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PostPosted: Fri Jun 19, 2009 16:18 
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Steve wrote:
weepej wrote:
That there's no such thing as a safe speed.

Are you saying you are always riding/driving/walking at a dangerous speed?
(before anyone claims a strawman - this is reductio ad absurdum)

Also, is 'driving at a speed such that one can stop within the distance one can reasonably expect to be clear' a safe speed? If not then why not?
Also, do you accept that definition of a safe speed is one accepted by the general population? If so then do you accept your opinion is one of an extreme minority?


In a pedantic sense the accepted definition could be of a speed carrying 'acceptable risk' rather than 'safe', this is where much of the disagreement can come from I think.

Of course if you want to be really pedantic even not moving at all carries a risk and 0mph is therefore not safe. :)

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PostPosted: Fri Jun 19, 2009 16:27 
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Quote:
You surely can't mean the other 95% of accidents :)



Yes, far too many too worry about, let's just concentrate on the minority shall we????

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My views do not represent Safespeed but those of a driver who has driven for 39 yrs, in all conditions, at all times of the day & night on every type of road and covered well over a million miles, so knows a bit about what makes for safety on the road,what is really dangerous and needs to be observed when driving and quite frankly, the speedo is way down on my list of things to observe to negotiate Britain's roads safely, but I don't expect some fool who sits behind a desk all day to appreciate that.


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PostPosted: Fri Jun 19, 2009 16:38 
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Quote:
Steve wrote:

weepej wrote:That there's no such thing as a safe speed.


Are you saying you are always riding/driving/walking at a dangerous speed?
(before anyone claims a strawman - this is reductio ad absurdum)

Also, is 'driving at a speed such that one can stop within the distance one can reasonably expect to be clear' a safe speed? If not then why not?
Also, do you accept that definition of a safe speed is one accepted by the general population? If so then do you accept your opinion is one of an extreme minority?



In a pedantic sense the accepted definition could be of a speed carrying 'acceptable risk' rather than 'safe', this is where much of the disagreement can come from I think.

Of course if you want to be really pedantic even not moving at all carries a risk and 0mph is therefore not safe. :)


Life's a dangerous hobby, it will surely kill you in the end so you might as well face up to it. The only thing that you have to decide is how you want to live it and evaluate the "risks" involved of everything you do.

We all have different ideas of what we want and what it's going to cost us in differing terms. If you are one of those people frightened to go out of the door every morning so be it but I believe in living my life as best as I can, so long as it doesn't upset too many other peoples lives. (you will always upset some people , no matter what you do).

My driving is a mixture of getting where I want in a reasonable time without taking too many "risks" (everything we do involves some sort of "risk"), upsetting as few people as possible and trying to ensure the best possible safety of myself, my passengers and road users around me.

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My views do not represent Safespeed but those of a driver who has driven for 39 yrs, in all conditions, at all times of the day & night on every type of road and covered well over a million miles, so knows a bit about what makes for safety on the road,what is really dangerous and needs to be observed when driving and quite frankly, the speedo is way down on my list of things to observe to negotiate Britain's roads safely, but I don't expect some fool who sits behind a desk all day to appreciate that.


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PostPosted: Fri Jun 19, 2009 22:20 
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graball wrote:
What I would like to see is some way of reducing accidents not caused by ,"people exceeding a speed limit" and some improvement in the increasing amount of poor/sloppy driving on our roads today. Speed cameras and speed restrictions won't do a thing to help those statistics.


Steve wrote:
You surely can't mean the other 95% of accidents

Round we go again..............................................

See: viewtopic.php?p=203480#p203480

...and you wonder why you don't get answers to all of your senseless questions...you just don't realise when you have already had them. :lol:


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PostPosted: Fri Jun 19, 2009 22:23 
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graball wrote:
Quote:
Steve wrote:

weepej wrote:That there's no such thing as a safe speed.


