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PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2009 23:27 
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safedave wrote:
...slowing people down generally which must be a good idea

This really demonstrates a fundamental problem. Any arguments advanced based on this premise are destined to fail.

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PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2009 23:42 
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""This really demonstrates a fundamental problem. Any arguments advanced based on this premise are destined to fail.""

Sorry i dont understand, please explain?? ,


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2009 23:45 
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safedave wrote:
""This really demonstrates a fundamental problem. Any arguments advanced based on this premise are destined to fail.""

Sorry i dont understand, please explain?? ,

Would slowing trains down generally be a good idea?

Or aircraft?

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PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2009 23:48 
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Trains, aircraft????? what ????? Is this a road safety site, what have aircraft and trains got to do with speedtraps hidden in pole's am I missing something here?


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2009 23:51 
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safedave wrote:
Trains, aircraft????? what ????? Is this a road safety site, what have aircraft and trains got to do with speedtraps hidden in pole's am I missing something here?

You seemed to be suggesting that, as a general premise, slowing people down was always a good thing. If it is good on the roads, isn't it good on the railways or in the air? If not, why not?

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PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2009 23:58 
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No I think that you are not having a serious debate here this is a road safety site aircraft safety, rail safety is nothing to do with the subject under debate??


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2009 02:28 
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safedave wrote:
the nsl (national speed limit) IS the speed limit, yes possibly it could be slower agreed, 55mph would be an appropriaite speed as this is where engines run nearer maximum efficency,


engines are at their most efficient at peak torque. To get to peak torque you normally have to put your foot hard on the floor and load the engine up to drag it back from high idle down to where ever peak torque is. But as Mole (I think) will doubtless tell you, you need to know the 3D fuel map for your particular engine to find the sweet spot.

The point being made about trains and planes is that on roads people always assume that any crash is caused by going "too fast", when a plane or train crashes an exhaustive investigation is carried out to find out the exact cause of the crash. So why is it OK to travel at 185 mph in a train, but not at 90 mph in a car, that would out brake it all day long? Why is it ok to travel across the Atlantic at 550mph?

My line of work has me judging forward speed very closely for up to 12 hours at a time, which is why my company vehicle has a far more advanced transmission and control systems than any car, not to mention a calibrated speedo, with displays on the dash and GTA terminal plus a radar. I will spend a long working day judging forward speed, maybe altering it by 0.2 of a kph to suit the conditions. Then I get on a 3 speed 7.5hp scooter to go home and am suddenly no long deemed responsible enough to judge speed, even though I have been doing it all flippin' day. :x


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2009 08:27 
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So why is it OK to travel at 185 mph in a train, but not at 90 mph in a car, that would out brake it all day long? Why is it ok to travel across the Atlantic at 550mph?


Because both the train and the aeroplane are the sole occupants of their immediate environment and entry of other vehicles to that environment is closely monitored and controlled. Trains and aeroplanes are driven by trained professionals with strict control of working hours and health.

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Then I get on a 3 speed 7.5hp scooter to go home and am suddenly no long deemed responsible enough to judge speed, even though I have been doing it all flippin' day.


Same thing. All day long you have been in an environment which is almost completely under your own control.

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2009 08:42 
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safedave wrote:
...slowing people down generally which must be a good idea


safedave wrote:
""This really demonstrates a fundamental problem. Any arguments advanced based on this premise are destined to fail.""

Sorry i dont understand, please explain?? ,

In the thread about dual carriageways you wrote:
safedave wrote:
...there are those morons of course that for whatever reason think that 50 mph is appropriate, they are as dangerouus as the speedsters.

You clearly do understand that going slower can be more hazardous in certain circumstances.

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2009 18:17 
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yes 20 mph, lower than the speed limit in good conditions ect would be silly, you woudn't do 10 mph in a 30 mph road if conditions allowed 30mph, the point been that for a good expierienced sensible driver the starting point of the risk assesment we all make in our heads is the posted limit.

we lower our speed from there taking other factors into account.

