to you on 23rd September but have had no reply.
you recently speaking on BBC Radio Wales: “Eye on Wales”.
persist in intimating that speed cameras will save lives. You said (exact
is absolutely no doubt in the mind of any road safety professional that
speed is the biggest killer. All the research and statistics show that
one in three of our fatalities has speed as a major contributory factor…”
I am delighted
to note that you seem to have stopped claiming that speed causes one third
of accidents. But there are serious problems with those new words too.
I know plenty of “road safety professionals” who know full well that carelessness
and inattention are the “biggest killers”. Indeed, I am one myself.
accident data from many Police forces proves you wrong. For example I have
the following data at my fingertips:
Police, 2002, Fatal accidents with excessive speed as a contributory factor:
Midlands Police, 1999, Fatal accidents with excessive speed as a contributory
Midlands Police, 2000, Fatal accidents with excessive speed as a contributory
those were literally the first three I found, not some bizarre cherry picking
exercise, nor the leftovers of an earlier cherry picking exercise.)
speed is more likely to be recorded as a factor in a fatal accident than
in a lesser accident. So the first place to look for a speed camera benefit
would be in fatalities. If speed cameras worked to reduce excessive speed
accidents we would expect to see reductions in fatalities.
not getting the reduction are we? In fact British roads fatalities dropped
more in a single year from 1992 to 1993 than in the 9 years since. We've
lost the long established drop in fatalities. I am absolutely certain that
I know exactly why.
you care about road safety and road accident victims. But you are backing
a flawed policy that is making our roads more dangerous. I know that there's
an establishment view that says speed control is the answer to road safety.
But the establishment view is quite quite wrong. You may well wonder how
the establishment could possibly be so very wrong. (I frequently do) But
look back just 10 or 11 years. The establishment view was quite different.
I simply agree with the views of that former establishment. The principles
deployed to improve road safety in the UK 10, 20, 30, 40 and 50 years ago
gave us (more or less) the safest roads in the World. With the “new establishment”
we are fast losing our World lead.
be pleased to explain in more detail. I shall be in London (travelling
down from North Scotland) within the next fortnight. Can we please meet?
I really must explain my most careful analysis to you.