Are you saying you are always riding/driving/walking at a dangerous speed?
(before anyone claims a strawman - this is reductio ad absurdum)

Also, is 'driving at a speed such that one can stop within the distance one can reasonably expect to be clear' a safe speed? If not then why not?
Also, do you accept that definition of a safe speed is one accepted by the general population? If so then do you accept your opinion is one of an extreme minority?



In a pedantic sense the accepted definition could be of a speed carrying 'acceptable risk' rather than 'safe', this is where much of the disagreement can come from I think.

Of course if you want to be really pedantic even not moving at all carries a risk and 0mph is therefore not safe. :)


Life's a dangerous hobby, it will surely kill you in the end so you might as well face up to it. The only thing that you have to decide is how you want to live it and evaluate the "risks" involved of everything you do.

We all have different ideas of what we want and what it's going to cost us in differing terms. If you are one of those people frightened to go out of the door every morning so be it but I believe in living my life as best as I can, so long as it doesn't upset too many other peoples lives. (you will always upset some people , no matter what you do).

My driving is a mixture of getting where I want in a reasonable time without taking too many "risks" (everything we do involves some sort of "risk"), upsetting as few people as possible and trying to ensure the best possible safety of myself, my passengers and road users around me.

Well that's real nice of you...same as me...now just try to do it lawfully as well.


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PostPosted: Fri Jun 19, 2009 22:50 
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GreenShed wrote:
Your "fundamental confounding factors" are nothing more than assumptions on your part and have no supporting base.


I don't suppose you'd care to point us in the direction of any research that you might be aware of that addreses each of Steve's confounding factors and shows why each can be discounted - or better, quantifies the effect of each of them and explains why they can be discounted?


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PostPosted: Fri Jun 19, 2009 23:01 
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Anyway Greenshed, I'm glad you're back! I saw something the other day on PH and thought of you!

GreenShed wrote:
...2. The human frame cannot be made to decelerate rapidly without some movement of the internal organs. Stop it too suddenly from forward motion and your internal organs keep going as they are not in seat belts :lol: they do have small yet fragile restraints though. They come to a stop against your frame in the form of your skeleton and skin. In the sudden arrest of forward motion your head becomes detached from your body, it kills you quite suddenly and painlessly I believe; perhaps the rising arch of your aorta will move forward to stop aganst your ribs and rupture, death not as swift as the neck break but faily swift never the less. The way to prevent this is to either not be going so fast in the first place or to bring the body to a surviveable stop, i.e. gradually; in a hardy vehicle that would need to be done within the confines of the vehicle passenger cage; not much room to do that so the vehicle would have to be made larger to allow this to happen.

Hope that helps.


Here are a couple of new ways (that are now in the public domain) of reducing occupant decelerations without making cars larger:

http://www.pistonheads.com/news/default ... ryId=20096


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PostPosted: Fri Jun 19, 2009 23:11 
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Quote:
GreenShed on Fri Jun 19, 2009 9:23 pm

graball wrote:

Steve wrote:

weepej wrote:That there's no such thing as a safe speed.


Are you saying you are always riding/driving/walking at a dangerous speed?
(before anyone claims a strawman - this is reductio ad absurdum)

Also, is 'driving at a speed such that one can stop within the distance one can reasonably expect to be clear' a safe speed? If not then why not?
Also, do you accept that definition of a safe speed is one accepted by the general population? If so then do you accept your opinion is one of an extreme minority?



In a pedantic sense the accepted definition could be of a speed carrying 'acceptable risk' rather than 'safe', this is where much of the disagreement can come from I think.

Of course if you want to be really pedantic even not moving at all carries a risk and 0mph is therefore not safe. :)



Life's a dangerous hobby, it will surely kill you in the end so you might as well face up to it. The only thing that you have to decide is how you want to live it and evaluate the "risks" involved of everything you do.

We all have different ideas of what we want and what it's going to cost us in differing terms. If you are one of those people frightened to go out of the door every morning so be it but I believe in living my life as best as I can, so long as it doesn't upset too many other peoples lives. (you will always upset some people , no matter what you do).