IF however we increase our speed because, (a) we know best.
(b) We don't care for others
(C) we are criminally inclined.
(D) we aren't bright enough to leave sufficient time, for our journey.

OR any other excuse or combination of excuses we will be dealt with by the law, the more speed cameras the better I say, and intellegent cameras, IE ones that can change thier detection speed near schools when the 20 mph lights flash would be welcome by safe drivers all over the U.K.


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2009 18:24 
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No. The posted speed limit is not relevant to an experienced driver's risk assessment. That assessment is done using his years of experience of driving in general and his knowledge of the road he is driving in particular. The 50mph speed limit on my road to work might be appropriate for the man who posted it but someone who has driven that road for many years knows that there are times and places on that road where 80mph is perfectly safe

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2009 18:45 
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illegal the fastest you can go is 70mph, look in the highway code, this is the begining of road safety, there is no cause for higher speed, If you do 80 you risk a fine, OK if youn do this dont cry when caught, and with regards to its safe tell it to a magestrate.


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2009 18:58 
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safedave wrote:
IF however we increase our speed because, (a) we know best.
(b) We don't care for others
(C) we are criminally inclined.
(D) we aren't bright enough to leave sufficient time, for our journey.

e) there's no need to spend unnecessary time on the road
f) drivers know there is increased arousal (less fatigue)
g) drivers get better mileage (if the limit is reduced below 50)
g) we may actually know better than bureaucrats who have fallen for illusions like RTTM, or who have vested interests in reducing (and enforcing) speed limits.

safedave wrote:
...IE ones that can change their detection speed near schools when the 20 mph lights flash would be welcome by safe drivers all over the U.K.

Having reasonable limits would be a great way to start.
Even better: having children taught the Green Cross Code as part of the curriculum would be welcomed by any safe person, but no, let's instead focus all our efforts on just the one road user group.

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2009 19:04 
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safedave wrote:
illegal the fastest you can go is 70mph, look in the highway code, this is the begining of road safety, there is no cause for higher speed, If you do 80 you risk a fine, OK if youn do this dont cry when caught, and with regards to its safe tell it to a magestrate.


you could drive down to Kent at 71mph and be a dangerous child slayer, hop on the chunnel and 20 minutes later, drive on a french DC at 75 and be a saint. How does that work?


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PostPosted: Sat Dec 05, 2009 15:10 
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I am sorry to have missed this discussion ... been traveling to conditions !... there have been lots of very interesting points raised and answered too.
I find it sad that some of our visitors (deliberately or otherwise), can assume that 'Safe Speed' and our call for the removal of all speed cameras, this somehow implies a massive assumption that we all must drive over the posted limits everywhere, when this is far from the truth.

Is this because they assume that because a camera specifies the numeric value to that road, that therefor anything over this value is therefor immediately dangerous and therefor immediately unsafe ! ?
Yet for years, this Country had the World's safest roads without any cameras whatso ever - so how did we do that then - by magic ?
We had many Trafpol who understood and knew that drivers travelling at or close to the 85th percentile were the safest inspite of it being over the speed limits, and would only stop a road user if they thought a tug was necessary for various reasons.
What used to be safe is now considered dangerous, in spite of solid statistical facts and truth, yet many drove / rode faster and slower as conditions permitted and were totally safe.
The total lack of good attitude, understanding and responsibility and that we must now be told how to act and when to slow or speed up shows a massive rift in road safety comprehension. All road conditions will stipulate many variable 'safest speeds' many faster or slower that any posted limit but teaching all road users that only through reading a sign will now make you operate safely is bowing to the lowest common denominator or the lowest 20% of road users. Better to improve the middle road user abilities than attempt to 'control' everyone which can make the best drivers and the above average drivers worse !

