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 Post subject: Global warming hysteria.
PostPosted: Sun Oct 29, 2006 18:15 
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Despite the fact that it's way off topic, I'm looking at developing a Safe Speed response to this coming week's global warming hysteria.

I have the following draft / incomplete PR:

PRxxx: Do you believe in global warming?

news: for immediate release

We're expecting a hair-shirt approach to global warming to be recommended this
week. But do you believe in the solutions we might be asked to pay for? There
are five questions you have to answer before it makes sense. Without five
yeses, it's just faith, mumbo jumbo and economic waste.

1) Is the world warming up?

2) Is mankind responsible?

3) If the world does warm up, will it be worse?

4) Are UK policy interventions going to make any difference at all to the rate
of warming?

5) Is increasing taxes the best way to deal with the problem?



Paul Smith, founder of the Safe Speed road safety campaign
(www.safespeed.org.uk) said: "The Safe Speed campaign has no position on
anthropogenic global warming, but we have found gaping flaws in official road
safety science. Are you really sure that the global warming science is good?"

"We're presently expected to share in the faith of global warming scientists whose jobs depend on telling us that there's a climate crisis."

<ends>

Because it's so far off topic (i.e. not road safety, and not my area of expertise) we'd have to be very very careful going into this territory.

But at the very least I think that questions have to be asked, and that's the tone I'm considering setting.

Any comments or advice?

What are the key questions that define the 'faith'?

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PostPosted: Sun Oct 29, 2006 19:03 
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I found this in the local rag.....

Quote:
Mr C Sedman writes to tell us we must act now to save the planet based on a program by the BBC which has recently been revealed to be admittedly unbalanced in its presentation. No doubt this programme was in a similar vein to the infamous Al Gore movie "An Inconvenient Truth". Many scientists, while accepting that the greenhouse theory is valid and that there might have been, or even be, some global warming over the last half century, remain sceptical that man has had any significant impact, far less that he can, King Canute like, stop, never mind reverse it. For example the retired head of the UN body that monitors changes in the content of the atmosphere has reported that global warmers' use of ice cores as a proxy for atmospheric CO2 levels gives lower levels of CO2 for historic cores due to no corrections having been made for CO2 losses from the ice over time. And in his opinion when this correction is made, the cores show no increase in atmospheric CO2 since the industrial revolution. We keep hearing stories about glaciers retreating. Only to find that half a dozen adjacent ones were advancing. We keep hearing about polar ice retreating or melting. Only to find that more areas are advancing or thickening. I would be amused at the number of people convinced of impending man-made global disaster by Gore's movie and the kind of BBC programmes that hit the headlines if the knee-jerk reaction of band-waggon jumping, crowd-pleasing politicians wasn't to use the mass hysteria to justify counter-productive policies. One report on Gore's movie apparently claims that the nation's "top climate scientists" are giving the movie five stars for accuracy. Apparently only a fifth of the "top climate scientists" contacted for their views had bothered to see it, presumably the ones that already believe in the myth, support it, and are supported by grants to study it. Others, for example Richard S. Lindzen, the Professor of Atmospheric Science at the world renowned MIT, was both critical of Gore's movie and the idea of a consensus among scientists about the causes and nature of global warming. Similarly, Dr Fred Singer, who I believe was the man who set up the US weather satellite system, developed the instrumentation that measured the hole in the ozone layer and discovered the global warming attributes of methane is similarly sceptical. Unfortunately 'No Change In Climate After All' doesn't sell newspapers. In my youth the world was about to be devastated by a man-made ice age. In my mother's day there was an earlier panic about global warming. And my grandmother's generation were scared by an earlier version of the coming ice-age prophesy. Every generation has it's doomsayers claiming that man is about to bring about the end of the world. And every generation has it's politicians ready to take advantage of the mass hysteria. As H L Mencken wrote: "the desire to save mankind is almost always a false front for the desire to rule it" and "the whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed, and hence clamorous to be led to safety, by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary". Although as far as I know this is the first time that the scare has provided the doomsayers with a multi Billion dollar "research" industry. Or the politicians with a vast source of funding, both in carbon taxes, and political donations. Apparently the Democrats received several times as much in donations from environmental groups as the Republicans did from oil and coal companies. That tells you all you need to know about the scientific "debate".
Mr B J Mann, Nottingham

An interesting letter.

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PostPosted: Sun Oct 29, 2006 19:22 
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Prof Stott's article in the MoS that dixie posted is excellent in this respect. When it comes down to it even if we stopped using our cars right now it would only take china about 3 months to produce the same amount of CO2. Also BP will offset each ton of CO2 for £5 a year so why are the government trying to charge people several hundred pounds per year instead?

Even though global warming is codswallop I think advertising how *cheap* offset schemes are would take the power out of the government policy as people will be wondering why they are getting screwed for hundreds when they could offset all their emissions for £50-£100 per household. Being able to pay £50-£100 per year to offset CO2 emissions and opt out of all swingeing govt green taxes would be taken up by the million.

I think recently the newscientist had an article suggesting 75% of current climate change was caused by cosmic rays altering cloud cover. The actual effect of screwing UK households with these ridiculous and envy ridden taxes won't amount to more than a fart in a hurricane.

