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PostPosted: Fri Jan 13, 2006 16:56 
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Two articles:

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The second in particular requires a response because it misrepresents the Safe Speed case.

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PostPosted: Fri Jan 13, 2006 17:21 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
The second in particular requires a response because it misrepresents the Safe Speed case.

Hmmm.. "Professor of Road Transport" - same academic requirements as "Professor of Flower Arranging"? Quotes India as a good example of road safety policy.. Has he seen the KSI figures for India? It looks like the Somme in comparison with the UK.

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PostPosted: Fri Jan 13, 2006 18:25 
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It's funny how 'risk compensation' apparently always applies to drivers, and never to pedestrians. If a greater feeling of safety makes a driver take more risks, then surely the same must apply to pedestrians?
Or am I deluding myself?

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PostPosted: Fri Jan 13, 2006 19:11 
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Pete317 wrote:
It's funny how 'risk compensation' apparently always applies to drivers, and never to pedestrians. If a greater feeling of safety makes a driver take more risks, then surely the same must apply to pedestrians?
Or am I deluding myself?


It's the dogma that's deluded. Everywhere you look.

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PostPosted: Fri Jan 13, 2006 19:39 
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An open review is a peer review because everyone (including peers) can review it... Or am I being too simple?

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PostPosted: Fri Jan 13, 2006 20:51 
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pogo wrote:
Quotes India as a good example of road safety policy..


You have got to be kidding. I have been there twice on business. The most outrageous driving I have ever seen. The pavement is treated as a slip road by taxis. horns are used all the time, by everyone.

India has some of the most dangerous roads IN THE WORLD

http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2004/04/07/stories/2004040700010900.htm

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India has one of the highest per capita accidents in the world — roughly 86,000 people get killed and more than four lakh get injured or crippled every year. .......it tops the world in road fatalities — its fatality rate is 1.97 per 1,000 vehicles compared to Germany's 0.20.

With just 1 per cent of the global vehicle population (and a road network of just 3.3 million km), India has 6 per cent of the total accidents of the world.

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PostPosted: Fri Jan 13, 2006 21:16 
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The first article is frankly neither here nor there. It doesn't really imply a view being taken.

The second article, coming from someone who claims expertise in the area, and holds the title "professor" is shameful - I can only hope he has, to some extent, been the victim of cowboy editing. Nevertheless, lets us examine the piece:

Firstly, he starts with an implication that there are people who don't want to make improvements (and also implied - to road safety). To fair, based on what they say, NO ONE involved in road safety debates says they don't want to improve things - the arguments are surely about what works?
(There seems to be bit missing from the end of this paragraph, so I must add a caveat that I don't know what that is)

In that context, the following paragraph about seat belts and drunks is purely "cheap shot" stuff and not worthy in a serious article. Again - all sides in the road safety debate believe in driver education - again the argument is "education on what?"

We then have a statement, reasonable in itself, about three factors that have to be taken into account.

The paragraph about risk compensation is turned into rubbish by the India example, where, as has already been said, road casulty figures are horrendous. He is trying to say that that slower is safer, but contradicts the speed camera argument by saying at the end of the article that making drivers feel safer is a bad idea (is he implying the point of speed cameras is make them feel unsafe?) but that slower is safer (aren't cameras supposed to reduce speed?). His India argument seems to boil down to " in really dangerous overcrowded traffic situations everyone is frightened so they go really slowly in order that that they don't hit each other". Obviously true but what does it prove? That surely happens anywhere? (Non urban India is lethal from what the figures suggest)

The next paragraph on RTTM is disgraceful - he explains the theory and claims the analysis was careful. He say SS claimed "the report" (unspecified) had ignored RTTM and says the authors "retorted" that it had. ASSUMING (he could be talking about any report) it is the 4th year report being referred to, SS has NOT claimed RTTM was not looked at, merely complained the real truth of the work done is hidden in an appendix and misrepresented in the main report.

The next bit about trends is a non-sequitur. It may be that someone would have happened anyway (non irrelevant) but this does not make "the target" ineffective???? How can a target be either effective or ineffective? - a target is something to aim at - this is barely english except in the "political" sense ("an effective target"). He is deliberately confusing mathematical language with political language. By all means the action taken may or may not have be effective - but how does one know "what would have happened otherwise"? This sounds suspiciously like "yes, it may well have happened anyway, but what we have done hasn't stopped it happening, so doing it must have been effective" - palpable nonsense.

