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PostPosted: Thu Nov 13, 2008 13:07 
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Not sure if it's been picked up here but this project has been concluded & results published (September 08) here:
http://www.dft.gov.uk/pgr/roads/vehicle ... daptation/

I don't expect it to get an unprejudiced reception here but am sure you'll enjoy debating it to death :D


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 13, 2008 15:33 
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I'd have been impressed if the motorcycle tests had been done on roads and not a test track.

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56 years after it was decided it was needed, the Bedford Bypass is nearing completion. The last single carriageway length of it.We have the most photogenic mayor though, always being photographed doing nothing


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 13, 2008 16:07 
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Am I missing the point? My car currently has Intelligent Speed Adaptation fitted to it every time it is driven - me!

This scheme is NOT intelligent, it is passing important speed decisions away from the driver, who by law has to undergo a minimum level of training, to a machine which abitrarily limits the speed of the vehicle based upon the speed limit. This is not intelligence, it is the very opposite.

If this goes ahead then I can see the number of KSi's going through the roof.


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 13, 2008 17:01 
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Odin wrote:
This scheme is NOT intelligent, it is passing important speed decisions away from the driver, who by law has to undergo a minimum level of training, to a machine which abitrarily limits the speed of the vehicle based upon the speed limit. This is not intelligence, it is the very opposite.

If this goes ahead then I can see the number of KSi's going through the roof.


did you actually read the definition then ?


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 13, 2008 21:05 
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Quote:
Intelligent Speed Adaptation (ISA) is a system that provides, within the vehicle, information on the speed limit for the road currently being travelled on. That information can be used to display the current speed limit inside the vehicle and warn the driver when he or she is speeding (i.e. Advisory ISA) ...
This is not a good idea. We want their money. Warning them will only work if we are warning them so constantly, that they tire of the warnings and ignore them, thus ensuring our income.
Quote:
... it can be linked to the vehicle engine and perhaps brakes to curtail speed to the speed limit for the road while allowing the driver to override the system (i.e. Voluntary ISA)
This is pointless. Presently, we set the speed limits low enough so that they can't help but to break them at least as often as they do now. Allowing the driver to override the posted speed 'limit' is what we are already doing. We would be spending money to allow drivers to avoid giving us money, so this is right out.
Quote:
... it can be linked to engine and brakes without the possibility of an override (i.e. Mandatory or Non-Overridable ISA)
This is an interesting idea. This would effectively create a mass transit system, using everyone's personal vehicles. Since we would be giving up the revenue generated by speeding violations, we would naturally have to increase the purchase and maintenance costs of the personal vehicles going forward to include and 'maintain' the additional technological load required - as we have done in the past with other 'safety features'.
Quote:
The technology is of interest because of the known relationship between speed and risk of an accident ...
Your amygdala and your gut will provide sufficient information here; ignore all scientific facts and figures, especially the majority of it, which contradicts what we insist on calling "the known relationship".
Quote:
... and also because of the relationship between speed and injury severity in an accident.
If your gut is right half of the time, why not just trust your gut all the time? We have more important things to spend other people's money on, so we can get it back.
Quote:
The earlier External Vehicle Speed Control project demonstrated the viability of ISA technology. The follow up Intelligent Speed Adaptation project was commissioned to investigate how drivers would behave when using a Voluntary ISA in everyday car driving.

Important issues covered were how different types of driver (younger/older, male/female, habitual speeder/non-speeder) would be affected in terms of speed choice by use of the system, how their attitudes to the system would evolve over time, and whether they would revert to their pre-ISA speeding behaviour once the system was switched off.

Other work in the project has examined the feasibility of building a motorcycle with ISA and has investigated the impact of ISA on the operation of a truck used in a short-haul delivery operation. Finally the project has estimated the potential impact of ISA on future accidents, and has estimated the overall future benefit-to-cost ratios from ISA introduction.
The initially expected measure of benefit of nearly every safety feature that has ever been invented has been never been fully realized by their users, a phenomenon which a researcher by the name of John Adams terms
'Risk Compensation'.

Seatbelts, antilock brakes, and all other 'safety features' are either mitigated to varying degrees by the users, or are themselves attempts to circumvent either the user's risk compensation[s], or other driver shortcomings (I.E.: Emergency Brake Assist circumvents both those drivers who respond to ABS pulsations by backing off brake pressure, and those who simply can't or won't step on the brake hard enough in the first place).

Cutting to the chase, ladies and gents, Intelligent Speed Adaptation provides us with a quandry.
Up until this point, we have depended upon the statistically normal behavior of the public to regulate their own travelling speeds, resulting in a windfall which largely is the reason why we are able to discuss ISA presently.

I submit that if we properly implement ISA, we can both save more lives, and increase revenues for all involved parties. If not, there exists a serious possibility that we might neither save lives, nor profit.