The economic benefit of transport far outweighs any of the costs, can't say the same for politicians...


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PostPosted: Sun Oct 29, 2006 19:28 
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teabelly wrote:
The economic benefit of transport far outweighs any of the costs, can't say the same for politicians...


:clap:


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sun Oct 29, 2006 20:51 
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teabelly wrote:
Even though global warming is codswallop I think advertising how *cheap* offset schemes are would take the power out of the government policy as people will be wondering why they are getting screwed for hundreds when they could offset all their emissions for £50-£100 per household. Being able to pay £50-£100 per year to offset CO2 emissions and opt out of all swingeing govt green taxes would be taken up by the million.


This is an absolutely excellent idea. Can anyone give me good references for sound science that gives costs offsetting and sinking/fixing carbon emissions?

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PostPosted: Sun Oct 29, 2006 20:53 
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the truth is here............................

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2004/07/18/wsun18.xml&sSheet=/news/2004/07/18/ixnewstop.html

:D :D

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sun Oct 29, 2006 20:54 
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BP are doing it commercially. Clearly they think it is going to make them money. There are schemes in the states too.

BP scheme is here: http://www.targetneutral.com/TONIC/index.jsp

No idea about the sound science part :)


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PostPosted: Sun Oct 29, 2006 21:01 
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teabelly wrote:
BP are doing it commercially. Clearly they think it is going to make them money. There are schemes in the states too.

BP scheme is here: http://www.targetneutral.com/TONIC/index.jsp

No idea about the sound science part :)


Yeah. I'm aware. So how do we know if BP can actually deliver that promise? I wonder if we should set the ASA on them to get the 'proof' out?

Or maybe just ask nicely! :)

Does anyone want to take that on as an urgent action for tomorrow morning? I'm going to be a bit busy...

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PostPosted: Sun Oct 29, 2006 22:46 
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OK, I'm expecting a good flaming for this but hey, you only live once!

It just occurred to me that REGARDLESS who is right and who is wrong in this global warming thing, we perhaps ought to consider the potential implications of the above stance.

My feeling is that over the time it has been running, SafeSpeed has amassed a great deal of credible evidence against speed cameras AND some fairly high profile people who agree with its position. Better still, we are in the position of enjoying (what I belive to be) increasing public support AND all this at a time when the government is very much on a back foot - having just published its own figures that largely ratify the position that SafeSpeed has taken all along.

IF we then start ranting on about how global warming isn't the problem it's cracked-up to be and it's all just the men in grey suits trying to use fear as a means of population control and extorting more taxes out of us, I have a feeling we might not be taken quite so seriously. That in itself isn't a problem AS LONG AS it doesn't weaken our credibility when it comes to scameras. To my mind, there isn't the same weight of scientific evidence behind the "global warming denial" stance that there is behind the "scameras don't save lives" stance. Also, there isn't the same weight of public opinion behind it.

I just have a bit of a fear that much of the good work done and credibility built up so far could be relatively easy to blow away if SafeSpeed adopts a flat denial policy on global warming. We'll just be seen (and there are plenty who do so already) as a bunch of hooligans that want to drive as fast as they like all the time AND in the thirstiest cars we can find. (regardless of whether we do or not)!


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PostPosted: Sun Oct 29, 2006 23:14 
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Mole wrote:
I just have a bit of a fear that much of the good work done and credibility built up so far could be relatively easy to blow away if SafeSpeed adopts a flat denial policy on global warming. We'll just be seen (and there are plenty who do so already) as a bunch of hooligans that want to drive as fast as they like all the time AND in the thirstiest cars we can find. (regardless of whether we do or not)!


I share your concerns 100%. We should stay out of it. But, but, but... I feel the need to consider options.

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PostPosted: Sun Oct 29, 2006 23:41 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
Mole wrote:
I just have a bit of a fear that much of the good work done and credibility built up so far could be relatively easy to blow away if SafeSpeed adopts a flat denial policy on global warming. We'll just be seen (and there are plenty who do so already) as a bunch of hooligans that want to drive as fast as they like all the time AND in the thirstiest cars we can find. (regardless of whether we do or not)!


I share your concerns 100%. We should stay out of it. But, but, but... I feel the need to consider options.


The fact is that a lot of us who post here are inherently sceptical of things that "don't seem right" no matter how many times the Government repeat the "big lie". If we feel strongly about alternative road safety policies then this is the correct site/forum to express ourselves. We should not dilute (or corrupt) the message here by mixing in global warming.

There are plenty of other sites which are analogous to SS but the principal subject of which is questioning climate change. Let's post there.

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PostPosted: Sun Oct 29, 2006 23:55 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
Mole wrote:
I just have a bit of a fear that much of the good work done and credibility built up so far could be relatively easy to blow away if SafeSpeed adopts a flat denial policy on global warming. We'll just be seen (and there are plenty who do so already) as a bunch of hooligans that want to drive as fast as they like all the time AND in the thirstiest cars we can find. (regardless of whether we do or not)!


I share your concerns 100%. We should stay out of it. But, but, but... I feel the need to consider options.


