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PostPosted: Wed Feb 03, 2010 08:41 
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dcbwhaley wrote:
Because it is an extremely complex subject to understand. The fact that I don't fully understand another subject, for example the engineering behind the safety of nucleur reactors, doesn't mean that there is a conspiracy to conceal the facts from me.


Though of course, in the case of your analogy, nobody is justifying their job/raising taxation/exerting influence based on you, and others, believing something about nuclear safety without any proof/consensus.

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PostPosted: Wed Feb 03, 2010 14:30 
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RobinXe wrote:
Though of course, in the case of your analogy, nobody is justifying their job/raising taxation/exerting influence based on you, and others, believing something about nuclear safety without any proof/consensus.


Oh but they are. The nuclear construction industry is justifying their job/raising taxation/exerting influence for the building of more power stations believing, without any proof/consensus, that the waste can be safely stored or disposed of.

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PostPosted: Wed Feb 03, 2010 15:02 
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So you think there is is a conspiracy to conceal the facts from you in your example?

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PostPosted: Wed Feb 03, 2010 15:04 
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On the other hand....using thorium instead of uranium/plutonium would reduce the waste and the time it needs to be stored....which is where the nuclear industry seems to be heading...

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56 years after it was decided it was needed, the Bedford Bypass is nearing completion. The last single carriageway length of it.We have the most photogenic mayor though, always being photographed doing nothing


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PostPosted: Wed Feb 03, 2010 20:36 
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teabelly wrote:
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/images/stories/papers/originals/surface_temp.pdf

Is the warming observed even real warming and not down to change in number and location of temperature recording stations? The whole argument is based on whether a) the world has warmed and b) whether it is something unusual and c) whether man is the cause. If the whole warming is down to a statistical bias then it doesn't matter about the rest as there is no global warming so maybe politicians should spend time doing something useful instead of pushing the poor into fuel poverty because of their adherence to cock eyed theories.

How accurate are temperature sensors anyway?



Or you can just plough through THIS and attempt to extract the meaning....I think he means that the warming is a product of bias and not real...

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Quote:
http://chiefio.wordpress.com/about/
But I’ve gotten pulled into showing that the whole Global Warming thesis is just broken. It is based on a belief that the computer generated fantasy is more accurate than reality. That is all too common in folks who have not had the experience of working with computers “down and dirty” in the code. So for now, I’ve dusted off those old FORTRAN skills and I’m working my way, one step at a time, through the code and the data, finding just where, and how, it is broken. Maybe a book will come from this some day, too.

Why? Because the “running out” paranoia and the “carbon cap” solution will destroy the American Economy. I want a better world than that for my kids. Simple as that. Because I hate error and waste, and the AGW thesis with the proposed “solution” is both. The rest flows as a natural consequence.

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The world runs on oil, period. No other substance can compete when it comes to energy density, flexibility, ease of handling, ease of transportation. If oil didn’t exist we would have to invent it.”

56 years after it was decided it was needed, the Bedford Bypass is nearing completion. The last single carriageway length of it.We have the most photogenic mayor though, always being photographed doing nothing


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PostPosted: Fri Feb 05, 2010 01:19 
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Totally missing is any indication of who will pay for the increased carbon price, and/or the vastly increased cost of power generation. Somehow, Ofgem seems to believe that this is a no-cost option.


http://eureferendum.blogspot.com/2010/02/gone-native.html

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The world runs on oil, period. No other substance can compete when it comes to energy density, flexibility, ease of handling, ease of transportation. If oil didn’t exist we would have to invent it.”

56 years after it was decided it was needed, the Bedford Bypass is nearing completion. The last single carriageway length of it.We have the most photogenic mayor though, always being photographed doing nothing


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PostPosted: Sat Feb 06, 2010 02:26 
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Image

Image

From: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/8500443.stm

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PostPosted: Sat Feb 06, 2010 08:37 
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Steve wrote:
Image



You can have referenda to decide whether the world is flat or whether it would be more convenient to set the value of pi to be exactly three. But no amount of voting will change the physical reality.

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PostPosted: Sat Feb 06, 2010 09:33 
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dcbwhaley wrote:
You can have referenda to decide whether the world is flat or whether it would be more convenient to set the value of pi to be exactly three. But no amount of voting will change the physical reality.


Could not agree more, group decisions are inherently more risky, and science through consensus is not automatically valid. I would not, however, suppose to call AGW sceptics flat-earthers; I would reserve this title for those who have made their mind up to the exclusion of further scientific enquiry!

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PostPosted: Sat Feb 06, 2010 13:41 
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dcbwhaley wrote:
You can have referenda to decide whether the world is flat or whether it would be more convenient to set the value of pi to be exactly three. But no amount of voting will change the physical reality.

Tell that to the IPCC.

But that wasn't the point of my post. It is actually following on from this one about what Joe/Jane Average thinks and how they would be thinking that given this critical issue is based on science, science which is "settled".

Please don't try to obfuscate the issue with these previously failed 'flat earth' references.

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PostPosted: Sat Feb 06, 2010 14:11 
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Going by the warmist sites the next "physical reality" will be to increase cloud cover and decrease the release of "soot" and "dust".
The fast approaching public realisation that the agw hypothesis is over-egged surely means that another route to dominance will be sought...and I see the germination of new paths to promote mankinds activities as anti-green (I just consider all greens to be anti-people)

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The world runs on oil, period. No other substance can compete when it comes to energy density, flexibility, ease of handling, ease of transportation. If oil didn’t exist we would have to invent it.”