I would have been deeply ashamed to have written such a "cheap" piece.

(Apologies from any typos - the article has some lovely ones itself - unless "Extrolation" is a real word.)


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PostPosted: Fri Jan 13, 2006 21:19 
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Gizmo wrote:
India has one of the highest per capita accidents in the world — roughly 86,000 people get killed and more than four lakh get injured or crippled every year. .......it tops the world in road fatalities — its fatality rate is 1.97 per 1,000 vehicles compared to Germany's 0.20.

With just 1 per cent of the global vehicle population (and a road network of just 3.3 million km), India has 6 per cent of the total accidents of the world.


Professor Goodwin wrote:
But the urban traffic conditions enforce a slow pace: the bikes share the same space with cows, dogs, donkeys, cycles, a few goats, and elephant or two, and ubiquitous three-wheeled rickshaws, in conditions of continual hooting (and what must be seriously unhealthy pollution) and the net result is that pedestrians can stroll among the bikes with less fear of a collision than in the familiar urban conditions in the UK.


Professor Goodwin wrote:
Slower is safer


So the professor shot himself in the foot with his comments then.

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PostPosted: Fri Jan 13, 2006 21:35 
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So -( p take mode / we all travel in reverse then :lol: (after all slower is safer and negative speed is slower) (/peetake )

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PostPosted: Fri Jan 13, 2006 22:20 
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Here's his personal page, detailing his work:

http://www.transport.uwe.ac.uk/staff/phil.htm

Interestingly he has just come from UCL - was he anything to do with the SCP scheme there?

Gareth


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PostPosted: Fri Jan 13, 2006 23:29 
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Gizmo wrote:
pogo wrote:
Quotes India as a good example of road safety policy..


You have got to be kidding. I have been there twice on business. The most outrageous driving I have ever seen. The pavement is treated as a slip road by taxis. horns are used all the time, by everyone.

India has some of the most dangerous roads IN THE WORLD

http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2004/04/07/stories/2004040700010900.htm

Quote:
India has one of the highest per capita accidents in the world — roughly 86,000 people get killed and more than four lakh get injured or crippled every year. .......it tops the world in road fatalities — its fatality rate is 1.97 per 1,000 vehicles compared to Germany's 0.20.

With just 1 per cent of the global vehicle population (and a road network of just 3.3 million km), India has 6 per cent of the total accidents of the world.



If you look at it another way Gizmo, both UK and India have very similar road fatality figures. :o

They both suffer approximately 6 fatalities per 100,000 population per annum. :shock:

I wonder if our :ahem: learned friend has used this statistic to draw the correlation between UK and India. :loco:

But surely it could never be this easy for a group of interested laymen to pull apart the work of an academic. :twisted:

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PostPosted: Sat Jan 14, 2006 00:19 
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LTT wrote:
...probably the biggest thorn in the government's side has been Paul Smith...


I do like that bit. :)

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PostPosted: Sat Jan 14, 2006 13:58 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
LTT wrote:
...probably the biggest thorn in the government's side has been Paul Smith...


I do like that bit. :)

And so you should old bean... So you should! :-)

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PostPosted: Mon Jan 16, 2006 01:03 
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Although I have no evidence to back up the claim, I would suggest the vast majority of incidents in india occur out of urban areas where there are hardly any police, road conditions are horrendous and people do indeed drive with the same behaviour as Professor Goodwin described, only much faster!


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PostPosted: Fri Jan 20, 2006 15:49 
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I was with him right up to the last point - slower is safer - what evidence is there that this is true??

Of course Mr Goodwin couldn't possibly be on the payroll of the govt.?

http://www.urbansummit.gov.uk/prog/themed/15.htm


Last edited by diy on Fri Jan 20, 2006 15:54, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Fri Jan 20, 2006 15:51 
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mpaton2004 wrote:
Although I have no evidence to back up the claim, I would suggest the vast majority of incidents in india occur out of urban areas where there are hardly any police, road conditions are horrendous and people do indeed drive with the same behaviour as Professor Goodwin described, only much faster!


A widespread belief in reincarnation and karma also don't help the road safety effort.


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