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PostPosted: Sat Dec 01, 2007 17:25 
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They don't need to produce anything. If the blood alcohol level is 0% by law, then anything else gets you banned.
The fact that you have not yet had an accident, even when you have some alcohol, doesn't mean it is safe to drive after drinking, just that nothing has happened to cause you to have had one....yet...


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PostPosted: Sat Dec 01, 2007 17:26 
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I believe that this is the primary evidence and remains more or less unchallenged


Do you know how the "likelihood of serious collision" factor was determined in relation to blood alcohol level?

If accurate, that graph would seem to suggest that somewhere around 0.05% is the limit beyond which impairment sets in substantially.

Maybe it's just an artefact of the resolution used to draw the graph, but it seems to suggest also that a 0.02% BAC results in slightly less likelihood of serious collision than zero. :?


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PostPosted: Sat Dec 01, 2007 17:39 
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Paul_1966 wrote:
Maybe it's just an artefact of the resolution used to draw the graph, but it seems to suggest also that a 0.02% BAC results in slightly less likelihood of serious collision than zero. :?

No, that's certainly a genuine feature of the statistics, often referred to as the "Borkenstein dip" (from the author of the primary source on drink-driving risk that underpinned the original 1967 legislation).

My view is that it is unlikely really to indicate that consuming a small amount of alcohol will make you a slightly better driver. It is probably a combination of the fact that people driving after one or two small drinks are likely to be driving at times when the roads are quieter than average, and that they may try to compensate for the alcohol by making an effort to drive more carefully than usual. But it underlines the fact that, at such low levels, alcohol does not impair driving ability at all.

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PostPosted: Sat Dec 01, 2007 17:43 
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PeterE wrote:
Paul_1966 wrote:
Maybe it's just an artefact of the resolution used to draw the graph, but it seems to suggest also that a 0.02% BAC results in slightly less likelihood of serious collision than zero. :?

No, that's certainly a genuine feature of the statistics, often referred to as the "Borkenstein dip" (from the author of the primary source on drink-driving risk that underpinned the original 1967 legislation).

My view is that it is unlikely really to indicate that consuming a small amount of alcohol will make you a slightly better driver. It is probably a combination of the fact that people driving after one or two small drinks are likely to be driving at times when the roads are quieter than average, and that they may try to compensate for the alcohol by making an effort to drive more carefully than usual. But it underlines the fact that, at such low levels, alcohol does not impair driving ability at all.


I always thought it was most likely to be due to the beneficial effects of a tiny confidence boost to the large population of slightly underconfident drivers.

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PostPosted: Sat Dec 01, 2007 17:44 
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jomukuk wrote:
They don't need to produce anything. If the blood alcohol level is 0% by law, then anything else gets you banned.
The fact that you have not yet had an accident, even when you have some alcohol, doesn't mean it is safe to drive after drinking, just that nothing has happened to cause you to have had one....yet...


There's some not-quite-right stuff in there.

I would say they need to produce evidence that low levels of blood-alcohol increase the risk perceptibly, before making a 0% limit that would see huge numbers of people potentially banned for driving after eating gravy, taking cough medicine or having had a single drink some hours ago. To suggest otherwise is to suffer the same stumbling blocks as the "speed kills" lie.

Given that the current limit cannot be imposed to a respectable degree, and that there is no suggestion that drivers with blood-alcohol below the legal limit are overrepresented in crash statistics, it would appear that this change merely constitutes soapbox posturing and additional over-legislation.


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PostPosted: Sat Dec 01, 2007 17:49 
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RobinXe wrote:
Given that the current limit cannot be imposed to a respectable degree, and that there is no suggestion that drivers with blood-alcohol below the legal limit are overrepresented in crash statistics, it would appear that this change merely constitutes soapbox posturing and additional over-legislation.


Exactly.

Although I'm not totally confident about the 'cannot be' I've emboldened. Perhaps make that 'is not'.

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PostPosted: Sat Dec 01, 2007 17:51 
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RobinXe wrote:
I would say they need to produce evidence that low levels of blood-alcohol increase the risk perceptibly, before making a 0% limit that would see huge numbers of people potentially banned for driving after eating gravy, taking cough medicine or having had a single drink some hours ago. To suggest otherwise is to suffer the same stumbling blocks as the "speed kills" lie.

Despite the posturing what they are actually going to do is to consult on reducing the limit from 80mg to 50mg, not any kind of 0.0% level or even a Swedish-style 20mg limit. My opinions on this are very clear but I mention this in the interest of clarification.

