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PostPosted: Sat Mar 06, 2010 00:45 
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The Sydney Morning Herald Here
Quote:
Fast drivers and a falling road toll: Germans show how

A safety expert says a crackdown on speeding is not the answer to reducing the road toll.

The vice-president of safety development for Mercedes-Benz, Ulrich Mellinghoff, says crash-avoidance systems, better roads and more roundabouts would do more to cut the road toll than tougher speeding laws.

The approach is in direct contrast to governments in NSW and Victoria, who preach the "speed kills" mantra as the best solution to reducing the road toll.

Mr Mellinghoff says motorists often fall into the trap of thinking they are driving safely because they are under the speed limit. He says the German road toll had reduced significantly in the past 20 years, despite much higher road speeds.

"I don't think that speed alone is the problem. It's the wrong speed in a special situation. With speed limits you will not stop those situations. If you have fog and drive at 100km/h, which is allowed, you are really in high danger of having an accident. On the other hand, if you drive 250km/h on the German autobahn in clear weather conditions with no traffic, it's not really a risk and no accidents happen in those situations," he says.

His claims are borne out by German road statistics. In 1972, there were 20,000 deaths on West German roads. Last year, there were 4100, despite 20 million more people on the road (including the old East Germany).

"That was with much worse traffic and significantly more vehicles on the road," Mr Mellinghoff said.

"What we have seen is there are a lot of very different reasons for accidents. Sometimes it is not the high speed, it is the wrong speed. If you limit the speed, the driver often thinks all they have to do is drive the speed limit.''

It was better to put the responsibility for driving at the right speed on the shoulders of the driver. Accident-avoidance technology, including pedestrian avoidance systems, also had the potential to drastically reduce the road toll.

When stability control was introduced on all cars in Germany, there was a 30 per cent reduction in accidents where a single car left the road.

Mr Mellinghoff said Australia's New Car Assessment Program, which crash-tests cars and awards safety ratings, should reward vehicles more for crash avoidance rather than the protection they offered in an accident.

"They should focus more on these assistance systems. It makes more sense to avoid an accident than to reduce the severity of it," he said.

Responding to the comments, a spokesman for the RTA said: ''speed remains a major factor in crashes throughout NSW, with 40 per cent of fatalities speed-related. Motorists are becoming complacent about the dangers of speeding and the belief that a crash won't happen to them.''

Mr Mellinghoff said Germany had also seen good results from separating vehicles, cyclists and pedestrians. He believes car-to-car communication can also play a role in reducing the toll, with cars able to warn drivers behind them about hazards.

http://smh.drive.com.au/fast-drivers-an ... -plsi.html


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PostPosted: Mon Mar 08, 2010 00:54 
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Good to see others say what we have been saying for ages. :)

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PostPosted: Mon Mar 08, 2010 09:09 
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SafeSpeedv2 wrote:
Good to see others say what we have been saying for ages. :)

:yesyes:

Nice find wmoore :)

I wonder if they will listen to Mr Mellinghoff? I guess it depends if they value a cash cow more than road safety. I know where the UK stands...

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PostPosted: Mon Mar 08, 2010 09:30 
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The standard response by politicians will be to say that he isn't a road safety expert, that his research is not peer reviewed and he works for a company making very fast cars so he is biased. It won't matter if these statements are true or not as long as they cast doubt on his integrity.

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PostPosted: Mon Mar 08, 2010 09:37 
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malcolmw wrote:
The standard response by politicians will be to say that he isn't a road safety expert, that his research is not peer reviewed and he works for a company making very fast cars so he is biased. It won't matter if these statements are true or not as long as they cast doubt on his integrity.

Sad but true, although how can anyone argue with "His claims are borne out by German road statistics. In 1972, there were 20,000 deaths on West German roads. Last year, there were 4100, despite 20 million more people on the road (including the old East Germany)."?

Even our resident weepej can't argue with that! Or can he... :roll:

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PostPosted: Mon Mar 08, 2010 09:46 
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wmoore wrote:
The Sydney Morning Herald Here
Quote:
Fast drivers and a falling road toll: Germans show how

A safety expert says a crackdown on speeding is not the answer to reducing the road toll.

The vice-president of safety development for Mercedes-Benz, Ulrich Mellinghoff, says crash-avoidance systems, better roads and more roundabouts would do more to cut the road toll than tougher speeding laws.

The approach is in direct contrast to governments in NSW and Victoria, who preach the "speed kills" mantra as the best solution to reducing the road toll.

Mr Mellinghoff says motorists often fall into the trap of thinking they are driving safely because they are under the speed limit. He says the German road toll had reduced significantly in the past 20 years, despite much higher road speeds.