Last night on my way back home there were two incidents, and my speed was appropriate for each, enabling me to very easily stop long before I reached either.
Now if I had been as some accuse of of doing so - 'recklessly driving' or 'speeding', then I might have approached far too fast, but I don't.
I try to always be the best contentious, careful and safe driver that I can be, I might chastise myself (since Paul isn't here) over small errors that many probably do not even recognise.
One car was about 50 off the road on it's roof and had gone over the fence and small embankment, I reckon he overcooked it on the bend and lost control, and was flipped by the embankment, but there were 4 cars parked that made it hard to see, the ambulance was still oncoming after I had been directed through and about 2 miles up the road. The next was a lorry broken down at the end of a bend on a two lane overtake section.
This assumption that we always travel faster than the posted limits, and that we all must travel recklessly is a false assumption. it in fact only goes to show their own lack of understanding and how little they understand, the use of speed, car control, driving safely to conditions, road safety, and proper understanding of real research.

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PostPosted: Wed Dec 09, 2009 13:47 
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Steve wrote:
Excuse my delay in responding, I've had a lot to contend with recently.


No worries, I haven't exactly been rapid in my responses!

Steve wrote:
Peyote wrote:
[of RTTM and bias on selection]
I'll think I can accept that mistakes have been made in the calculations of the benefits that the SCP have said can be attributed to cameras. Whether this means that all cameras can be said to have no benefits I do not think is correct.
...
I'd agree with this too. However, again it doesn't discount that cameras can provide real benefits.

Which is fair comment - if taken in isolation.
However, would you agree that there is a real and significant chance that, until all these factors are properly accounted for, the claims that 'cameras are proven to have saved lives' is actually incorrect; also, there is again a real possibility that the overall benefit could actually be negative?


I would agree with this, where I think we differ is that I believe the chances of the effect of cameras being negative are far lower than you do, and the chances of cameras providing wider benefits other than 'saving lives' are potentially greater. Unfortunately this latter point isn't widely picked up and publicised by the media. I guess it doesn't provide the catchy soundbite that 'saving lives' does.

Steve wrote:
Yes there are more important things in life to worry about, but I feel this simple debate gives people enough tangible reasoning to realise they should be thinking more critically about claims and interests.

They way these claims are spun implies cameras are responsible for that level of KSI reduction ('before and after', 'at camera sites'), which goes well beyond being 'economical with the truth'. That kind of description guides the reader to believe it is the presence of the camera that led to the KSI reduction.


It guides the uninformed and apathetic reader, I'd like to believe that most readers have enough experience of these matters not to be taken in too much by the soundbites. I suppose it boils down to how much truth you (as a reader) glean from whatever your source of information is.

Steve wrote:
Be honest, it appears you thought that was the case before RTTM and bias on selection (BOS) was explained to you, yes? Surely your recognition of these factors is case in point? (you're not the only one - I fell for it too).


Yes, and no. It wasn't a subject I was particularly interested in, until my work made inroads (albeit very slightly) into the subject of road safety. I don't think I ever really considered whether the claims made by the SCPs where true or false. If I had cared to look into it in more detail I'd like to think I could view these issues objectively and critically.I still believe cameras can have a safety benefit despite the claims made by Safespeed. I've never really considered speed cameras to be completely about safety, they are about enforcement and safety is one of the major side benefits. The revenue generation side of things is an interesting distraction for me, but not one I take seriously because it really isn't difficult to avoid being caught! All IMHO of course.

Steve wrote:
Of course (but I don't believe the majority support them any more), but do you think that the level of support would have been greatly reduced if everyone had been educated about RTTM and BOS and how they apply to camera effectiveness? Should that opinion be representative of a population who understands the issues we're explaining?!


I'm not sure that the level of support would've reduced that much. I know about RTTM and BOS and I'm still a supporter of cameras, though I recognise that their use should be reviewed (not shelved). It would've made sense to include the aspects Safespeed has raised into an analysis (and subsequent publicity) of their effectiveness though.