My driving is a mixture of getting where I want in a reasonable time without taking too many "risks" (everything we do involves some sort of "risk"), upsetting as few people as possible and trying to ensure the best possible safety of myself, my passengers and road users around me.


Well that's real nice of you...same as me...now just try to do it lawfully as well.
graball wrote:
Quote:
Steve wrote:

weepej wrote:That there's no such thing as a safe speed.


Are you saying you are always riding/driving/walking at a dangerous speed?
(before anyone claims a strawman - this is reductio ad absurdum)

Also, is 'driving at a speed such that one can stop within the distance one can reasonably expect to be clear' a safe speed? If not then why not?
Also, do you accept that definition of a safe speed is one accepted by the general population? If so then do you accept your opinion is one of an extreme minority?



In a pedantic sense the accepted definition could be of a speed carrying 'acceptable risk' rather than 'safe', this is where much of the disagreement can come from I think.

Of course if you want to be really pedantic even not moving at all carries a risk and 0mph is therefore not safe. :)


Life's a dangerous hobby, it will surely kill you in the end so you might as well face up to it. The only thing that you have to decide is how you want to live it and evaluate the "risks" involved of everything you do.

We all have different ideas of what we want and what it's going to cost us in differing terms. If you are one of those people frightened to go out of the door every morning so be it but I believe in living my life as best as I can, so long as it doesn't upset too many other peoples lives. (you will always upset some people , no matter what you do).

My driving is a mixture of getting where I want in a reasonable time without taking too many "risks" (everything we do involves some sort of "risk"), upsetting as few people as possible and trying to ensure the best possible safety of myself, my passengers and road users around me.

Well that's real nice of you...same as me...now just try to do it lawfully as well.



Who said that I wasn't doing it lawfully and if I'm not, is it really any concern of yours?

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My views do not represent Safespeed but those of a driver who has driven for 39 yrs, in all conditions, at all times of the day & night on every type of road and covered well over a million miles, so knows a bit about what makes for safety on the road,what is really dangerous and needs to be observed when driving and quite frankly, the speedo is way down on my list of things to observe to negotiate Britain's roads safely, but I don't expect some fool who sits behind a desk all day to appreciate that.


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PostPosted: Fri Jun 19, 2009 23:30 
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GreenShed wrote:
...and you wonder why you don't get answers to all of your senseless questions...you just don't realise when you have already had them.

Your not being able to determine the logical sense doesn't mean none exists. Besides, I reckon I know why don't answer my questions....after all everybody, except those whose job is related to SCP activitierss, seems to understand and accept these very simple concepts.
Let's see if you can spot this and the other hidden message :roll:
How does my argument of 'bias on selection' not make sense to you? Please explain.

Do you really think you're doing your stance any favours by still failing to understand those extremely simple logical steps:
Camera success is indeed measured in KSI reduction, but many other things cause KSI reduction, even at camera sites; hence it follows that the standard measure for camera success, as you have stated it (the KSI reduction), is a fallacy."

Is your entire stance really based on that not making logical sense?

Seriously? :lol:

Here's your chance to redeem yourself. Either accept it, or demonstrate the fallacy contained within it, or accept you don't have the mental capability to participate in this debate.
(we know it's not the latter, but I thought I would cover all bases for completeness)

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PostPosted: Fri Jun 19, 2009 23:56 
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Quote:
Well that's real nice of you...same as me...now just try to do it lawfully as well.


The problem with this country is that, due to ill informed people who can't see past the end of a spreadsheet, what was legal one day and has been for decades can suddenly become illegal tomorrow and this is happening all over the country on a day by day basis. So the difference between doing something legally and illegally can be down to one or two person's interpretation of "safe".