56 years after it was decided it was needed, the Bedford Bypass is nearing completion. The last single carriageway length of it.We have the most photogenic mayor though, always being photographed doing nothing


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PostPosted: Sat Feb 06, 2010 20:32 
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Steve wrote:
But that wasn't the point of my post. It is actually following on from this one about what Joe/Jane Average thinks and how they would be thinking that given this critical issue is based on science, science which is "settled".


Yes I appreciate that

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Please don't try to obfuscate the issue with these previously failed 'flat earth' references.


Flat Earth was merely the first thing that came to mind as something obviously wrong and which couldn't be made right by voting. No intention to obfuscate

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PostPosted: Sun Feb 07, 2010 09:18 
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As I suspected. Anti AGW propaganda is being financed by big oil.

http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change/thinktanks-take-oil-money-and-use-it-to-fund-climate-deniers-1891747.html

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PostPosted: Sun Feb 07, 2010 09:50 
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dcbwhaley wrote:
As I suspected. Anti AGW propaganda is being financed by big oil.


Oh dear! The age old fallacy "My opponent paid for the research therefore it is invalid". Do you expect that oil and coal industries would be supporting research that would kill their industries? Do you expect that Greenpeace, WWF etc would produce research that says we should continue our current high energy use lifestyle?

You have to check their sources and methodology, including the care that is given to review of their work, to get an indication (note not absolute certainty) of whether it has any validity. Beware of "Peer review" - when it is good it is very good; when it is bad it is awful. The best peer review is done by those who are skilled in the art but sceptical of the work; the worst is done by those who are too close in their line of thinking - that borders on incestuous. Consider this: a treatise by a Cardinal on the absolute righteousness of the Roman Catholic dogma would get a kind review by his fellow Cardinals; the Anglican Archbishops would be more critical and the Muslim leaders would tear it to shreds. Which of these is more likely to find flaws in the arguments?

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PostPosted: Sun Feb 07, 2010 10:30 
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MFL wrote:
Oh dear! The age old fallacy "My opponent paid for the research therefore it is invalid".


To set against the age old truism "he has vested interest in this research being true therefore I will treat it with great scepticism". That is the argument that sceptics exemplified by jomouk use - that the government would benefit if AGW were to be proved true and are thus manipulating the research. It is equally valid to argue that big oil will benefit if AGW is proved to be false and are thus manipulating the research.

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PostPosted: Sun Feb 07, 2010 10:36 
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yawn


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PostPosted: Sun Feb 07, 2010 11:56 
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adam.L wrote:
yawn


Sand, suitable for the burying of heads, is available at all builders merchants and DiY stores.

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PostPosted: Sun Feb 07, 2010 12:52 
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dcbwhaley wrote:
adam.L wrote:
yawn


Sand, suitable for the burying of heads, is available at all builders merchants and DiY stores.



Quite, and if you truly believe that the policies proposed by Politicians to "Combat AGW" are really going to result in fossil fuels lying in the ground unexploited then I suspect that you are already burying your head in it.

The bottom line is that all exploitable fossil fuels will be consumed over the next couple of centuries. All "Combatting AGW" will achieve is to generate whacking great proffits for the middle men (Which includes the Oil and Coal industries) and an excuse for politicians to exert ever more Tax and controll over our lives.

All for our own good of course!

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PostPosted: Sun Feb 07, 2010 13:19 
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Given that the government and opposition parties of this country have been stealing taxpayers money to fund their extravagant lifestyle/s and property deals for many decades, and having been discovered are hardly apologetic and are hastily putting in-place another way of stealing without being found out, I find your allegation that "sceptics" have their heads buried in sand for not "believing" the politicians protestations that we are "doomed" rather amusing.

And "big oil", far from financing sceptics (with very little....compared to the billions spent by government/s on "warmism") are benefiting from billions in carbon credits.

In fact, if you follow the money you will find that the carbon-trading industry is awash with cash...so much so that it dwarfs the illegal drug industry in available resource.

Quote:
#The US government has provided over $79 billion since 1989 on policies related to climate change, including science and technology research, foreign aid, and tax breaks.
# Despite the billions: “audits” of the science are left to unpaid volunteers. A dedicated but largely uncoordinated grassroots movement of scientists has sprung up around the globe to test the integrity of the theory and compete with a well funded highly organized climate monopoly. They have exposed major errors.
# Carbon trading worldwide reached $126 billion in 2008. Banks are calling for more carbon-trading. And experts are predicting the carbon market will reach $2 – $10 trillion making carbon the largest single commodity traded [with no obvious product existing]
# Meanwhile in a distracting sideshow, Exxon-Mobil Corp is repeatedly attacked for paying a grand total of $23 million to skeptics [in over ten years] — less than a thousandth of what the US government has put in, and less than one five-thousandth of the value of carbon trading in just the single year of 2008.
# The large expenditure in search of a connection between carbon and climate creates enormous momentum and a powerful set of vested interests. By pouring so much money into one theory, have we inadvertently created a self-fulfilling prophesy instead of an unbiased investigation?


http://joannenova.com.au/2009/07/massive-climate-funding-exposed/

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56 years after it was decided it was needed, the Bedford Bypass is nearing completion. The last single carriageway length of it.We have the most photogenic mayor though, always being photographed doing nothing


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PostPosted: Sun Feb 07, 2010 13:45 
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jomukuk wrote:
Given that the government and opposition parties of this country have been stealing taxpayers money to fund their extravagant lifestyle/s and property deals for many decades, and having been discovered are hardly apologetic and are hastily putting in-place another way of stealing without being found out, I find your allegation that "sceptics" have their heads buried in sand for not "believing" the politicians protestations that we are "doomed" rather amusing.


It would be hilarious if I had actually made that allegation. My point was that, be you sceptic or believer, the issue of global warming will not go away because a young farmer is bored by it.

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