Steve wrote:
Peyote wrote:
The disrespect for the law and lawlessness was always there, cameras haven't increased them, they've just made it harder for those who do disrespect the law and wish to act in a lawless manner to get away with it!

Now I completely disagree; the great majority of drivers don't drive with the intent of exceeding a speed limit.
Those who do want to act in a lawless manner (such as wanting to exceed the speed limit) can now get away with it. Remember, cameras only allow identification of those who allow themselves to be identified.


I had a feeling you'd disagree! I guess we're just looking at the same situation from differing viewpoints. From my perspective the roads have been an area with little law enforcement for a very long time, as soon as a solution to one aspect of this lack of enforcement comes along the status quo is changed and suddenly everyone is up in arms because the stuff they've been able to get away with for years is no longer so easy to get away with. True the majority may not go out with the intent of breaking the law, but the roads have operated this way for years and that behaviour has become the norm. It doesn't make it legal though. Of course this does raise the question of whether these behaviours should be illegal, but that's another debate...
Steve wrote:
Peyote wrote:
Agreed, misrepresentation should be tackled. Those who police us should be held to account. I'm just not convinced the arguments against speed cameras are that valid.

You must agree that the case for speed cameras is greatly exaggerated and can now understand how we are not convinced about the case for them.


Now we back to opinions I'm afraid Steve, you say greatly exaggerated, but we don't really know how much, do we? Then there's the other benefits associated with the use of cameras which always get overlooked in these discussions.

Steve wrote:
Peyote wrote:
Steve wrote:
IMO: all SCPs should be disbanded for their reprehensible conduct within the road safety debate.


Well, that's one opinion anyway!

Can one reasonably argue against it?


I'm trying in this thread!

Steve wrote:
Peyote wrote:
I think you've hit the nail on the head though with the fact that speed cameras may be defendable while taking into account RTTM and 'bias on selection'.

Yes they may be, but we already know the effectiveness has been overstated by a factor of 550% (even higher for non-urban roads), and thanks to BOS that could end up being more than infinitely higher (change of sign), hence the current set of SCP claims aren't defendable. Do you agree?


Does the 550% apply to every single camera?

If the current set of SCP claims don't take into account RTTM and BOS then they may be (very?) inaccurate but it doesn't mean that all cameras are useless and need to be ripped out. It means that the SCP claims need to be objectively pulled to bits and the whole thing reviewed.

Steve wrote:
Peyote wrote:
Again we're back to opinions. I'm afraid I disagree. Cameras could/can be/are a useful tool and their use should be continued with appropriate open and honest reviewing.

What do we do if the reviewing hasn't been honest - for the last 5 years, and continues to be anything but honest? Does that not suggest anything to you?


Lobby for honest reviewing, pull to shreds any dishonesty that you encounter. It suggest to me that the procedures in the SCPs for making these claims need a lot of work and a lot more analysis carried out. It doesn't mean there is a conspiracy to wring yet more money out of the beleagured-British-motorist (an oxymoron if ever there was one!).


Steve wrote:
Peyote wrote:
Is there even a link between trafpol reduction and increased camera use? I've heard it mentioned but never seen any evidence, indeed camera proponents point to a decrease in trafpol coinciding with an incease in policing in other areas (anti social behaviour, burglaries, street crime etc.)

We know trafpol numbers have declined during the time that reliance on speed cameras have increased. We know the effectiveness of speed cameras has been greatly over-exaggerated (at minimum) and that system has gained the cost recovery system (yet the more effective yet honest trafpol didn't) so making them appear to be 'for free'.
No real study has been done on this link (not surprising really), but you have to agree that it does make logical sense, more so given the lack of any argument against.
Would you agree that this is another factor that must be reviewed openly and honestly?


Yes, again something that needs to be looked into because, as you say, no real study has been done on this link. The assumption therefore that a link exists is a dangerous one to make.

Steve wrote:
If we as a society do not demand factors such as these to be reviewed openly and honestly (in good time), who is cutting off their nose?