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My views do not represent Safespeed but those of a driver who has driven for 39 yrs, in all conditions, at all times of the day & night on every type of road and covered well over a million miles, so knows a bit about what makes for safety on the road,what is really dangerous and needs to be observed when driving and quite frankly, the speedo is way down on my list of things to observe to negotiate Britain's roads safely, but I don't expect some fool who sits behind a desk all day to appreciate that.


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PostPosted: Sat Jun 20, 2009 00:12 
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Mole wrote:
GreenShed wrote:
Your "fundamental confounding factors" are nothing more than assumptions on your part and have no supporting base.


I don't suppose you'd care to point us in the direction of any research that you might be aware of that addreses each of Steve's confounding factors and shows why each can be discounted - or better, quantifies the effect of each of them and explains why they can be discounted?

I suppose would be worthwhile starting with finding some research that said they existed in the first place but I don't believe that it would be down to me to do that.


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PostPosted: Sat Jun 20, 2009 00:21 
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graball wrote:
Quote:
Well that's real nice of you...same as me...now just try to do it lawfully as well.


The problem with this country is that, due to ill informed people who can't see past the end of a spreadsheet, what was legal one day and has been for decades can suddenly become illegal tomorrow and this is happening all over the country on a day by day basis. So the difference between doing something legally and illegally can be down to one or two person's interpretation of "safe".

I'm guesing you are making an obtuse reference to roads that have had a speed limit changed in the downward direction.

If so then moving the legal limit downward and then driving at the previously higher limit will have an adverse effect on safety; drivers, a large number of them will be expecting drivers to be expecting ther drivers to be approaching at or about the maximum posted limit;anyone exceeding that will be putting others at a higher risk.

So what was legal will therefore become detrimental to safety if not observed.

Speed limits are not conditional; if that is what you would prefer then make arrangements to campaign and lobby for that; so far this campaign has developed nothing worth advancing that would be considered in favour of making such changes. almost 7 years and zero progress...well done all!


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PostPosted: Sat Jun 20, 2009 00:31 
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Steve wrote:
GreenShed wrote:
...and you wonder why you don't get answers to all of your senseless questions...you just don't realise when you have already had them.

Your not being able to determine the logical sense doesn't mean none exists. Besides, I reckon I know why don't answer my questions....after all everybody, except those whose job is related to SCP activitierss, seems to understand and accept these very simple concepts.
Let's see if you can spot this and the other hidden message :roll:
How does my argument of 'bias on selection' not make sense to you? Please explain.

Do you really think you're doing your stance any favours by still failing to understand those extremely simple logical steps:
Camera success is indeed measured in KSI reduction, but many other things cause KSI reduction, even at camera sites; hence it follows that the standard measure for camera success, as you have stated it (the KSI reduction), is a fallacy."

Is your entire stance really based on that not making logical sense?

Seriously? :lol:

Here's your chance to redeem yourself. Either accept it, or demonstrate the fallacy contained within it, or accept you don't have the mental capability to participate in this debate.
(we know it's not the latter, but I thought I would cover all bases for completeness)

You have so far advanced nothing in support of your claims yet demand much of thse who argue against you. When references, freely available to you are provided you read and dismiss one with further unsupported detractions.
A barbed coment on intellect sharply withdrawn when you know it is obviously petty and untrue does you no service; you would be well advised to take notice of the site owners comments earlier in this thread.
You have aked for and been provided with said references provide none and then make personal attacks claiming the upper hand and demand answers to charges you provide no support for...it should be no wonder to you that further response is not forthcoming from this quarter. Further demands for questions to be answered from you sir, will be met with silence until you show the intellect, wit, manners and observace of the forum rules that would deserve such.


Last edited by GreenShed on Sat Jun 20, 2009 00:33, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 20, 2009 07:02 
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GreenShed wrote:
Mole wrote:
GreenShed wrote:
Your "fundamental confounding factors" are nothing more than assumptions on your part and have no supporting base.


I don't suppose you'd care to point us in the direction of any research that you might be aware of that addreses each of Steve's confounding factors and shows why each can be discounted - or better, quantifies the effect of each of them and explains why they can be discounted?

