saying was wrong, and wildly wrong. Layer upon lay was built on false assumptions. Of course, the more you discover the more interesting it gets. I just kept digging and got a diamond in every shovelful.

At the end of 2002 I turned my attention to long term trends. I was amazed and mortified to find that we'd got a truly desperate road safety trend failure. Having been doing a giant 'road safety jigsaw' for 2 years and 5,000 hours, this was the puzzle piece that made sense of everything else. The smoking gun, if you like.

Suddenly I'm the only chap in the UK that knows that bad policy had already killed thousands. So I gave up work to tell the world and that's what I'm doing. It's the loss of life that drives me now. No more and no less. OK. I admit it. I'm also having fun running rings around the government and the so-called road safety industry.


That's all very nice, but you have completely ignored the issue that has been raised, that on this site you included and encouraged highly dubious and sometimes illegal suggestions for ways of not being penalised for speeding when caught by a camera. There's no safety campaign there.


And I would be interested to know how someone would lose their license from being photographed by a camera twice in six minutes.

Oh, and you have just admitted to starting the campaign not out of safety concerns, but because you supported a woman who was caught speeding. Exactly what I have been saying. Thank you.

I rest my case.


Does it matter what I did for a hobby in 2001 or why? Especially compared with the FACT that modern road safety policy is based on bad science, false assumption and misinterprited statistics?

Don't you care that life saving resources are being mis-allocated?

And anyway you're wrong. I did nothing to support the lady. And neither was she the motivation. More the trigger. The largest part was to promote the importance of safe speed. That's why it's called Safe Speed.

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 22:03 
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smeggy wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
And I would be interested to know how someone would lose their license from being photographed by a camera twice in six minutes.

Perfectly possible, It depends on the speed she was caught at.


As I recall she had 6 points from two years earlier for a technical document offence.

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The Safe Speed campaign demands a return to intelligent road safety


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 22:46 
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Jub Jub wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
I'm absolutely certain that speed cameras worsen the skills and attitudes on which road safety is founded.


See? There you go again. Absolutely certain. You can't get there unless you have irrefutable evidence. And you don't. And you never will, because it is one of those things with too many variables.

I could be absolutely certain that the old chocolate teapot was orbiting Mars. But unless I could prove it, people would laugh at me as well.

What you mean is, it is your opinion. That's better.


Of course it's an opinion. I stated it as an opinion. All phrases that start "I am absolutely certain..." are opinions.

However, my opinion is based on very extensive and very careful evidence and analysis. The evidence and analysis is published and wide open to review by anyone who cares to bother. The review facilities are right here for anyone to use. So far this month, more than 60,000 Safe Speed pages have been viewed (I just checked the logs). And what do you know - we're involved in reviewing the evidence.

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 22:56 
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smeggy wrote:
I wanted to quote more from you, but I’ve decided to continue with the relevant otherwise the thread will become unreadable.


Same here..
smeggy wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
Just because there were 2 KSIs one year, doesn't mean that there will be 2 the next. There are lots of factors involved, which is exactly the point. Sometimes blips happen,

Wayhay! You do understand RTTM.
DfT policy puts 85% of speed camera resource only at locations where these blips occur.


Fair enough.Are you assuming that they are blips then, or have all the other possible factors been clearly discounted?

I haven't just done a course on RTTM, so there is no wahay about it.

smeggy wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
That's an interesting conclusion. Does speeding (above the limit) not reduce at camera sites then? Either people are panic braking or they aren't. You can't claim both sides of the argument.

Actually I can. You actually said (which my response was based upon):
Jub Jub wrote:
it also means that you are no longer able to speed at that point, but never mind

Which is clearly an erroneous deduction because drivers do.

- Some drivers will continue to speed at camera sites, otherwise there would be slightly less than 2 million speeding offences last year.
- Some other drivers will brake; either to some to scrub off excess speed, others to make sure they are well under.
Not difficult to understand it is?


So it is actually more correct to make the suggestion that they bring some people below the speed limit, may slow others down and doesn't do a lot for another group. That is something different from saying "speed cameras don't slow people down". It is always better to move forward from something realistic, than basing part of you argument on an incorrect statement.