"I don't think that speed alone is the problem. It's the wrong speed in a special situation. With speed limits you will not stop those situations. If you have fog and drive at 100km/h, which is allowed, you are really in high danger of having an accident. On the other hand, if you drive 250km/h on the German autobahn in clear weather conditions with no traffic, it's not really a risk and no accidents happen in those situations," he says.

His claims are borne out by German road statistics. In 1972, there were 20,000 deaths on West German roads. Last year, there were 4100, despite 20 million more people on the road (including the old East Germany).

"That was with much worse traffic and significantly more vehicles on the road," Mr Mellinghoff said.

"What we have seen is there are a lot of very different reasons for accidents. Sometimes it is not the high speed, it is the wrong speed. If you limit the speed, the driver often thinks all they have to do is drive the speed limit.''

It was better to put the responsibility for driving at the right speed on the shoulders of the driver. Accident-avoidance technology, including pedestrian avoidance systems, also had the potential to drastically reduce the road toll.

When stability control was introduced on all cars in Germany, there was a 30 per cent reduction in accidents where a single car left the road.

Mr Mellinghoff said Australia's New Car Assessment Program, which crash-tests cars and awards safety ratings, should reward vehicles more for crash avoidance rather than the protection they offered in an accident.

"They should focus more on these assistance systems. It makes more sense to avoid an accident than to reduce the severity of it," he said.

Responding to the comments, a spokesman for the RTA said: ''speed remains a major factor in crashes throughout NSW, with 40 per cent of fatalities speed-related. Motorists are becoming complacent about the dangers of speeding and the belief that a crash won't happen to them.''

Mr Mellinghoff said Germany had also seen good results from separating vehicles, cyclists and pedestrians. He believes car-to-car communication can also play a role in reducing the toll, with cars able to warn drivers behind them about hazards.

http://smh.drive.com.au/fast-drivers-an ... -plsi.html

Oh dear! Classic mistake; this is when the majority of casualties occur.
His elementary assessment of the total German casualty figure is based upon what "he believes" the safest driving situation to be. Unfortunately he is mistaken in that belief and hence his analysis is that of the amateur analyst in a position of influence. He should have checked his facts first and so should those who choose to rely upon them.
It is very easy to rely on a report when it says some of what you want to believe. :lol:


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PostPosted: Mon Mar 08, 2010 09:49 
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malcolmw wrote:
The standard response by politicians will be to say that he isn't a road safety expert, that his research is not peer reviewed and he works for a company making very fast cars so he is biased. It won't matter if these statements are true or not as long as they cast doubt on his integrity.

I doubt he is a road safety expert and his analysis will have probably amounted to a single read of part of the German casualty figures; puts 2+2 together and makes 66! You may have hit on the reason he has said what he did.


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PostPosted: Mon Mar 08, 2010 10:15 
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You make a point of highlighting "if you drive 250km/h on the German autobahn in clear weather conditions with no traffic, it's not really a risk and no accidents happen in those situations," he says."

Would you care to tell us how an accident happens in those circumstances without resorting to the absurd or 'Act of God' event Mr Greenshed?

It is very easy to not rely on a report when it says some of what you don't want to believe. :lol:

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PostPosted: Mon Mar 08, 2010 10:36 
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Big Tone wrote:
You make a point of highlighting "if you drive 250km/h on the German autobahn in clear weather conditions with no traffic, it's not really a risk and no accidents happen in those situations," he says."

Would you care to tell us how an accident happens in those circumstances without resorting to the absurd or 'Act of God' event Mr Greenshed?

It is very easy to not rely on a report when it says some of what you don't want to believe. :lol:

The conditions described represent when most collisions and casualties occur; the reason whey that is is because they are the conditions that give drivers the feeling that they are safe to engage in risky behaviour so increasing the number of collisions and casualties. The exact mechanism of each collision is not important nor is it common to all collisions; what is common are the conditions and driver attitudes in those conditions. Simple analysis that concludes that low risk/ideal conditions coupled with additional risk to injury potential is what it says on the tin "simple" but more importantly naive and mistaken.


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PostPosted: Mon Mar 08, 2010 10:51 
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GreenShed wrote:
Big Tone wrote:
You make a point of highlighting "if you drive 250km/h on the German autobahn in clear weather conditions with no traffic, it's not really a risk and no accidents happen in those situations," he says."

Would you care to tell us how an accident happens in those circumstances without resorting to the absurd or 'Act of God' event Mr Greenshed?

It is very easy to not rely on a report when it says some of what you don't want to believe. :lol:

The conditions described represent when most collisions and casualties occur
That’s funny, I always thought “most collisions” occured at junctions. :?