I suppose would be worthwhile starting with finding some research that said they existed in the first place but I don't believe that it would be down to me to do that.


I still have the textbook I used for my statistics course in 1966. It explains Regression to the Mean very well. Would you like to borrow it.

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 20, 2009 10:39 
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GreenShed wrote:
You have so far advanced nothing in support of your claims yet demand much of thse who argue against you. When references, freely available to you are provided you read and dismiss one with further unsupported detractions.

Freely available? Where? I've directly asked you this and you didn't respond to that post at all.
I supported my detraction with logical arguments which I openly explained to you. If you aren't able to counter my argument then you have to accept the possibility that my argument is sound - is that not a fair comment?

So far, your approach to such analysis has been 'well, no one has published any hard research on it, therefore it must be untrue, even though you have demonstrated a sound argument that holds against scrutiny', does that seem like a reasonably logical way to respond? What would you have said to those arguing the RTTM case before the Four Year Report came out?

GreenShed wrote:
A barbed coment on intellect sharply withdrawn when you know it is obviously petty and untrue does you no service; you would be well advised to take notice of the site owners comments earlier in this thread.

You have gotten confused yet again. There was no personal attack; I merely pointed out all the possible options of what must be.

Repeating myself again, I don't believe you lack the basic intelligence to understand the concept of:
A is claimed to result with Y
B also results with Y
Therefore Y cannot necessarily have been caused by A

...so do you understand this or not? Unless you want to argue that Y must have been caused by A only?

GreenShed wrote:
You have aked for and been provided with said references provide none and then make personal attacks claiming the upper hand and demand answers to charges you provide no support for...

I already gave the necessary response. Isn't an logical argument, which as yet remains unrefuted despite ample opportunity for scrutiny, not strong support for my charges? If not then why not? If you cannot answer this then your response is invalidated.

GreenShed wrote:
it should be no wonder to you that further response is not forthcoming from this quarter.
Further demands for questions to be answered from you sir, will be met with silence until you show the intellect, wit, manners and observace of the forum rules that would deserve such.

You've already ignored many of my responses to you; on one occasion where you did reply said you won't give a point by point response, so this doesn't make much difference anyway.
What you mean is that I've not attacked you, but you actually decided the last option within the given three of "Either accept it, or demonstrate the fallacy contained within it, or accept you don't have the mental capability to participate in this debate." must be the only applicable one, even though I had said "we know it's not the latter".
Tell us why you inferred the last option must be the only applicable one, when no such implication was given; are you really not able to “accept” or “counter” my explained arguments?
Wouldn't you say my statement with the three options is inherently logically correct? If not then how could you possibly dispute it?

If you think that was a breach of the forum rules then please report that post - let us know how that goes!
As much as you might try to misrepresent it, my method isn’t one based on ad hominem; it is actually one intended to either derive a decent response from you, or failing that to show the reader the carss (oops, typo) cards you are likely to be holding.

I will continue responding to you; your ignoring me will further demonstrate to the reader that you have no adequate response and you'll do further damage to your own stance :)

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 20, 2009 11:02 
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GreenShed wrote:
I suppose would be worthwhile starting with finding some research that said they existed in the first place but I don't believe that it would be down to me to do that.


Sorry Greenshed, but that's not how the game is played! You ought to know that by now!

By saying:

GreenShed wrote:
Your "fundamental confounding factors" are nothing more than assumptions on your part and have no supporting base.


you are making a claim. It's now up to YOU to back that up with some FACTS - if you want anyone on here to take you seriously, that is! I know you might feel that a simple statement from you ought to be sufficient to have us all stop dead in our tracks and "see the light", but you ought to know by now that we're pretty hardened to SCP "bluff and bluster"!

So...