In this example, I don't think the nose analogy works so well! But I agree with your underlying premise (and I'm paraphrasing here so please forgive me) - Society should be striving towards the best solution for any given problem and this includes open, honest and objective reviewing.

I still stand by my initial point though Steve!


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 10, 2009 05:43 
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Peyote wrote:
I would agree with this, where I think we differ is that I believe the chances of the effect of cameras being negative are far lower than you do, and the chances of cameras providing wider benefits other than 'saving lives' are potentially greater. Unfortunately this latter point isn't widely picked up and publicised by the media. I guess it doesn't provide the catchy soundbite that 'saving lives' does.

What possible benefits do you find to attribute to cameras? What evidence do you find where ?
I agree they love their catchy slogans just a shame it is not true !
Peyote wrote:
If I had cared to look into it in more detail I'd like to think I could view these issues objectively and critically.I still believe cameras can have a safety benefit despite the claims made by Safe Speed.

When Paul studied this there was no prior preference in either direction, he was totally open to what the facts gave him. We were very horrified to find all the facts hat showed all his findings. Why does the authorities have such biased - that is a very serious and concerning issue.

Peyote wrote:
I've never really considered speed cameras to be completely about safety, they are about enforcement and safety is one of the major side benefits. The revenue generation side of things is an interesting distraction for me, but not one I take seriously because it really isn't difficult to avoid being caught! All IMHO of course.

I cannot agree that safe is a benefit at all never mind a major one. Why would you think this ?
With ever more sneaky ways to try and 'catch out' road users, many think that they will never be caught but it can take time to learn new techniques to help and many inexperienced drivers have less experience to draw upon still.
For a system they claim is good why bother to hide it if they think it is so good ?

Peyote wrote:
It would've made sense to include the aspects Safe Speed has raised into an analysis (and subsequent publicity) of their effectiveness though.
Makes me wonder why they didn't do this to start with ? They have all he facilities people and money .... ?

Peyote wrote:
The disrespect for the law and lawlessness was always there, cameras haven't increased them, they've just made it harder for those who do disrespect the law and wish to act in a lawless manner to get away with it!

Let's not forget that with as you describe 'lawlessness' we had the safest roads in the World, now we have had 17 yrs of cameras we have fallen year on year and are now the 17th ! So was 3% of accidents that can be attributed to speed as a factor really the whole issue ?
So when road users 'got away with 'it'' we had safer roads and people had less SI accidents and were taught to pay attention to the road, as the prime road safety message, now we are told to just stick to a specific number! I know which one I would choose if I had to select just one.
What about all the bad side effects?

Peyote wrote:
.. as soon as a solution to one aspect of this lack of enforcement comes along the status quo is changed and suddenly everyone is up in arms because the stuff they've been able to get away with for years is no longer so easy to get away with.

Many experienced driver believe they now drive blind, at road black spots and especially vulnerable areas they now have to watch their car instruments and look out for cameras, so feel they are driving / riding blind than have their eyes and full concentration on the road ahead for all manner of potential hazards etc. We can drive / ride totally safely without using a specific speed measurement, so how come now it is herald as the most important factor, and especially in the light of statistics and facts.

Peyote wrote:
Agreed, misrepresentation should be tackled. Those who police us should be held to account. I'm just not convinced the arguments against speed cameras are that valid.

Which bits do you not understand or 'believe'?

Peyote wrote:
...Then there's the other benefits associated with the use of cameras which always get overlooked in these discussions.
What benefits ? There is only one small one I can think of and that is unproven.
Steve wrote:
Peyote wrote:
IMO: all SCPs should be disbanded for their reprehensible conduct within the road safety debate.
Can one reasonably argue against it?

You think you can argue for it ? OK how ?
Peyote wrote:
I think you've hit the nail on the head though with the fact that speed cameras may be defendable while taking into account RTTM and 'bias on selection'.