RobinXe wrote:
Given that the current limit cannot be imposed to a respectable degree, and that there is no suggestion that drivers with blood-alcohol below the legal limit are overrepresented in crash statistics, it would appear that this change merely constitutes soapbox posturing and additional over-legislation.
Absolutely :clap:

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PostPosted: Sat Dec 01, 2007 17:51 
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RobinXe wrote:
I would say they need to produce evidence that low levels of blood-alcohol increase the risk perceptibly, before making a 0% limit that would see huge numbers of people potentially banned for driving after eating gravy, taking cough medicine or having had a single drink some hours ago. To suggest otherwise is to suffer the same stumbling blocks as the "speed kills" lie.



The same way they need to produce evidence that heightened atmospheric CO2 leads to global warming ?
And the same evidence that led to speed cameras stopping speeding, stopping road deaths ?
Evidence can be found, or manufactured.
That is not a problem. Surely you should know that by now. Even if there IS no evidence, enough publicity will generate sufficient public feeling that IT should be done.
There are MORE than enough scientists out there to produce a dramatic overkill of evidence.
http://www.tpuc.org/


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PostPosted: Sat Dec 01, 2007 18:12 
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jomukuk, clearly I didn't pick up on the tongue-in-cheek tone of your previous post. It seemed to me that you were backing 0%. If you were making the point that they will do whatever the hell they feel like without any thought for it's validity, then I fully agree with you.

Paul, I could have accurately said 'the current limit currently cannot be enforced to a respectable degree', but too much current is shocking! Besides, too many currants give me wind! :P You clearly got my meaning.


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PostPosted: Sat Dec 01, 2007 22:30 
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First .. what Mad Doc post on topic. What I post on PH on effect of booze/substance.. based on real scientific fact. This cannot be manipulated. Ist set in stone really.

No way can one apply a zero tolerance as average body will contain a small amount of this chemical anyway. Produced naturally. I could go on at greatest length... but this also recorded on many an internet site anyway :wink:

Booze always been discovered .. und Jesus once allegedly turn water to wine once too. He also say that the deep red wine represent His Blood at Last Supper too. (It why priests must drink up the left over communion wines :wink: - but whilst they worry of falling foul of man made laws here.. I have suggestion which ist to "take a taxi home here" :wink:


Rigpig wrote:
anton wrote:
A drastic cut in the limit would realy spoil life for millions of people and thier passengers. For years designated drivers have had just one or two drinks over about 3 hours. There is a limit to how much coke and orange juice you can drink.


That is not a very good argument against lowering the limit though Anton.
The immediate and obvious comeback is that having one's life 'spoiled' by a change in drink-drive laws pales into insignificance when comapred to losing it at the hands of a drink driver.



But Riggers my liebster friend :love: we all have a differing metabolism und whilst I agree with you that a drive ist all the more sassy with clearest of heads und I do not drive for 24 hours if I drink what I know to be too much for me on empty und will not drive for 15 hours if booze taken with food anyway based on how I know my slim frame dispose of/break down the food stuff of the booze here :wink: - we tend to go with the "one size fit all policy" und if you apply this then.. by acclaimed peer reviews which have not been revised for several year to my knowledge.. current limit ist normal point at which average human begin to be a bit "silly in demeanour" to point of dangerous in too many cases. It why limit decided to this level in first place.

Personally.. I think fair enough based on own professional knowledges :wink:

But very deeply felt personally . I think Brits are not taught well enough about booze .. its pros/cons/. und as result they constantly fail to know when they had enough here. Back home? We brought up to know effects.. know how to drink in refined manners... know when we really had enough.

But you Brits? I recall seeing a very, very deep BBC play on a Digi/Sky repeat of Edna the Inebriate Woman.. und this play ram home what wrong in the Brit society when we talk of booze intake und "cool" behaviours (which not cool.. but twazak-like.. :shock: :? :shock:

I edit as miss this point you make here.
Quote:
There has to be a limit somewhere although I too don't believe it should be zero. The current one seems to deter enough people from drink/driving simply because they cannot afford to gamble with their license. Not knowing how much you can drink to arrive at that limit is part of the 'magic trick' - if you don't know, don't risk it. If you risk it and get caught, too bad.



My view ist never to drink .. und then drive immediately. Wait for at least 12 hours. Buy your own breath kit to be sure.

never drink "on empty tum"

Quaff.. enjoy the taste . but keep common sense at all times.

We cannot .. based on available science.. insist all humans on the road have no alcohol in system. Not possible und the currentl legislation which apply fine at this point world wide .. ist testament to this.