<Aside> The road that I mentioned before, where the KSIs went down after cameras were installed is a pretty good, exciting bit of road to go fast down. It was a very regular occurence to have cars travelling at over 90mph. I have acquaintances that have driven the stretch at over 100, and enjoyed comparing notes. The limit is 40, and it is in the suburbs. And there are several scarred trees as evidence that they weren't the only ones. This wasn't isolated drivers. Now that the cameras are in place no-one is stupid enough to do those speeds, and it just doesn't happen. Sure, people misjudge what they can get away with, or don't notice the cameras, and that is where most of the tickets come from these days, but we don't get scarred trees with flowers strapped around them any more.

smeggy wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
No. There are no ways to prove it. There are ways to formulate statistics based on theories, but you end up coming down to odds and percentages.

Invalid comment!
I didn’t come to percentages, that was from the raw data. I used the percentages, without further modification or interpretation, to form the next logical step in the argument. I repeat:

Given that only 5% of the accidents used to justify the placement of a speed camera at a given location have ‘exceeding the speed limit’ as a contributing factor, the camera cannot influence the probability or severity of 95% of accidents. So how can the camera be anything more than 5% effective at reducing accidents? (and that’s not accounting for the unregistered, cloned, joyriders, nutters… as well as the stoned/drunk/distracted drivers who just so happened to be exceeding the speed limit).

Surely you must accept this and realise that this is at adds with the claims of speed cameras being so successful (which we know is subject to RTTM
- which you now understand)


Now we are getting somewhere. You are questioning the effectiveness of speed cameras. Now you just have to accept that they are effective in some situations, and have some affect at slowing people down.

The cost effectiveness issue is of course a good discussion, and may have some value. I have no idea what the running speed cameras is against the revenue raised. I'm sure others here do.


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 22:58 
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smeggy wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
That's all very nice, but you have completely ignored the issue that has been raised, that on this site you included and encouraged highly dubious and sometimes illegal suggestions for ways of not being penalised for speeding when caught by a camera. There's no safety campaign there.

There is. It might have started out as something else, if so it has certainly morphed into a campaign with safety of all road users as its ultimate goal.

Jub Jub wrote:
And I would be interested to know how someone would lose their license from being photographed by a camera twice in six minutes.

Perfectly possible, It depends on the speed she was caught at.

Jub Jub wrote:
Oh, and you have just admitted to starting the campaign not out of safety concerns, but because you supported a woman who was caught speeding. Exactly what I have been saying. Thank you.

I rest my case.

That’s your case?

What on earth has helping others you don’t even know got to do with “self-interest”?


Not the sole reason for being here, no.

Think about it. You don't like the fact that you are being penalised for how fast you want to drive. Of course you have some cameradery with those who agree. The bond is there, and on you go.


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 22:59 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
smeggy wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
And I would be interested to know how someone would lose their license from being photographed by a camera twice in six minutes.

Perfectly possible, It depends on the speed she was caught at.


As I recall she had 6 points from two years earlier for a technical document offence.


A technical document offence? And how fast was she driving past the cameras?


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 23:30 
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Jub Jub wrote:
You don't like the fact that you are being penalised for how fast you want to drive. Of course you have some cameradery with those who agree. The bond is there, and on you go.

Nope!

What I don’t like is being prosecuted and facing disproportionate penalties, for driving an a completely safe and considerate manner, on an unfairly and unnecessarily overly-restricted road, all in the name of safety yet so obviously doesn’t achieve its claimed aims, when the resource would have been better utilised elsewhere.

We have “cameradery” not just from each other but also from the majority of the general public – otherwise Paul would never be presented by the national media as being a road safety expert. You only need to examine recent public surveys to realise that.


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 23:32 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
I'm absolutely certain that speed cameras worsen the skills and attitudes on which road safety is founded.


See? There you go again. Absolutely certain. You can't get there unless you have irrefutable evidence. And you don't. And you never will, because it is one of those things with too many variables.

I could be absolutely certain that the old chocolate teapot was orbiting Mars. But unless I could prove it, people would laugh at me as well.

What you mean is, it is your opinion. That's better.


Of course it's an opinion. I stated it as an opinion. All phrases that start "I am absolutely certain..." are opinions.


And require a certain leap of faith.


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 23:41 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
Does it matter what I did for a hobby in 2001 or why? Especially compared with the FACT that modern road safety policy is based on bad science, false assumption and misinterprited statistics?


Of course it does. Because it makes clear your initial motives. And publishing and approving tips on how to illegally evade punishment for breaking the speed limit says very little, quite the opposite in fact, about concern for road safety.

SafeSpeed wrote:
Don't you care that life saving resources are being mis-allocated?


I am very interested in the debate about this, yes.