I disagree they (cameras) are not defendable in any way - when you look at how cameras have been used and their apparent illusion benefit shown there is no true or real benefit, no lives 'saved' no better or safer roads or drivers?
Peyote wrote:
If the current set of SCP claims don't take into account RTTM and BOS then they may be (very?) inaccurate but it doesn't mean that all cameras are useless and need to be ripped out. It means that the SCP claims need to be objectively pulled to bits and the whole thing reviewed.

So if your doctor said your operation was only proven ok in a few you would be happy that they are acting appropriately and in your best interest ?
I agree the whole system must be looked at in a totally unbiased manner and the facts and figures properly understood and rethought totally.
Peyote wrote:
Cameras could/can be/are a useful tool and their use should be continued with appropriate open and honest reviewing.

How are they a useful tool and where ? What do they actually teach and to whom?
Do you believe everything that they report ?
Anyone acting dishonestly having spent public money have to be answerable to the public and the authorities fully answerable.
Peyote wrote:
Is there even a link between trafpol reduction and increased camera use? I've heard it mentioned but never seen any evidence, indeed camera proponents point to a decrease in trafpol coinciding with an incease in policing in other areas (anti social behaviour, burglaries, street crime etc.)

The latest dft info on the next years on road safety clearly states that cameras replace the police. It is widely announced that traffic police have been reduced even some units removed, and many trafpol have masses of extra paperwork like 80% paperwork and 20% action.

Peyote wrote:
Society should be striving towards the best solution for any given problem and this includes open, honest and objective reviewing.
Absolutely !

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 10, 2009 13:42 
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I know it’s not possible, (yet), but if it was physically impossible for any vehicle to break the speed limit does anyone honestly believe we would see the massive drop in KSI that speed is meant to be responsible for? I don’t, not at all. I actually think it would cause many accidents. We have to get away from this false notion that speed always kills when we all know the weakness is the driver, not the speed.

Image I could play a game called 'Guess the Speed Limit' and post pictures of roads I know. Posters here assign what they think the speed limit is, or should be, and I’ll tell you what it actually is as you scroll down. I'll also tell you what I know about the road in question. :twisted:

I’m making a rod for my own back here but I’m happy to do it. It’ll be a first, I think, but I have absolutely no doubt I can very easily demonstrate how absurd and nonsensical a posted sped limit is using photographs from real situations; from real life!!!

It’ll take me a while but I’ll see if I can do it for the weekend, maybe as a new thread, and perhaps others may want to post some equally absurd ones they know of too. Could be interesting...

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 10, 2009 21:24 
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Thank you for your thorough response. It is rare to find an opposer who responds to all the points raised (without resorting to convenient quoting). Apologies for the longer post in return.

Peyote wrote:
I would agree with this, where I think we differ is that I believe the chances of the effect of cameras being negative are far lower than you do,

That's fair enough. In the absence of hard data it will be difficult for anyone to agree on a quantitative level. However, we agree that it is plausible, for me that’s enough to cast doubt on even the adjusted claims of camera effectiveness. Don't you think it odd such data/studies still isn't available after so many years, even though there are 43 sets of professional, paid, full-time SCP PR and analysis staff working on it? What have they been doing for the last 9 years?

Peyote wrote:
and the chances of cameras providing wider benefits other than 'saving lives' are potentially greater. Unfortunately this latter point isn't widely picked up and publicised by the media. I guess it doesn't provide the catchy soundbite that 'saving lives' does.

What do you think these wider benefits are?
There are so many more negative side effects to consider too.

Peyote wrote:
It guides the uninformed and apathetic reader, I'd like to believe that most readers have enough experience of these matters not to be taken in too much by the soundbites. I suppose it boils down to how much truth you (as a reader) glean from whatever your source of information is.

Not wanting to pick on you, but I would think it fair to say you're not apathetic (well you here for a start), yet you fell for the illusions, as did I (and I’m hardly apathetic). I think it reasonable to say that the majority of the population has fallen for it too. After all this time the SCPs haven’t changed their ways even after their errors has been proven. Isn't that enough to damage the credibility of the SCPs?