Of the countries which claim to prosecute below level? It fine per income :banghead: Ban only apply automatically if at current level of inebriated state. :popcorn:


This not to be interpreted as condoning cycle.motor bike/car drink drive. but reflection of current law as it stand here :whistle:

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PostPosted: Sun Dec 02, 2007 08:26 
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jomukuk wrote:
RobinXe wrote:
I would say they need to produce evidence that low levels of blood-alcohol increase the risk perceptibly, before making a 0% limit that would see huge numbers of people potentially banned for driving after eating gravy, taking cough medicine or having had a single drink some hours ago. To suggest otherwise is to suffer the same stumbling blocks as the "speed kills" lie.



The same way they need to produce evidence that heightened atmospheric CO2 leads to global warming ?
And the same evidence that led to speed cameras stopping speeding, stopping road deaths ?
Evidence can be found, or manufactured.
That is not a problem. Surely you should know that by now. Even if there IS no evidence, enough publicity will generate sufficient public feeling that IT should be done.
There are MORE than enough scientists out there to produce a dramatic overkill of evidence.
http://www.tpuc.org/


Exactly!

I do have one issue... a lack of evidence

I am a big chap 22 stone at the last check! I usualy have two pints of shandy which is probobly 1.5 pints over 3 hours + a meal. I have absolutly no idea wether that puts me at 30, 50 or 80mg.

I have an aquatance (14 stone) who was breath tested at the end of an evening after 4 pints who was breath tested, arrested and then cleared on the second test. (yes he is a fool)

If I was to drink untill I was at 79.9 mg I may very well be of the opinion that I should not drive.

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PostPosted: Sun Dec 02, 2007 10:25 
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anton wrote:
I am a big chap 22 stone at the last check! I usualy have two pints of shandy which is probobly 1.5 pints over 3 hours + a meal. I have absolutly no idea wether that puts me at 30, 50 or 80mg.

I would say that (assuming the shandy works out at around 2.0% ABV) would be highly unlikely to put you over 30 mg at any time.

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PostPosted: Mon Dec 03, 2007 02:06 
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The drink/drive chestnut has gone on for years. It is bandied by the Government along the same lines as speeding and smoking - 'hit a child at 30 mph and they may survive to learn to cross the road properly; hit them at 40 and Darwin has had his say' or 'stand next to a smoker in the street and you may die 10 minutes sooner, at the age of 82, from the diesel crap you were breathing at the time'. This is the fact of the matter. I know of drivers who are so appalling that I would not consider getting into a car that they were driving if I knew that they were stone-cold sober...
It's all about self-control and the individual; two concepts that are utterly anathema to Nu Labia.

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PostPosted: Mon Dec 03, 2007 02:27 
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MGBGT wrote:
The drink/drive chestnut has gone on for years. It is bandied by the Government along the same lines as speeding and smoking...


I know we're proud to be sceptical, but surely there's real evidence on drink drive?

About 1/6th (17%) of road deaths involve drivers over the legal alcohol limit, while less than 2% of drivers are drunk on average (survey results I've seen have ranged from 0.5% to 1.5%).

Surely the >10:1 over-representation in the fatal crash stats is all that we need to know that drink drive is a genuine problem?

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PostPosted: Mon Dec 03, 2007 03:38 
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I would be interested to learn the distribution of BACs within that 17%.

In aviation PIDAT (post incident drugs and alcohol testing) is carried out after every incident. I would similarly like to see blood collected from all parties in fatal road traffic accidents, though care would have to be exercised not to allow the usual trick of blaming any 'law-breakers' automatically for the crash, rather than actually learning from the true causes.


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PostPosted: Mon Dec 03, 2007 08:06 
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SafeSpeed wrote:
MGBGT wrote:
The drink/drive chestnut has gone on for years. It is bandied by the Government along the same lines as speeding and smoking...

I know we're proud to be sceptical, but surely there's real evidence on drink drive?

About 1/6th (17%) of road deaths involve drivers over the legal alcohol limit, while less than 2% of drivers are drunk on average (survey results I've seen have ranged from 0.5% to 1.5%).

Surely the >10:1 over-representation in the fatal crash stats is all that we need to know that drink drive is a genuine problem?

Drunken driving is a real problem, nobody disputes that. Whether driving with a BAC in the 50-80 range, or even a bit above 80, is a real problem is however highly questionable.

RobinXe wrote:
I would be interested to learn the distribution of BACs within that 17%.

I would expect to see it very much skewed towards the upper end of the scale, given that according to Borkenstein the additional risk rises from about 1.5 times at 100 mg to 20 times at 160 mg.

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PostPosted: Mon Dec 03, 2007 13:57 
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Well, if they bring in 0%, it will be just about impossible to drive legally, since we will always be over the limit. So we might as well have a few drinks then, instead of abstaining completely when driving as I do. If you are going to drink and drive, there will be no point in limiting youself to 1.5 pints now will there! Might as well be hung for a sheep as a lamb!

