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PostPosted: Fri Dec 31, 2004 01:30 
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Twister wrote:
bogush wrote:
Were you hoping their objective was to become the duplicate governmental point of reference?

I was hoping their objective was to become the organisation described in their "About Us" page - i.e. one that was capable of examining all types of transport purely on a factual basis, without the need to exaggerate the problems inherent in a particular form of transport in order to improve the appearance of other forms.

But I've already pointed out what they are supposed to be.

Are you saying that you expect there to be an official pro-public transport/ anti-car government presence on the web, lots of pro-pro-public transport/ pro-anti-car government websites; additional websites to be neutral, and no "Third Way" pointing out that:

Transweb wrote:
Very much against public and political sentiment roads managed to avoid congestion would offer 3 to 4 times the capacity to move freight and people at one quarter the cost of rail while using 30% to 40% less energy and reducing casualty costs suffered by rail passengers by a factor of 2.

The problem with the proposition is that (a) it is so very much against expectation (b) the numbers are so overwhelming as to inspire disbelief rather than belief

Twister wrote:
Indeed. We all know how bad the roads can get at present, yet they're seriously suggesting, with a bit of management, that the road network could not only cope with the existing levels of traffic

Why not? In fact, why not several times existing levels?

Take the main radial routes into town near me:

Effectively four lane routes with pinch points.

They could have, very easily, removed the pinch points.

Instead they:

Introduced bus lanes.

Ran the bus lanes right up to junctions necessitiating a handbrake turn, or a turn using forward and reverse gears, to negitiate the junctions legally.

Built central islands.

Filled in bus lay-by's.


By removing the pinch points they could have increased the previous flows considerably.


By halving the road width, and constricting the junctions, and removing any possibility of "overtaking" vehicles casing a bottleneck they have effectively strangled these arteries.


By how many times could they have increased flow by making them full, continuous four lane roads?

By how many times have they reduced flow with their improvements?


If they were to reverse the improvements, and carry out some real ones:

By how many times could they increase flow?


Twister wrote:
but also with an additional amount of traffic equivalent to 3-4 times that carried by the rail network? Inspiring disbelief is one way of putting it...

Have you read the guy's CV:

He's spent a lifetime in Transport planning (before it became PC).

He claims that the large and expensive team BR built to put it's case had no answer to his points.

Are you challenging him?


Twister wrote:
Neat little soundbites like "At Waterloo 50,000 crushed passengers alight in the morning peak hour. They could all find seats in 1,000 50-seat motor coaches. Those coaches would occupy no more than one lane of a motor road. At Waterloo there is room for 3 or 4 lanes in each direction. The waste is lamentable."

That's a soundbite?! :roll:

Twister wrote:
make it sound like the poor old railways are really struggling against the mighty road. Yet what, EXACTLY, does "would occupy no more than one lane of a motor road" mean?

It's quite simple, but so hard to believe your mind refuses to accept it.

Bit like the South Sea Islanders who thought that European explorers' long boats dropped out of the sky because their galleons were so incomprehensible to them that they literally couldn't see them!

It means that just one lane of motorway could handle all the traffic.

PS He gives examples somewhere of it actually happening in the "real" world, doesn't he?

Which answers your following point. :wink:

(Or am I thinking of another website?)

I'll be back! :wink:

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 31, 2004 01:39 
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George Painter wrote:
bogush wrote:
[But don't you think that it would be an even greater shame if a legacy of that selfishness were left for our ancestors in the form of a destroyed road network (and a 19th Century one at that!), particularly as current circumstances see us requiring one


It's fortunate that people of vision actually run the country. Not people who simply think about themselves and the present.

When were roads invented Bogush? - I believe it was before the C19th

Sorry, but is that supposed to be a response to my Fri Dec 31, 2004 12:41am post?

Unfortunately I'm unable to see your point.

Perhaps I need a pair of these: : ::::...0^0¬

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 31, 2004 02:09 
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Rigpig wrote:
BTW, during your extensive literature search did you happen across...

http://www.rtcc.org/DEC04/UIC-en.html

RTCC= Responding To Climate Change. Not a phenomenon we like to acknowledge I'll admit. A shame if another legacy of our selfishness were that we ignored it and it subsequently proves to be correct.

"Transport alone causes 25% of the CO2 emissions at global level"

Would that be man-made?

"And air and road account for almost 90%"

Because they account for what percent of transport?

And how many times more inefficient (and so more polluting) did the Transwatch site say rail was?

This isn't another of those sites that think that energy for trains comes from (organically grown) solar panels on the carriage roofs?


