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PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2006 14:07 
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B cyclist wrote:
Well, I question the demonising of cyclists.


I think you've misread what Paul said:

Safespeed wrote:
"White van man poses less risk to pedestrians than even cyclists and is one of the very safest road user groups."


notice that bold bit? So he's said that cyclists are very safe but wvm is safer still. How does that demonise cyclists?


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PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2006 14:09 
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B cyclist wrote:
Well, I'd much rather be hit by a cyclist than a WV.

Would you prefer to be killed by a cyclist than a white van?

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PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2006 14:13 
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PeterE wrote:
B cyclist wrote:
Well, I'd much rather be hit by a cyclist than a WV.

Would you prefer to be killed by a cyclist than a white van?


I think B Cyclist would like an answer to his/her question ...
B Cyclist wrote:
How many people have been killed by WVM in the last 4 years?

to which I will add my request:
How many people have been killed by a cyclist in the last 4 years.

[edit]
I'll clarify that ... killed by a white van man or cyclist through their respective modes of transport, not just killed in general. I mean, just because a murderer used a getaway bike rather than a car you wouldn't give them an easier time. Although there was a humorous passage in the Ben Elton book 'Gridlock' about hazard lights (or 'do anything lights') being used as a defence in bank robbery criminal cases
[/edit]

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PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2006 14:21 
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handy wrote:
to which I will add my request:
How many people have been killed by a cyclist in the last 4 years.


It's on the front page of this thread... ;)


johnsher, people don't always read ALL the words in a PR, and quite often there are words in PRs that could be taken to be a bit 'weaselly'...

Given the way that the media use PRs and the way that the public 'hear' the media, PRs should be very carefully worded so that they cannot be read in different ways.

Unless of course, that is what is wanted...


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PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2006 14:34 
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B cyclist wrote:
johnsher, people don't always read ALL the words in a PR, and quite often there are words in PRs that could be taken to be a bit 'weaselly'...

Given the way that the media use PRs and the way that the public 'hear' the media, PRs should be very carefully worded so that they cannot be read in different ways.


There are no 'weaselly' words in Safe Speed PRs. There's simply no need - we can win the arguments on bare facts and logic.

As I wrote earlier, responsibility stops once ambiguity has been removed.

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PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2006 14:43 
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B cyclist wrote:
handy wrote:
to which I will add my request:
How many people have been killed by a cyclist in the last 4 years.


It's on the front page of this thread... ;)


:oops:

So can we get an answer to
"how many people have been killed by white van drivers [driving their vans] in the last 4 years" please?

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PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2006 15:06 
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handy wrote:
So can we get an answer to
"how many people have been killed by white van drivers [driving their vans] in the last 4 years" please?

and to put it back into context you need to know the number of vans and their annual miles and then compare that to the number of bikes and their annual miles - which I believe is what Paul has already done for us.


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PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2006 15:14 
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handy wrote:
B cyclist wrote:
handy wrote:
to which I will add my request:
How many people have been killed by a cyclist in the last 4 years.


It's on the front page of this thread... ;)


:oops:

So can we get an answer to
"how many people have been killed by white van drivers [driving their vans] in the last 4 years" please?


This: http://www.dft.gov.uk/stellent/groups/d ... 041147.pdf has it as 39 in 2004. But I'm not sure that it doesn't include non-pedestrian fatalities.

The real figures should be here:
http://www.dft.gov.uk/stellent/groups/d ... =14459&l=4
but I'm not sure it is - if it is, I can't find it right now.

edited to add - Oh, sorry, that's just ONE year. The DfT removes earlier data for some reason. I have just issued an FoI to have earlier years' data republished.

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PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2006 15:16 
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johnsher wrote:
handy wrote:
So can we get an answer to
"how many people have been killed by white van drivers [driving their vans] in the last 4 years" please?

and to put it back into context you need to know the number of vans and their annual miles and then compare that to the number of bikes and their annual miles - which I believe is what Paul has already done for us.


Surely the risk is actually the number of pedestrians overall and the number killed by each method. If there is any relevance to miles travelled it is for the pedestrian, not the vehicle that hits the pedestrian.


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PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2006 15:21 
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B cyclist wrote:
johnsher wrote:
handy wrote:
So can we get an answer to
"how many people have been killed by white van drivers [driving their vans] in the last 4 years" please?

and to put it back into context you need to know the number of vans and their annual miles and then compare that to the number of bikes and their annual miles - which I believe is what Paul has already done for us.


Surely the risk is actually the number of pedestrians overall and the number killed by each method. If there is any relevance to miles travelled it is for the pedestrian, not the vehicle that hits the pedestrian.


We'll be back to apples and oranges in a minute.

Or let's try tigers and stairs. Stairs kill far more people in a year, but tigers are more dangerous.