I can see reducing the limit to zero making the drink driving problem worse. But in any case, any reduction in the limit needs to be backed up by research into the accident rate for drivers below the current limit but above the new one.


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PostPosted: Mon Dec 03, 2007 20:32 
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anton wrote:
This was followed by an item calling for thick sliced bread to be banned.
I am not kidding!:headache:


:gatso2: :nono: It would be more sensitive for that to be termed as, Sliced bread with learning difficulties.

I would call for tougher sentencing against drink-drivers simply because I despise them. Personally, I wouldn't take a chance on having ONE drink and then drive. How would a zero tolerance level work effectively?

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PostPosted: Tue Dec 04, 2007 01:10 
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It's a typical knee-jerk reaction from this shambles of a "Government".

"Look at us! We're being really TOUGH! We'll save lots of lives by further restricting your individual liberty!" (And before some sanctimonious weed whinges about "your individual liberty to kill innocent people", I'm talking about our individual liberty to take responsibility for our own actions - something which has been badly eroded over the last ten years or so).

The present limit is fine. Most people know where they stand with it; the vast majority of drink-drivers are well over the limit - any reduction in that limit will not bother those cretins one bit. All it would do is penalise the rest of us (now, why does that sound familiar?). It would certainly be the last nail in the coffin of many a rural pub.

I suspect (yes, I know, I'm getting paranoid in my old age) that HMG will put out these stories of a 0% limit (bonkers - what about Covonia cough mixture which - as it says on the bottle - "contains alcohol"?) so that we will then be grovellingly grateful when they "only" reduce the limit to 50 doodahs instead of 80 "to keep in line with Europe".

But will we also "keep in line with Europe" over the penalties (usually a fine but no ban if only slightly over)? Will we hell.

Bastards.

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PostPosted: Tue Dec 04, 2007 19:26 
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http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/ne ... 539512.ece

Quote:
Two pints do not make a killer

Fergus Shanahan - Sun Columnist
Published: 03 Dec 2007

ARE Labour trying to ruin pubs? Their latest plan to lower the drink-drive limit means you will barely be able to blow the froth off a pint before risking your licence.

If having just one beer or wine puts you over the top, it will spell disaster for pubs and restaurants. People going out for a meal will be too frightened to drink anything. So they will stay at home.

This is typical of Labour’s muddled thinking.

On the one hand they triumphantly declare that pubs can stay open all hours. On the other they make it impossible to do anything in them except sip a milkshake and stare at the wallpaper.

Pubs are already suffering from the fags ban. A stiffer drink-drive limit would finish a lot off for good.

Of course drink-driving is dangerous and wrong. It destroys lives.

But having a couple of pints or a few glasses of wine, especially spread over a meal, does not make you a criminal.

There is no logic to penalising all drivers when the answer is to focus attention on the worst drink-drive offenders: Young motorists.

Labour’s aim is to lower the two-pint limit by almost half to bring it into line with most of Europe.

Dogs are cleverer than cats - or so dog owners tell me' Read more

But there is no evidence that a lower limit cuts drink-drive deaths abroad: quite the opposite.

By comparison with the EU, the UK has an excellent road safety record. The EU concede this by placing us first in their list of best-performing states for accidents.

France, Italy, Spain and Greece are just some of our EU brethren whose roads are bloodbaths. As for Portugal, don’t even talk about it. Hire a donkey instead.

Last year, 3,172 died on our roads. In France it was 4,709, Germany 5,091, Spain 4,104 and in beer-swilling Poland 5,243.

All those countries have a lower drink-drive limit than Britain. Poland has a zero limit. These countries all operate big breathalyser campaigns. France alone tested eight million drivers last year.

So it's clear that simply lowering the drink limit doesn't guarantee safer roads.

There’s more drink driving here because there are fewer police patrols.

Cops leave it all to speed cameras while they sit in the nick.

Drunk drivers know they are unlikely to be caught.

And some immigrants particularly from Eastern Europe come from cultures that ignore drink limits.

We know that the main danger are young lads showing off to their mates in a tiny motor.

Newly-qualified British drivers between 17 and 19 are 14 times more likely to have a drunken crash than drivers between 35 and 49.

So target those drivers with far stiffer penalties.

Zero alcohol for the first two years after passing your test.

An automatic three-year ban for anyone under 21 drink-driving.

Do it twice and go to jail for five years.

But let’s keep a sense of proportion.

If Labour are so keen to save lives, let's start with the thousands killed by hospital bugs and poor cancer treatment.

The motorist is Labour’s favourite soft target.

Hammered by petrol tax and fleeced by speed cameras, responsible drivers will soon have to spend their nights sipping tomato juice.

The pubs will be open all hours. But there'll only be tonic water on draught.

(my bold)

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