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PostPosted: Fri Aug 13, 2010 23:54 
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whynot wrote:
Funny, their findings completely contradict my experience on the A34 last Friday (6th) where in the 50mph section of road, which skirts around Oxford, traffic was travelling at within 50 + 10% both in the morning and on my return journey in the afternoon.

I suppose that if they pick a road that has a limit not in keeping with the actual needs of the road then you can get the result you want. If I picked a country lane that was NSL I doubt if would get any vehicles exceeding it, but if I picked some of the ridiculously low 30 mph limits that have come about recently then I would expect a high level of non-compliance.


It's called cherry picking of results- something the Scametati are good at . ( they're also masters of data massaging , and manipulating) -makes the data feel a lot better ,and the public more responsive -till it gets scrutinised and analysed -then all their feories( amalgam of theories and feelings) start to show up the holes in their arguments .

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PostPosted: Sat Aug 14, 2010 07:31 
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In the case of the A34, traffic density tends to make that limit fairly self-enforcing. It doesn't take too many limit limpets to make everyone stick to 50.


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PostPosted: Sat Aug 14, 2010 11:05 
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Yes, you are right about cherry picking the locations to get the result that you want.

I am very familiar with the bit of the A34 round Oxford with the 50 limit. The only cameras I have seen here are mobiles and then mostly at the end of the southbound section in the pull in just before the NSL resumes. If I were driving along this section then I would also be keeping to 50mph just in case.

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PostPosted: Sun Aug 15, 2010 10:50 
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If they did a survey on the Bristol Road in Birmingham which has recently dropped from a sensible :40: to a, very stupid and unnoticeable, :30: I would bet 99.9% of drivers would be seen to be speeding down there now.

I use that road on average about four times a week and tried keeping to :30: the other day for the entire stretch right up to where it joins the Aston Expressway A38(M). Not only is it extremely difficult it is also most certainly dangerous because the traffic bunches together more as it tries to merge for the tunnels.

There wasn't one single car that stayed behind me! It's a typical example of the non-compliance when an unrealistic and absurdly low limit is 'in force'. Take a look for yourself at this new :30: limit..

Image

To add further insult and stupidity, the road which intersects it at right angles at that junction has a :40: limit even though it has bus stops and, further up, a school - yet it is :40: Here it is..

Image

Don't tell me these things are based on safety because they absolutely are not! There is no consistency, thought or good reasoning behind it!

"If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it. The lie can be maintained only for such time as the State can shield the people from the political, economic and/or military consequences of the lie. It thus becomes vitally important for the State to use all of its powers to repress dissent, for the truth is the mortal enemy of the lie, and thus by extension, the truth is the greatest enemy of the State."

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PostPosted: Sun Aug 15, 2010 20:47 
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And on a similar parallel( it's mildly O/T, so I hope the O/T police :wink: ,will bear with me.) Last year we had wholesale speed reductions on Warks on the grounds of "safety". Last week I had to take dog to PDSA ,in Coventry at about 5PM-so thought I'd be better going through Fillongley .The main back roads are all :50: ,but there's side roads I use to cut out loops . Same parameters ,a few scattered houses - but on these roads I got a :nsl: .Now on the main back roads ,I find :50: wrong - even :60: (to me ) is wrong . But on the :nsl: ,only a fool(IMHO) would do more than 50 .But then the limits were all set by "experts" ( officers in WCC highways) who apparently are better qualified than the police ( who's advice they chose to ignore) ,and in changing the limits ,they had to spend an obscene amount of cash ,which now they haven't got to pump onto their PC SCP white elephant-my heart bleeds for them :loco: .

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PostPosted: Fri Aug 20, 2010 11:31 
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.

...........................................................
OOPS!

oxfordmail wrote:

Speed camera data 'misleading'

10:10am Thursday 19th August 2010
By Chris Walker


SPEED camera bosses have been accused of misleading the public over claims more motorists are speeding since the cameras were switched off on August 1.

Last week, Thames Valley Safer Roads Partnership said a roadside camera on the A44 in Woodstock had seen an 18.3 per cent increase in speed offences since the switch-off compared to the average number caught this year.

At the same time a radar inside a second camera in Watlington Road, Cowley, registered an 88 per cent rise in offences when compared with figures in 2008 and 2009.

The partnership said the figures for 2010 were not available, as the camera had been switched off due to roadworks.

When the Oxford Mail requested 2008-9 data for the Woodstock camera – to make an equal comparison to the Watlington Road camera – the partnership said the figures were not readily to hand.

Now, the Oxford Mail having obtained the information, the figures actually show speed offences fell by four per cent when comparing the figures since the switch-off to offences in 2008-9.