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The Rules for ALL ROAD USERS:
1) No one gets hurt
2) Nothing gets hit, except to protect others; see Rule#1
3) The Laws of Physics are invincible and immutable - so-called 'laws' of men are not
4) You are always immediately and ultimately responsible for your safety first, then proximately responsible for everyone's
Do not let other road users' mistakes become yours, nor yours become others
5) The rest, including laws of the land, is thoughtful observation, prescience, etiquette, decorum, and cooperation


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PostPosted: Fri Nov 14, 2008 09:25 
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Quote:
The technology behind ISA is typically the use of an enhanced navigation system, which in addition to all the typical information
about road layout and features also incorporates speed limit as a road attribute. There is no need for a driver to enter journey start
point or end point into the system; rather the ISA system automatically detects the road on which the vehicle is travelling and hence
the speed limit. A special display is provided to show the current speed limit and system status


All of which will be useless unless Galileo gets "on the road"
The current gps system has large blank spots, and many of the posted limits are changed so often that the ISA database [in car] would need updating
every few hours.
Note also that the system does not start at the speed limit, but at a "zone" NEAR the limit

Quote:
The ISA system envisaged here is an autonomous (in-vehicle) ISA, in which each vehicle uses Global Positioning Systems (GPS) and dead-reckoning, to locate itself on a digital map, held in the vehicle, and reads the appropriate speed limit from that map.


Yes, as if.

Quote:
It should be noted that, under the Authority Driven scenario, the initial assumption is that the mandatory ISA variant would be switched on once 99% of vehicles are fitted with the voluntary system. This is a modelling assumption; earlier enabling of mandatory usage is feasible and is also examined, but it would require more retrofitting to older vehicles. However, this would potentially create an attractive market for vehicles not fitted with the mandatory system, which would be undesirable on safety grounds


[translation] We would have to remove older vehicles from the vehicle pool eventually[/translation]

Quote:
For the purpose of the analysis here it is assumed ISA will only affect crash risk when at least one vehicle fitted with ISA is involved in an incident. Not all vehicles are capable of being fitted. The potential of an ISA-equipped vehicle to slow down those vehicles following it in the traffic stream has not been investigated in this project and is not counted in the analysis. Thus the assumption that ISA will only affect crash risk for fitted vehicles is a simplification that can be considered conservative.


How about the potential for isa equipped vehicles to CAUSE the accident by slowing-down BEFORE the posted limit starts, or when the posted limit is higher than the stored limit ?

Quote:
In terms of model source, those models based on before and after observations are to be preferred over models derived from cross-sectional data (i.e. from comparing different roads with different speed profiles). The former are much more likely to account for fact that roads with different speed profiles are likely to differ in quality, with better quality roads tending to have faster traffic.
Equally it has been shown that the rate of change of crash risk associated with the impact of changes in speed are not equivalent across roads of different quality. This was demonstrated for example in Taylor et al. (2002), where it was shown that for rural single-carriageway roads, better quality meant not only higher mean speeds and a lower risk for a given mean speed, but also reduced impact on risk of a given change in mean speed (such as an increase of 5 mph). This all indicates the potential problem associated with using models out of the range for which they were calibrated: a model derived from roads with a mean speed of 35 mph may not predict properly when it is applied to a set of roads with a mean speed of 50 mph.
This also implies that general models based on all roads, such as those of Finch et al. (1994), Nilsson (1982) and Elvik et al. (2004), are not as appropriate as models that take into account road category (urban, rural, motorway) and road quality. For example, a model derived for rural single-carriageway roads should preferably not be applied to prediction for rural dual carriageways. Equally, because of extraneous factors such as the level of seatbelt wearing among drivers in different countries, there is a preference for using models derived from data for the country in question.
Based on the above discussion, a number of criteria can be established for evaluating the appropriateness of models found in the literature to the case of ISA. It is preferable for models:
1.
To take account of the impact of ISA on the distribution of speed or on speed difference — this is particularly relevant for application to intervening forms of ISA
2.
To be specified for the group of roads in question (by road category, speed limit, travel speed, etc.)
3.
To be derived from the region or country in question
4.
To be based on before and after data
5.
To use parameters that are appropriate for ISA so that the models are fit on theoretical grounds


Rather a lot seems to be either assumed, or relies upon models.
How accurate can something be when it produces different results when used [for instance] in a 30mph scenario when it was developed for a 20mph scenario ?

I can see I'm going to have to read through the whole bundle carefully. But, much seems to be approximated or based upon computer models. Like the global warming models ?

_________________
The world runs on oil, period. No other substance can compete when it comes to energy density, flexibility, ease of handling, ease of transportation. If oil didn’t exist we would have to invent it.”

56 years after it was decided it was needed, the Bedford Bypass is nearing completion. The last single carriageway length of it.We have the most photogenic mayor though, always being photographed doing nothing


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