..for the avoidance of doubt, I'm looking for YOU to provide US with evidence that:

RTTM is "nothing more than assumptions on our part and has no supporting base".
Reduced exposure is "nothing more than assumptions on our part and has no supporting base".
Less overall travel is "nothing more than assumptions on our part and has no supporting base".
a concerted crackdown on other offences is " nothing more than assumptions on our part and has no supporting base".

and while you're about it, some evidence that:

Casualty reduction due to improvements in vehicle design have been "nothing more than assumptions on our part and has no supporting base".
Casualty reduction due to improvements in road layout have been "nothing more than assumptions on our part and has no supporting base".
Casualty reduction due to improvements in medical care of A&E vitims is "nothing more than assumptions on our part and has no supporting base".


...and so on, for each of the other factors that could have also brought about an improvement in the KSI rate.

And that's BEFORE you provide us with some kind of independently audited figures to prove that it would be impossible for the partnerships to "manipulate" their "SI" figures. You see, using your own figures puts you in the same credibility league as the car company that claims "0-60 in 3 seconds, 200MPG" and then in the small print at the bottom of the ad - (manufacturer's figures)

I say again, if you were a pharamceutical company trying to sell us some miracle cure that you were espousing the benefits of, you'd sell plenty of it to the vulnerable and gullible, but to anyone else, you'd need to prove that it's claimed benefits weren't, in whole or in part, due to some other effect!


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PostPosted: Sat Jun 20, 2009 11:43 
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GreenShed wrote:
graball wrote:
What I would like to see is some way of reducing accidents not caused by ,"people exceeding a speed limit" and some improvement in the increasing amount of poor/sloppy driving on our roads today. Speed cameras and speed restrictions won't do a thing to help those statistics.


Steve wrote:
You surely can't mean the other 95% of accidents

Round we go again..............................................

See: viewtopic.php?p=203480#p203480

...and you wonder why you don't get answers to all of your senseless questions...you just don't realise when you have already had them. :lol:


Just because you've answered something doesn't mean you're right!


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PostPosted: Sun Jun 21, 2009 10:02 
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On this point:
greenshed wrote:
Your "fundamental confounding factors" are nothing more than assumptions on your part and have no supporting base.


I had a little look around the interweb, and despite these confounding factors being nothing more than assumption with no base, it is amazing how many organisations seem to agree with them. Let's just focus on safer roads and cars:
http://www.eurorap.org/casualty_reduction
Note that EuroRAP believe that a casualty reduction of 44% could be acheived in the UK by improving the infrastructure.

TRL work with EuroNCAP even though safer vehicles are nothing more than assumptions on our part and have no supporting base:
http://www.trl.co.uk/consultancy/automotive/euroncap.htm

EuroNCAP themselves are improving tests to further increase car safety:
http://www.euroncap.com/Content-Web-Article/a9c0de14-ed3f-41cf-a5ed-c2dd83f10a5f/new-rating-to-play-starring-role-in-improving-car.aspx

A lot of time and effort seems to be spent on these assumptions that have no supporting base.


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PostPosted: Sun Jun 21, 2009 10:41 
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I do apologise for that late response to this:
greenshed wrote:
Well that's real nice of you...same as me...now just try to do it lawfully as well.

You have made the classic error of many debaters that support automated enforcement. You assume that if someone is against automated enforcement then they must exceed the speed limit all the time.
I do not, and I doubt you will find a single poster on here who does.

The other classic mistake is that we must want to exceed the limit without getting caught, this again is not true, I simply want to drive legally at a sensibly set speed limit.


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PostPosted: Sun Jun 21, 2009 12:07 
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Quote:
The other classic mistake is that we must want to exceed the limit without getting caught, this again is not true, I simply want to drive legally at a sensibly set speed limit.


Exactly, Odin, respect for speed limits comes from the fact that they are sensible and the "majority" of drivers, feel them to be safe.

Greenshed,
You seem to think that speed cameras go a long way to reducing accidents, personally, I don't but what really upsets me, more than the number of caualties on the road, is the really bad standard of driving which IS getting worse and cameras won't do anything to remedy this.

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