Peyote wrote:
The revenue generation side of things is an interesting distraction for me, but not one I take seriously because it really isn't difficult to avoid being caught! All IMHO of course.

My mum thought that until recently - the limits were dropped (40 signs removed) and a mobile unit was sneakily deployed. Given many of today’s ever reducing and needlessly low limits (especially on motorways and previously NSL roads), it is actually quite easy to be caught out. Millions of drivers will agree with me.

Peyote wrote:
I'm not sure that the level of support would've reduced that much. I know about RTTM and BOS and I'm still a supporter of cameras, though I recognise that their use should be reviewed (not shelved). It would've made sense to include the aspects Safespeed has raised into an analysis (and subsequent publicity) of their effectiveness though.

Like you I was a supporter, then after digging (deeper than you) I turned totally against; at least you're now wanting a review and are now open to the principle that cameras may not offer any overall positive benefit at all. The rest of the population will most likely be a bit of both (depending on how much of our arguments we get out there), and I think that's enough to justify my point. I would be happy to have a fully open review (oh god yes, I know where it will lead) – this is an obvious must, it has been for a long time, so why hasn’t it happened? I won't be surprised if such a review never happens; I've dug really deep (deeper than most) and I've directly tested SCP staff with my arguments - you can see that outcome for yourself if you've been following these forums.

Peyote wrote:
I had a feeling you'd disagree! I guess we're just looking at the same situation from differing viewpoints. From my perspective the roads have been an area with little law enforcement for a very long time,

I’m looking at the safety aspect and reasonably expected behaviours; you’re looking at compliance of just one behaviour.
You may feel there has been little law enforcement, you might be right, but that level has been falling since cameras were introduced (when considering enforcement of all behaviours of all road users).

Peyote wrote:
…as soon as a solution to one aspect of this lack of enforcement comes along the status quo is changed and suddenly everyone is up in arms because the stuff they've been able to get away with for years is no longer so easy to get away with.

You didn’t understand me, the cameras are at least part of the reason for that lack of enforcement; the only solution is to return that level to where it should have been (and we’ve already paid for it through ever increasing taxation on driving, so it’s not like we’re not entitled). But it’s even more than that: this misrepresentation we’re discussing has also resulted with many drops of speed limits, so its not so much about 'getting away with what we used to', it’s more like now can’t do what we safely and legally did before. On top of that, cars and roads are and have always been designed/engineered to be safer, so to maintain the effective status quo we’re actually entitled to higher limits (such as on motorways where the majority want higher limits).

The most dangerous drivers have it really easy now. It is much easier for their bad behaviours to evade detection and for them to evade capture even if detected. Remember, the campaign isn’t against speed limits or the enforcement of them.

Peyote wrote:
Now we back to opinions I'm afraid Steve, you say greatly exaggerated, but we don't really know how much, do we? Then there's the other benefits associated with the use of cameras which always get overlooked in these discussions.

Sorry but you are wrong. The SCPs claims are not opinions, they are quantified statements – we know the minimum level of exaggeration. Their claims were of a 55% drop; it is actually a 10% drop (that’s not accounting for 'bias on selection'). You cannot deny that the SCPs claims (of the tools they promote and benefit by) are greatly exaggerated/misrepresented at least a factor of 5.5 times.


Peyote wrote:
Steve wrote:
IMO: all SCPs should be disbanded for their reprehensible conduct within the road safety debate.
...
Can one reasonably argue against it?

I'm trying in this thread!

I have to say that so far you haven't succeeded. I've proven to your satisfaction that there is a strong exaggeration (or at least wanton misrepresentation) and that the exaggeration must be even greater than that already quantified.

Remember, there's exaggerating an existing benefit, and there's claiming one where it might not exist at all.

Peyote wrote:
Does the 550% apply to every single camera?