SafeSpeed wrote:
And anyway you're wrong. I did nothing to support the lady. And neither was she the motivation. More the trigger. The largest part was to promote the importance of safe speed. That's why it's called Safe Speed.


So the trigger for you starting the campaign was your feeling of injustice towards a woman who was penalised for breaking the speed limit. So you went on to list illegal ways of evading prosecution. Again, nothing about safety there.

And this is the important bit -you have yet to make any statement declaring that this was wrong, that breaking the law is wrong, and completely distancing yourself from the pages that you removed from the site because you knew they would do your cause harm. In fact, a couple of days ago you were blatantly lying about them.

Until you do this you cannot say that "It's the loss of life that drives me now" and expect anyone to take you seriously. People will continue to think that it is only about being able to drive as fast as you decide, and not be penalised for it if it is illegal.


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 23:46 
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smeggy wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
You don't like the fact that you are being penalised for how fast you want to drive. Of course you have some cameradery with those who agree. The bond is there, and on you go.

Nope!

What I don’t like is being prosecuted and facing disproportionate penalties, for driving an a completely safe and considerate manner, on an unfairly and unnecessarily overly-restricted road, all in the name of safety yet so obviously doesn’t achieve its claimed aims, when the resource would have been better utilised elsewhere.


We're going backwards again. Unless everyone is able to drive in your safe and considerate manner and maintain safety, then you are just going to have to do as you are told. You really are making far too much out of it.


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PostPosted: Sat Dec 09, 2006 00:07 
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Jub Jub wrote:
[We're going backwards again. Unless everyone is able to drive in your safe and considerate manner and maintain safety, then you are just going to have to do as you are told. You really are making far too much out of it.

You are stalling :)

Many more people are doing what they are told but this isn't increasing safety, so something else must be done instead.


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PostPosted: Sat Dec 09, 2006 00:10 
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Jub Jub wrote:
Fair enough.Are you assuming that they are blips then, or have all the other possible factors been clearly discounted?

It is government policy to site (85% of) speed cameras at sites where there is a blip (where the short term trend is greater than the long term trend, hence the rather inherent presence of RTTM).

I don’t discount other factors in the mix; in fact I have been claiming these other factors all along, like the A12 example I’ve given you.

Jub Jub wrote:
So it is actually more correct to make the suggestion that they bring some people below the speed limit, may slow others down and doesn't do a lot for another group. That is something different from saying "speed cameras don't slow people down".

I didn’t say that; my actual words were “People can speed at camera sites and still do”.
Don’t forget, some people will emergency brake, others may not notice because they are watching to make sure their speedo falls lower.


Jub Jub wrote:
<Aside>

As I have already stated, there is a place for speed cameras and speed camera enforcement, perhaps in your example a speed camera really could be of benefit – but – if people really want to race down such roads then any form of automated speed enforcement will not stop them, not at all.
The rise of crippling insurance for inexperienced for fast cars could also have been a factor in that case.

Here’s an example for you:
Local to me is the M275. People have been crossing at the mouth of this motorway :shock:
There are also another 2 lanes parallel to this, resulting with 4 consecutive carriageways. There have been a few pedestrian deaths in recent times (I think I knew one of the boys from school). What was done? They put up a speed camera and dropped the motorway speed limit to 50mph. Oh, just literally a few tens of meters away is a pedestrian underpass and pedestrian traffic lights….. :banghead:

Fence? :scratchchin:


Jub Jub wrote:
Now we are getting somewhere. You are questioning the effectiveness of speed cameras. Now you just have to accept that they are effective in some situations, and have some affect at slowing people down.

I’m not questioning the effectiveness of speed cameras, I am actually proving the ineffectiveness of speed cameras based on real world conclusions by investigative professionals. It is you who has to accept the argument that speed cameras cannot be anywhere near as effective as they have been claimed to be and that it is possible that their benefit could possibly be negative.

Jub Jub wrote:
The cost effectiveness issue is of course a good discussion, and may have some value. I have no idea what the running speed cameras is against the revenue raised. I'm sure others here do.

I once discussed this with the infamous Steve Callahan (Cumbria SCP). He goofed by admitting that the running cost of a gatso is actually greater than the installation cost, the latter being circa £40k


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PostPosted: Sat Dec 09, 2006 00:13 
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Jub Jub wrote:
In fact, a couple of days ago you [safespeed] were blatantly lying about them.

eeek


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PostPosted: Sat Dec 09, 2006 00:17 
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Before you get suspended, at least give a decent direct response to this:

smeggy again and again wrote:
Given that only 5% of the accidents used to justify the placement of a speed camera at a given location have ‘exceeding the speed limit’ as a contributing factor, the camera cannot influence the probability or severity of 95% of accidents. So how can the camera be anything more than 5% effective at reducing accidents? (and that’s not accounting for the unregistered, cloned, joyriders, nutters… as well as the stoned/drunk/distracted drivers who just so happened to be exceeding the speed limit).