And didn't I read somewhere that current CO2 levels already absorb all the available CO2 absorbable heat there is to absorb?

And that heating causes increases in CO2 levels, not the other way round?

And that cars produce an immeasurably small percentage of the total CO2, never mind of greenhouse gases?

And that the greenhouse gases have a negligible greenhouse effect in comparison to water vapour?

And that it's been far hotter with less CO2 and far cooler with far more CO2?

And it's the Sun wot warms the World?

And........


And what if CO2 does, despite all the real evidence, cause global warming, and we're heading for an ice age, and we need global warming, but we've reduce CO2 emissions "just in case" the opposite........?!


Rigpig wrote:
Or...

http://www.normanmacrae.com/CJ/consider_japan11.html

A look at Japans rail infrastructure.

Dead Link!


Rigpig wrote:
Or...

http://freespace.virgin.net/neil.worthi ... x/1943.htm

A look at the railways in wartime. (Just as well our predecessors weren't as selfish as we are, in more ways than one :wink: )

Or this...

http://www.transportblog.com/archives/c ... omics.html

Which contains quite a lot of links to rail related sites.

Not had a chance to read, but saved for future perusal.

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 31, 2004 09:09 
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bogush wrote:
PeterE wrote:
That map is the pre-Beeching network. There are a lot more white spaces now.

Are you saying that all the axed lines have been built over?

And all the remaining ones are efficient, economic and strategically relevant?

I was under the impression that you'd supplied this map to demonstrate "congested" areas with extensive rail networks, which obviously, as a map relating to conditions more than 40 years ago, it fails to do.

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 31, 2004 09:12 
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bogush wrote:
PeterE wrote:
Care to name an "uncongested" area with plenty of railways?

I thought I had?

Nope.

Neither have you provided an example of a "rural" railway that could usefully be converted to road.

Quote:
bogush wrote:
And remind me of all the motorways and (continuous, NSL) dual carriageways linking, say, Central Wales to the UK, East Anglia to the rest of England, or crossing the Pennines.

Care to explain why you have, yet again, ignored large chunks of yet another post?

Especially as it's in answer to one of your questions! :lol:

Another marvellous example of going off on a tangent.

Perhaps if you were capable of greater concision in your posts you might get answers to more of your points. Unfortunately life's too short...

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 31, 2004 09:17 
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http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/4135889.stm

UK makes more than 1bn rail trips

The train is fast becoming one of our favourite ways of travelling.

Commuters may rant about poor service, but Britons made more rail journeys in 2004 than for 45 years.

A total of 1.05 billion journeys were made by train this year, says the Association of Train Operating Companies.

The increase means that the public are making one million extra journeys a week.

Atoc director general George Muir said: "More people than ever are voting with their feet and travelling by train, which is good news for the environment.

"With nearly 1,400 new trains introduced this year alone and 320 new timetabled services running, we are attracting more passengers than in the late 1950s.

"It also means we have the fastest growing railway in Europe."

Transport Secretary Alistair Darling said: "The railways are now carrying more people than at any time since 1959."

Atoc said there had been increases in the number of journeys in all three categories of rail travel.

He said regional was up by 7.8%, long distance up 4.1 and London and southeast up by 2.6%.

Bob Crow, general secretary of Britain's biggest rail union, the Rail Maritime and Transport Union, said: " This is excellent news for Britain's railways and good for the environment."


---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Hmm, doesn't sound much like an obsolete and outmoded form of transport, does it?

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 31, 2004 09:20 
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bogush wrote:
Rigpig wrote:
I happen to think that it would be a great shame if a legacy of that selfishness were left for our ancestors in the form of a destroyed railway network, particularly if future circumstances see them requiring one :cry:

But don't you think that it would be an even greater shame if a legacy of that selfishness were left for our ancestors in the form of a destroyed road network (and a 19th Century one at that!), particularly as current circumstances see us requiring one

Where, apart from in your fevered imagination, did anyone propose destroying any part of the current road network?

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 31, 2004 09:36 
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PeterE wrote:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/4135889.stm

UK makes more than 1bn rail trips

The train is fast becoming one of our favourite ways of travelling.

Commuters may rant about poor service, but Britons made more rail journeys in 2004 than for 45 years.

A total of 1.05 billion journeys were made by train this year, says the Association of Train Operating Companies.

The increase means that the public are making one million extra journeys a week.

Atoc director general George Muir said: "More people than ever are voting with their feet and travelling by train, which is good news for the environment.

"With nearly 1,400 new trains introduced this year alone and 320 new timetabled services running, we are attracting more passengers than in the late 1950s.