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PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2006 15:26 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
Or let's try tigers and stairs. Stairs kill far more people in a year, but tigers are more dangerous.


More people (worldwide) die in revolving door accidents than are killed by sharks each year. FACT. Apparently Spielberg felt that 'Doors' wouldn't make such a good movie.

obfuscation obfuscation obfuscation

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PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2006 15:39 
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handy wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
Or let's try tigers and stairs. Stairs kill far more people in a year, but tigers are more dangerous.


More people (worldwide) die in revolving door accidents than are killed by sharks each year. FACT. Apparently Spielberg felt that 'Doors' wouldn't make such a good movie.

obfuscation obfuscation obfuscation


obfuscation? I don't think so!

risk of death * exposure to risk = deaths.

Looks pretty basic to me.

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PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2006 16:09 
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Going on from the phone mast idea - we could say that vehicle occupants(and drivers) are at greater risk of cancer from radar emmisions from Gatso's :lol:

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PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2006 16:12 
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Or could we just spread the rumour that Gatsos cause cancer? :lol:


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PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2006 16:12 
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You are looking at the van driver's chance of killing a pedestrian over miles travelled compared with a cyclist's chance of killing a pedestrian over miles travelled.

I am looking at the pedestrians chance of being killed by a van compared with the chance of being killed by a cyclist.

These are very different statistics, and they will show that a pedestrian has more chance of being killed by a van than by a cycle.

Or is that not what the figures are showing? I'm confused!


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PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2006 16:29 
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B cyclist wrote:
You are looking at the van driver's chance of killing a pedestrian over miles travelled compared with a cyclist's chance of killing a pedestrian over miles travelled.

I am looking at the pedestrians chance of being killed by a van compared with the chance of being killed by a cyclist.

These are very different statistics, and they will show that a pedestrian has more chance of being killed by a van than by a cycle.

Or is that not what the figures are showing? I'm confused!


Yes, I think that's what the figures are showing and you're right that there are two different measures. Both are important to a wide scheme of risk management.

BUT - and this is where we came in - a training initiative can only plan to change the 'risk posed' figure, so it was the correct figure to use in the original context.

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PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2006 16:34 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
B cyclist wrote:
You are looking at the van driver's chance of killing a pedestrian over miles travelled compared with a cyclist's chance of killing a pedestrian over miles travelled.

I am looking at the pedestrians chance of being killed by a van compared with the chance of being killed by a cyclist.

These are very different statistics, and they will show that a pedestrian has more chance of being killed by a van than by a cycle.

Or is that not what the figures are showing? I'm confused!


Yes, I think that's what the figures are showing and you're right that there are two different measures. Both are important to a wide scheme of risk management.

BUT - and this is where we came in - a training initiative can only plan to change the 'risk posed' figure, so it was the correct figure to use in the original context.


And this is what was in the PR:

"White van man poses less risk to pedestrians than even cyclists"

So it's the risk to the pedestrian that is the important figure, and that is greater for a van than a cyclist.


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PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2006 16:39 
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B cyclist wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
B cyclist wrote:
You are looking at the van driver's chance of killing a pedestrian over miles travelled compared with a cyclist's chance of killing a pedestrian over miles travelled.

I am looking at the pedestrians chance of being killed by a van compared with the chance of being killed by a cyclist.

These are very different statistics, and they will show that a pedestrian has more chance of being killed by a van than by a cycle.

Or is that not what the figures are showing? I'm confused!


Yes, I think that's what the figures are showing and you're right that there are two different measures. Both are important to a wide scheme of risk management.

BUT - and this is where we came in - a training initiative can only plan to change the 'risk posed' figure, so it was the correct figure to use in the original context.


And this is what was in the PR:

"White van man poses less risk to pedestrians than even cyclists"

So it's the risk to the pedestrian that is the important figure, and that is greater for a van than a cyclist.


Nope. I'm talking about risk given (= posed) you're talking about risk received (which is affected by exposure).

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PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2006 16:42 
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Well, your sentence can be read both ways.

Try it.


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PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2006 16:44 
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B cyclist wrote:
You are looking at the van driver's chance of killing a pedestrian over miles travelled compared with a cyclist's chance of killing a pedestrian over miles travelled.


I agree that's not a good way of comparing the relative risk posed to pedestrians by vans and cyclists in the same way as comparing the safety of air travel to trains/cars/buses by reference to deaths per million passenger miles is not a good comparison. A better way, in both cases, would be to use time based measures - pedestrian deaths per van/cycle hour travelled and similarly passenger deaths per aircraft/train/car/bus hour travelled.

However, it's still fair to make the comparison between like modes of transport so the WVM risk is still less than cars/buses on a true like for like comparison.


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