Who told me that motorways are the safest type of road? Come on, own up!! :D


GreenShed wrote:
Simple analysis that concludes that low risk/ideal conditions coupled with additional risk to injury potential is what it says on the tin "simple" but more importantly naive and mistaken.
“Simple” like Speed Kills then?

Speed kills must be "naive and mistaken" then?

I think you're defeating your own argument...


GreenShed wrote:
The exact mechanism of each collision is not important nor is it common to all collisions; what is common are the conditions and driver attitudes in those conditions.
No, but you’re nearly there.. What is common are the conditions and driver attitudes in all conditions.

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You will be branded a threat to society by going over a speed limit where it is safe to do so, and suffer the consequences of your actions in a way criminals do not, more so than someone who is a real threat to our society.


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PostPosted: Mon Mar 08, 2010 11:48 
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Big Tone wrote:
GreenShed wrote:
Big Tone wrote:
You make a point of highlighting "if you drive 250km/h on the German autobahn in clear weather conditions with no traffic, it's not really a risk and no accidents happen in those situations," he says."

Would you care to tell us how an accident happens in those circumstances without resorting to the absurd or 'Act of God' event Mr Greenshed?

It is very easy to not rely on a report when it says some of what you don't want to believe. :lol:

The conditions described represent when most collisions and casualties occur
That’s funny, I always thought “most collisions” occured at junctions. :?

The discussion was about the weather conditions not the place where collisions occur.
Big Tone wrote:
Who told me that motorways are the safest type of road? Come on, own up!! :D

It certainly wouldn't have been me.


Big Tone wrote:
GreenShed wrote:
Simple analysis that concludes that low risk/ideal conditions coupled with additional risk to injury potential is what it says on the tin "simple" but more importantly naive and mistaken.
“Simple” like Speed Kills then?

Speed kills must be "naive and mistaken" then?

I think you're defeating your own argument...

some simple sayings may come from complex analysis and may well be quite correct; some do not and are plainly incorrect.

Big Tone wrote:
GreenShed wrote:
The exact mechanism of each collision is not important nor is it common to all collisions; what is common are the conditions and driver attitudes in those conditions.
No, but you’re nearly there.. What is common are the conditions and driver attitudes in all conditions.

As long as you believe you are right that would be just fine with me; you do seem to have little idea about this subject though; is your understanding mainly as a result of reading these forums and web pages? :roll:


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PostPosted: Mon Mar 08, 2010 11:55 
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Sorry Greenshed, no dice, your statment quite clearly says that most accident happen on German Autobahns, in perfect weather conditions, with only a single vehicle involved, and with a speed of 250km/h. I request that you either substantiate or withdraw that claim.

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PostPosted: Mon Mar 08, 2010 13:32 
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Hoisted with his own petard Robin ;)

I see he’s found time to post on other threads Image but I don’t expect an answer anytime soon here...

:tumbleweed:

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PostPosted: Mon Mar 08, 2010 17:51 
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Quote:
I request that you either substantiate or withdraw that claim.


Which is something that he has failed to do .....SO MANY TIMES IN TH PAST!

You might as well read the Dandy to get road safety facts as take notice of Greenshed's "Facts and figures".

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PostPosted: Mon Mar 08, 2010 18:28 
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Well how odd! :roll: Clearly Mr. Greenshed is an "expert" on German statistics too! After all, he couldn't possibly be drawing these conclusions form the Cumbria Safety Camera Partnership's data - they reckon most such accidents happen around rush hour! (Although I notice that particular little gem - and many other like it, appears to have "disappeared" from their site)!

Come on Mr.Greenshed! As RobinXe says, cite your sources or risk loosing your reputation as a perless expert on matters related to road safety!

:scratchchin: Hmmm, we need a smiley carefully locking a stable door and a little tiny picture of a horse in the distance...


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PostPosted: Mon Mar 08, 2010 20:25 
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malcolmw wrote:
The standard response by politicians will be to say that he isn't a road safety expert, that his research is not peer reviewed and he works for a company making very fast cars so he is biased. It won't matter if these statements are true or not as long as they cast doubt on his integrity.



And a few posts later ,we find ---


GreenShed wrote:
I doubt he is a road safety expert and his analysis will have probably amounted to a single read of part of the German casualty figures; puts 2+2 together and makes 66! You may have hit on the reason he has said what he did.


We could also say that those gaining from the illusion of road safety( and keeping a failing scam industry ) by dubious statistics would be first to jump into that line of reasoning .

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 09, 2010 12:14 
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Greenshed wrote:
His elementary assessment of the total German casualty figure is based upon what "he believes" the safest driving situation to be.


Hmm! That quote is ideally suited to those who believe that speed kills. :scratchchin:


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