All the county’s speed cameras were switched off after Oxfordshire County Council withdrew funding.

Within days the partnership released its statistics, alth-ough spokesman Dan Campsall warned: “These are very limited results from just two locations.

“However, if this is a trend that grows across Oxfordshire it is very worrying indeed.”

Woodstock town councillor and former mayor Peter Jay said: “(These figures) are lies, damn lies and statistics.

“It’s always wrong if anyone misuses figures and if a public authority misuses them it’s not only wrong but a disgrace.”

Mark McArthur Christie, the chairman of the Oxford group of the Institute of Advanced Motorists, said: “People have been very accepting of partnership statistics in the past and taken them at face value.

“If this gets people questioning camera stats that’s a good thing. The problem for the partnership is once people feel misled they feel reluctant to believe you a second time.”

Mr Campsall insisted there was no deliberate attempt to mislead the public about the figures.

“I don’t think there’s anything we have done that is disgraceful or lies and damn lies.

“As we have always maintained, these remain limited data sets and there is a great deal more study that will need to be undertaken to determine what the increased risk at decommissioned camera sites is.”

He said the inconsistency in the figures arose because the partnership were evaluating speeding data for a live broadcast on Radio 4 and wanted to get the most recent set of data prior to the decommissioning of cameras in 2010 to show the impact of the switch-off.

However due to road works the Watlington Road camera had not been in operation this year so the partnership has to use historic figures from 2008 and 2009 instead of the 2010 comparison for Woodstock.

The county council is doing its own survey of speed across the county.

Council leader Keith Mitchell said: “This does back up what I have been saying that we have got to wait a while to get some real information on this and when we do get it it has to be consistent with what we are comparing.

“I’m not an expert in this, I’m a finance person at heart and for us this decision has been about our finances and cutting the cameras or cutting children’s services.”

Why am I not surprised. It is fairly obvious there has been a level of cherry-picking by those with the massive conflict of (self)interest - those whose jobs depend on the income from fines.
Well, what did we expect from the people who bought is misrepresentation by RTTM, and then failed to worm their way out of it :lol:

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PostPosted: Fri Aug 20, 2010 12:02 
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As we have always maintained, these remain limited data sets and there is a great deal more study that will need to be undertaken to determine what the increased risk at decommissioned camera sites is.

Oh dear, Mr Campsall has exposed his prejudice by making the assumption that there will, in fact, be an increase in risk or, indeed, that increased speeds equate to increased risk in any event.

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PostPosted: Fri Aug 20, 2010 12:13 
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The real problem here is that they continue to imply that there is a causal link between increased speeds and increased danger, which is what they really need to be taken to task on. I posit that a hundred drivers doing 35mph past a particular 30mph limit site, thus contributing to their figures for speeding drivers, will pose far less of a risk to themselves and the public than one driver doing 90mph past the same site. There is absolutely no linear correlation between speed and accident risk.

If the vast majority of people are exceeding a speed limit at any location, be it a speed cam site or otherwise, then that limit needs to be seriously looked at; either it is unnecessarily low, or there is something seriously wrong with a road that is misleading such a large number of people into thinking a higher speed it safe. There are just not that many delinquents on our roads, almost everyone is merely concerned with the common goal of road users; to get safely to their destination with the minimum of unnecessary delay.

Of course it is unheard of for scams to be sited at locations which have a "low" limit for the road.

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PostPosted: Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:34 
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If the so called Safety Partnerships were really interested in safety, their first concern would be what accident rates were doing, rather than just what speed cars were doing.


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PostPosted: Sat Aug 21, 2010 12:56 
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whynot wrote:
If the so called Safety Partnerships were really interested in safety, their first concern would be what accident rates were doing, rather than just what speed cars were doing.

I also thought that at the time of the article, but it is far too early to cast such a judgement. The sample size for injury collisions is far smaller than that for drivers exceeding the limit, and the latter was already far too small to be of any significance anyway.

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PostPosted: Sat Aug 21, 2010 16:48 
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Steve wrote:
whynot wrote:
If the so called Safety Partnerships were really interested in safety, their first concern would be what accident rates were doing, rather than just what speed cars were doing.

I also thought that at the time of the article, but it is far too early to cast such a judgement. The sample size for injury collisions is far smaller than that for drivers exceeding the limit, and the latter was already far too small to be of any significance anyway.


Exactly, so if safety was their main aim they would wait until they have some useful facts to report. It amazes me that the fact that a safe speed is relative to actual conditions and not to some arbitrary and often totally inappropriate speed limit, never seems to occur to them.


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