I think you (as SafeSpeed) should stay out of the "denial of global warming" arena. There seems to be enough uproar about taxing anyway.

But one area that could be addressed is the methods that are being used to attack the "alleged" global warming.

I see a lot of figures around stating the amount of CO2 produced by cars being a very small percentage. So what are the main causes? Is this similar to road enforcement being focussed on the 5% caused by speeding?

Energy is the basis of life, reducing energy use is a backward step. What should be being tackled is the type of energy we use.

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PostPosted: Sun Oct 29, 2006 23:57 
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I think challenging the validity of human contribution to global warming is a bit far out for SafeSpeed. I myself am extremely skeptical but associating the campaign with what is still looked upon by the vast majority of the media as a bit of a "luncatic fringe" viewpoint might damage your reputation with them.

The one point you could make is to ask for proof of how much UK cars contribute to global emissions and how much of an effect any drop in UK car usage will have on global emissions. If its anything less than 0.5%, which Im 99% sure it will be then it has to raise the question of are the government simply trying to swindle more money under the charade of being "green".


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PostPosted: Mon Oct 30, 2006 00:13 
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That's why I think going at them over the cost is a good idea. If BP can offset for £5 a ton then that option should be available to all so people can opt out of these taxes. The government will not be using any of the money to do anything useful. It will be to fill a massive budget deficit from Brown's overspending. They're already taking over 40p in the pound from every working person, will they not be happy until they take so much that ordinary working people become destitute? Anyone on a minimum wage won't be able to afford to run a car. How is it better for thousands of people to give up work as they can no longer afford to get there? Or is there plan to have all the poor claiming benefits and being dependent so they will vote labour in again as they think the rich are suffering because they have to pay a few extra quid for their chelsea tractor?

They haven't considered the effect on inflation. Those that can will demand pay rises to cover these stupid taxes. Inflation is already running at 10% when you include everything properly. This would probably make it around 15% a year. Add ridiculous house prices into this and there will be a generation of 20 & 30 somethings, some with families, who will have to go back and live with their parents as they won't be able to afford to live on their own any more.

To save money on running costs what will people skimp on? Tyres, brakes, servicing, MOTs? What happens when fuel is so expensive people are afraid to accelerate properly to join a motorway or duel carriageway? I witnessed some of that while the fuel strikes were on. There were people doing slow overtakes too.

One on of the have your says featured a women that had pneumonia twice because she couldn't afford to put her heating on enough. She was a twenty something single parent not even a pensioner! I know population control is important but having piles of dead old people because none of them could afford to go to the shops or pick up their pension seems to be taking it too far. Quite a few snuff it due to heating fuel poverty already and for a civilised society that is shameful.


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PostPosted: Mon Oct 30, 2006 00:30 
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my own Mum died due to Gangrene in her legs, she couldn't afford to heat her flat!

I bet Asylum seekers and immigrants get subsidised Heating though!! :evil:

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PostPosted: Mon Oct 30, 2006 02:39 
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malcolmw wrote:
We should not dilute (or corrupt) the message here by mixing in global warming.


Graeme wrote:
I think you (as SafeSpeed) should stay out of the "denial of global warming" arena.


Benj wrote:
I think challenging the validity of human contribution to global warming is a bit far out for SafeSpeed. I myself am extremely skeptical but associating the campaign with what is still looked upon by the vast majority of the media as a bit of a "luncatic fringe" viewpoint might damage your reputation with them.


OK OK! You're all correct, and I know it. :thumbsup:

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PostPosted: Mon Oct 30, 2006 09:22 
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It's probably something the ABD should do instead. They could work out the per ton cost the govt are expecting people to pay and then ask why BP can do it for £5 a ton and if so why can't people opt out of those taxes if they join the BP scheme or equivalent and actually do something constructive. Cue mass panic as their money making schemes turn to dust :D


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PostPosted: Mon Oct 30, 2006 09:30 
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So what is it that BP actually do?

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PostPosted: Mon Oct 30, 2006 09:39 
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teabelly wrote:
It's probably something the ABD should do instead. They could work out the per ton cost the govt are expecting people to pay and then ask why BP can do it for £5 a ton and if so why can't people opt out of those taxes if they join the BP scheme or equivalent and actually do something constructive. Cue mass panic as their money making schemes turn to dust :D

Ah, but someone at the back has already spotted this potential loophole it would seem. Carbon sequestration was mentioned, briefly, on the Biased Broadcasting Corporation news this morning, but was immediately dismissed as 'at best only a short term quick fix'. The obvious rider to which was that the only true solution was to tax us back to the stone age. Words fail me, but I don't think they are going to be able to push the great British public very much further.


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PostPosted: Mon Oct 30, 2006 10:15 
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I can't remember the exact details of the BP scheme but wasn't it something along the lines of "give us some money proportional to your CO2 output and we'll invest in a project in some third world country that prevents a similar amount of their CO2 entering the atmosphere"?

If that's what they're doing, it won't help. It will just reduce the rate at which the third world contributes to global warming but won't do anything to reduce the rate at which we do (and, arguably, might INCREASE our rate as our consciences are eased)!


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