Surely you must accept this and realise that this is at odds with the claims of speed cameras being so successful (which we know is subject to RTTM
)


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PostPosted: Sat Dec 09, 2006 04:33 
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Jub Jub wrote:
Think about it. You don't like the fact that you are being penalised for how fast you want to drive. Of course you have some cameradery with those who agree. The bond is there, and on you go.


Eh? I've never been caught by a speed camera. So much for 'being penalised'.

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PostPosted: Sat Dec 09, 2006 04:38 
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Jub Jub wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
smeggy wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
And I would be interested to know how someone would lose their license from being photographed by a camera twice in six minutes.

Perfectly possible, It depends on the speed she was caught at.


As I recall she had 6 points from two years earlier for a technical document offence.


A technical document offence? And how fast was she driving past the cameras?


I don't remember - but I well remember the sense of outrage that the full force of the law was being applied with drastic consequences for extremely trivial offences allegedly committed by a highly responsible member of society.

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PostPosted: Sat Dec 09, 2006 04:48 
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Jub Jub wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
Jub Jub wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
I'm absolutely certain that speed cameras worsen the skills and attitudes on which road safety is founded.


See? There you go again. Absolutely certain. You can't get there unless you have irrefutable evidence. And you don't. And you never will, because it is one of those things with too many variables.

I could be absolutely certain that the old chocolate teapot was orbiting Mars. But unless I could prove it, people would laugh at me as well.

What you mean is, it is your opinion. That's better.


Of course it's an opinion. I stated it as an opinion. All phrases that start "I am absolutely certain..." are opinions.


And require a certain leap of faith.


I haven't made a leap of faith. I don't want anyone to make a leap of faith.

I do want those who are equipped to examine the evidence and draw their own conclusions.

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PostPosted: Sat Dec 09, 2006 05:42 
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This little lot takes the biscuit. You're fresh out of ideas and writing nonsense.

Jub Jub wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
Does it matter what I did for a hobby in 2001 or why? Especially compared with the FACT that modern road safety policy is based on bad science, false assumption and misinterprited statistics?


Of course it does. Because it makes clear your initial motives.


It does no such thing. You're guessing based on libel and guessing wildly wrongly. Pathetic.

Jub Jub wrote:
And publishing and approving tips on how to illegally evade punishment for breaking the speed limit says very little, quite the opposite in fact, about concern for road safety.


Ah yes. You're saying that people should support road safety policies that they believe are completely ineffective, which is ridiculous.

And I wrote this to you: "I make no apology for exploring every aspect of the speed camera programme and publishing my findings. I NEVER advocated nor recommended, nor conspired with others to interfere with the process of justice. If I had I would have been arrested - and I wasn't."


Jub Jub wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
Don't you care that life saving resources are being mis-allocated?


I am very interested in the debate about this, yes.


Then why mess about with ancient misquotes, misunderstandings, libels and trivia?

Jub Jub wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
And anyway you're wrong. I did nothing to support the lady. And neither was she the motivation. More the trigger. The largest part was to promote the importance of safe speed. That's why it's called Safe Speed.


So the trigger for you starting the campaign was your feeling of injustice towards a woman who was penalised for breaking the speed limit. So you went on to list illegal ways of evading prosecution. Again, nothing about safety there.


Clearly there's something wrong with your comprehension.

Jub Jub wrote:
And this is the important bit -you have yet to make any statement declaring that this was wrong, that breaking the law is wrong, and completely distancing yourself from the pages that you removed from the site because you knew they would do your cause harm. In fact, a couple of days ago you were blatantly lying about them.


- You seem to be the only one who thinks it's important
- Produce your evidence regarding that statement about 'blatantly lying' which is false and deeply offensive.

Jub Jub wrote:
Until you do this you cannot say that "It's the loss of life that drives me now" and expect anyone to take you seriously.


:roll: You have to be joking.

Jub Jub wrote:
People will continue to think that it is only about being able to drive as fast as you decide, and not be penalised for it if it is illegal.


If people can't be bothered to find out what we're about then that's their problem. There's nothing I can do about it.

Now do you want to talk about road safety or not?

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