"It also means we have the fastest growing railway in Europe."

Transport Secretary Alistair Darling said: "The railways are now carrying more people than at any time since 1959."

Atoc said there had been increases in the number of journeys in all three categories of rail travel.

He said regional was up by 7.8%, long distance up 4.1 and London and southeast up by 2.6%.

Bob Crow, general secretary of Britain's biggest rail union, the Rail Maritime and Transport Union, said: " This is excellent news for Britain's railways and good for the environment."


---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Hmm, doesn't sound much like an obsolete and outmoded form of transport, does it?


Peter, it sounds like a load of old spin.

The road network is (effectively) subsidising the rail network to the tune of billions per annum, and the rail network still only manages to carry 10% or so of the traffic. Does that really seem like good sense to you?

Surely if the rail network is so loved and so needed it should pass the test of profitability. Shouldn't it? If not, then why not?

(I'm really hoping there's a good answer to this one!)

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 31, 2004 10:01 
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No form of transport makes a profit in the UK. The roads are very heavily subsidised as are airports and to a lesser extent rail. If we were to go down the road of insisting on short-term profit from everything then schools, hospitals and overseas aid would have to be cancelled. We would soon degenerate into a very uncaring, selfish and ultimately non-sustainable society.


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 31, 2004 10:08 
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George Painter wrote:
No form of transport makes a profit in the UK. The roads are very heavily subsidised as are airports and to a lesser extent rail. If we were to go down the road of insisting on short-term profit from everything then schools, hospitals and overseas aid would have to be cancelled. We would soon degenerate into a very uncaring, selfish and ultimately non-sustainable society.


With a tax take alone on roads of 45 billion, and less than 6 billion spent annually on roads provision, how do you figure that one George? Seriously.

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 31, 2004 10:18 
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Good figures Peter and certainly reflect my recent experience. The trains are improving at a vast rate and can now get things right most of the time. I rarely finish a journey any more than 10 minutes behind predicted times and the service from Nottingham to London is superb - at #12 each return inc. free tea & coffee, exceptionally good value too. The best it's ever been.

Once the railways get rid of those who are determined to destroy it with ludicrously high maintenance charges and absurd safety regulations - which simply create more danger then we can look forward to higher passenger numbers, emptier roads so those who want to drive can do so and those of us who choose to spend our time more productively (I view travel time as work time with my laptop and mobile phone) can also continue to do so.


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 31, 2004 10:24 
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Simply - I'll dig out the figures later but road provision is not the entire social cost of roads. One tiny example - parking provision. A house with a drive costs at least 10K more than one without. On-street parking spaces work out at about that figure as do workplace parking places. Another speed control and policing - why should residents pay for speed bumps etc when it's to control speeding motorists? Then there's the cost to the health service of all the pollution caused very local to where people breath and 3 times as much globally as diesel trains or light rail. I could go on, but that's the gist of my argument. I don't expect you to agree but I'm provoking thoughts.


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 31, 2004 11:28 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
Peter, it sounds like a load of old spin.

The road network is (effectively) subsidising the rail network to the tune of billions per annum, and the rail network still only manages to carry 10% or so of the traffic. Does that really seem like good sense to you?

Surely if the rail network is so loved and so needed it should pass the test of profitability. Shouldn't it? If not, then why not?

The passenger numbers certainly aren't spin, and haven't been achieved through using subsidy to provide particularly low fares - indeed, people are often heard complaining about the high level of many rail fares.

I see no reason in principle why the state shouldn't fund the provision of transport infrastructure - by the same line of argument, all pavements and footpaths are subsidised. Also many road improvements in more remote areas (such as, say, all the improvements on the A9 north of Inverness) cannot be regarded as "profitable" in a strict sense.

The current level of subsidy (which I agree is much too high) largely stems from

(a) the complex and fragmented way in which the railways were privatised, which removes much incentive to operate more profitably, and
(b) the misguided public view that any price is worth paying for rail safety, which leads to much unnecessary gold-plating

In the later years of British Rail, when they had the commercially-focused Sector organisation, the overall level of public subsidy was less than a third of what it is now.

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 31, 2004 11:56 
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PeterE wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
Peter, it sounds like a load of old spin.

The road network is (effectively) subsidising the rail network to the tune of billions per annum, and the rail network still only manages to carry 10% or so of the traffic. Does that really seem like good sense to you?

Surely if the rail network is so loved and so needed it should pass the test of profitability. Shouldn't it? If not, then why not?

The passenger numbers certainly aren't spin, and haven't been achieved through using subsidy to provide particularly low fares - indeed, people are often heard complaining about the high level of many rail fares.