It was an average of all the 216 cameras used within the analysis (they being urban cameras). That figure is estimated (and logically reasonable) to be higher for non-urban cameras. It's all there within the analysis.

Peyote wrote:
If the current set of SCP claims don't take into account RTTM and BOS then they may be (very?) inaccurate but it doesn't mean that all cameras are useless and need to be ripped out. It means that the SCP claims need to be objectively pulled to bits and the whole thing reviewed.

I can forgive inaccurate, but, the SCPs claims are more than that: they’re deliberately (knowingly) inaccurate!

It also means that there’s no proven benefit from cameras, so why is there talk of having more? This is leading to drivers being needlessly penalised for no proven good reason (especially given the needlessly low limits they enforce), as well as having to accept shoddy traffic policing.

The lack of any open analysis, scrutiny or review from the SCPs even though there is quite obviously a case for it, and after all these years, means the SCPs must be held to account. At the very minimum, the SCPs should be disbanded for their repugnant behaviour (remember, they're full time professionals, we shouldn't know better than them, but evidently we do).
Do you agree that the SCP claims aren't defendable and haven’t been for many years even though groups such as Safe Speed has been broadcasting these errors?

Peyote wrote:
Lobby for honest reviewing, pull to shreds any dishonesty that you encounter. It suggest to me that the procedures in the SCPs for making these claims need a lot of work and a lot more analysis carried out. It doesn't mean there is a conspiracy to wring yet more money out of the beleagured-British-motorist (an oxymoron if ever there was one!).

Disprove claims, expose dishonesty, lobby for honesty! Been there, done all of that! Yet they're still spouting the same crap without acknowledgement of confounding factors, even after all these years!
The fact that after all these years the SCPs haven't done the work they obviously should have done does very strongly suggest there is a level of conspiracy on their part. Remember, these counter arguments are hardly new!

Peyote wrote:
Steve wrote:
We know trafpol numbers have declined during the time that reliance on speed cameras have increased. We know the effectiveness of speed cameras has been greatly over-exaggerated (at minimum) and that system has gained the cost recovery system (yet the more effective yet honest trafpol didn't) so making them appear to be 'for free'.
No real study has been done on this link (not surprising really), but you have to agree that it does make logical sense, more so given the lack of any argument against.
Would you agree that this is another factor that must be reviewed openly and honestly?

Yes, again something that needs to be looked into because, as you say, no real study has been done on this link. The assumption therefore that a link exists is a dangerous one to make.

It is not an assumption. It is clearly stated by the DfT that the cameras are there to free up police: "It [cameras] would free the police and the courts to concentrate on other offences" [DfT.gov.uk]. Coincidentally, levels of road policing has fallen even though the increased taxation on drivers means they’re entitled to more real police.

Peyote wrote:
- Society should be striving towards the best solution for any given problem and this includes open, honest and objective reviewing.

I completely agree. However, we haven’t had any of that, even after so long.

Peyote wrote:
I still stand by my initial point though Steve!

Being fair: the only relevant point you can stand by is that cameras may have a (slight) positive impact even after accounting for the three confounding factors.
I stand by the facts that the claimed quantitative effectiveness is exaggerated/misrepresented by 550%; that exaggeration will be higher thanks to BOS; cameras can have an overall negative impact; a benefit has never been properly proven. The fact that's there has never been any review, or analysis, or acceptance, or even a mention of such an obvious factor as BOS, even after all this time and visible lobbying, indicates those who make the claims really are dodging the issue.
Here's an example of such disingenuous behaviour from someone who quite obviously works for SCP/SCP support (something I have already confirmed). Look how he responds to the BOS factor; despite my repeated prompts elsewhere, this user has never accepted the possibility of BOS being a factor which should be considered. This is typical of the group we are drawing attention to (which isn’t surprising considering that user is part of it).

I’m happy for a full and open review. That would be a great step towards disbanding the SCPs.

_________________
Views expressed are personal opinions and are not necessarily shared by the Safe Speed campaign


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