I see no reason in principle why the state shouldn't fund the provision of transport infrastructure - by the same line of argument, all pavements and footpaths are subsidised. Also many road improvements in more remote areas (such as, say, all the improvements on the A9 north of Inverness) cannot be regarded as "profitable" in a strict sense.

The current level of subsidy (which I agree is much too high) largely stems from

(a) the complex and fragmented way in which the railways were privatised, which removes much incentive to operate more profitably, and
(b) the misguided public view that any price is worth paying for rail safety, which leads to much unnecessary gold-plating

In the later years of British Rail, when they had the commercially-focused Sector organisation, the overall level of public subsidy was less than a third of what it is now.


I don't think you have come anywhere close to answering my question.

I don't object to public investment in transport infrastructure, but I can't think of a single reason why a transport system that's desired and well used shouldn't become a profit centre. I appreciate that there would be a need for unprofitable routes, but why shouldn't the profitable routes provide enough profit to cover the unprofitable routes?

The bottom line is that I tend to believe that the market makes good choices. If the market doesn't want rail at its true cost then we'd need some amazingly compelling reasons to waste cash providing it.

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 31, 2004 12:25 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
The bottom line is that I tend to believe that the market makes good choices.


And I tend to believe that the market makes choices that are convenient and attractive for itself. These choices are not necessarily in the interest of the overall good; many currently are, and will in future, wind up costing us dear. 'Cost' in this sense is not solely financial, there are others although I realise that money is our No1 attention getter these days.
But, sadly, our 'live for today' society doesn't care about such things.


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 31, 2004 12:32 
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I'm with Rigpig on this one - the *overall* cost is so rarely seen by the market spinners - and so the market (for want of a better phrase) makes misinformed choices.


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 31, 2004 12:59 
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Rigpig wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
The bottom line is that I tend to believe that the market makes good choices.


And I tend to believe that the market makes choices that are convenient and attractive for itself. These choices are not necessarily in the interest of the overall good; many currently are, and will in future, wind up costing us dear. 'Cost' in this sense is not solely financial, there are others although I realise that money is our No1 attention getter these days.
But, sadly, our 'live for today' society doesn't care about such things.


Rigpig and Roger,

[this is about 40% devil's advocate by the way - I suspect there might be a case for letting the market decide to pave over the railways.]

OK. I agree. The market might sometimes make a short term choice that's against the long term interest. But in this case how does the long term interest differ from the short term interest?

It's not like strip mining or nuclear power. It's about evolving transport choices. Market driven evolution seems pretty good to me. Can anyone tell me why it wouldn't be good in this case?

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 31, 2004 13:07 
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"Can anyone tell me why it wouldn't be good in this case?"

Yes - if for instance the oil dries up we have no alternative. Or the true cost of the war in Iraq is borne by the beneficiries - the motorist. Pollution levels in the inner cities would rise as cleaning up is unprofitable - why fit cats when they reduce milage and so increase costs? Where's the profit in driving safely - "the cost to society doesn't justify the few lives saved many of them are old people anyhow who are a drain on society"

If we allow profit to drive society forward we go backwards.


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 31, 2004 13:19 
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George Painter wrote:
Yes - if for instance the oil dries up we have no alternative..


Huh.....We have several alternatives to Oil.....Hydrogen for example.
Brazil also uses Alcohol as an alternative...both are limitless in availability.

All the major motor manufacturers and some governments are investing in Hydrogen technology and infrastructure.

Within the next 10-15 years motoring will not depend on oil.

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George Painter wrote:
"Can anyone tell me why it wouldn't be good in this case?"

Yes - if for instance the oil dries up we have no alternative.


Actually I think the market will sort that out as well. Sure hydrogen and bio diesel fuels are expensive now, but if the oil was running out and the price went up then all of a sudden there would be enough money to develop bio diesel and hydrogen fuels - and probably money left over to come up with further alternatives.

George Painter wrote:
Or the true cost of the war in Iraq is borne by the beneficiries - the motorist.


I'm absolutely disgusted and ashamed to be British about the war in Iraq. It certainly wasn't fought with my blessing. I don't want any "benefit" at any price.

George Painter wrote:
Pollution levels in the inner cities would rise as cleaning up is unprofitable - why fit cats when they reduce milage and so increase costs? Where's the profit in driving safely - "the cost to society doesn't justify the few lives saved many of them are old people anyhow who are a drain on society"

If we allow profit to drive society forward we go backwards.


Pollution controls are a good thing to legislate (at least they are when the science is good).

Crashing is expensive and painful so there's excellent pressure on folk not to crash.

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