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PostPosted: Fri Sep 17, 2004 15:26 
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basingwerk wrote:
PeterE wrote:
The discretion is in the enforcement, not in defining which behaviour is or isn't technically illegal

I'm no better off. Using your standard, I'll never know where I stand legally.

You don't know now. You don't know which roads have mobile speed enforcement. You don't know whether Gatsos have film in them, or at what level the threshold is set. And there are plenty of roads where the speed limit is never enforced at all.

Speed limits can't be enforced everywhere, all the time. Given that, I'd prefer them to be enforced where and when exceeding them was most dangerous, not where it was easiest to do.

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PostPosted: Fri Sep 17, 2004 15:59 
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Twister Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2004 1:50 pm

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But unless the road through the village is a private one, owned by the villagers themselves, then it's NOT their road, is it... And assuming this is the main road through the village we're on about, then any expectation of tranquility from people living next to it is absurd. If you live next to what is the main road for that area - regardless of whether the road is a multi-lane urban motorway or a single carriageway country lane through the middle of Somesmallhamletinthemiddleofnowhere - you shouldn't expect peace and tranquility, nor demand that all the motorists who may have no choice but to use that stretch of road to get from A to B should suffer a purely NIMBYesque speed limit if there is no good safety/engineering case to be made for a reduction.

And these are the selfish NIMBYesque attitudes which will fortunately and correctly sustain the momentum for increased speed enforcement in such areas. I only hope we do away with GATSOs soon and move to SPECs or well advertised covert enforcement in these areas. Whatever it takes to keep the inconsiderate 'bully' speeder at bay.

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PostPosted: Fri Sep 17, 2004 16:10 
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basingwerk wrote:
I'm no better off. Using your standard, I'll never know where I stand legally.

You don't know now[/quote]

I do know now! If I am within the limit, I know where I stand legally. If I'm not, its (rightfully) open season on me!

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PostPosted: Fri Sep 17, 2004 16:13 
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basingwerk wrote:
Quote:
I'm no better off. Using your standard, I'll never know where I stand legally.

PeterE wrote:
You don't know now

I do know now! If I am within the limit, I know where I stand legally. If I'm not, its (rightfully) open season on me!

Do you think drivers were hopelessly confused about speed enforcement in 1989?

It has always been quite clear that if you keep within the speed limit you know where you stand. If you exceed it, you may be prosecuted.

Legally, nothing has changed.

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PostPosted: Fri Sep 17, 2004 16:27 
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Søren wrote:
You entirely miss the point.
Not all Rottweilers are dangerous, but everyone has a right to feel intimidated by them. That is why we ask for them to be kept under control.


Why would you feel intimidated by people who exceed the speed limit? It's only tailgaters and aggressive drivers who intimidate -- it's perfectly possible for me to drive behind you calmly and safely until such a point as you turn off the road or a safe overtaking opportunity arises.

Quote:
I don’t trust you at the speeds significantly over the limit, and unless youre the blue moon speeder who limits his motorway overtakes to within 15mph closing speed, I have every right not to trust you. And the law is on my side, thank god.


I'm glad you agree that closing speed is significant. Personally, I adjust my speed depending on the traffic flow -- it's perfectly easy to do. There will always be some twats in BMW's who drive at 100 mph whatever the weather, but most people manage to moderate their speed to fit in with the rest of the traffic, and yet make good progress at the same time.

Quote:
You’ll also be the blue moon speeder who restrains himself to 2 or 3 seconds behind the car he’s following in the fast lane, in order not to intimidate. It just doesn’t happen mate!


So now, having never witnessed my driving, you are assuming that I tailgate in the fast lane? That behaviour has nothing to do with speed -- on busy motorways sometimes the fast lane is full with tailgaters all doing 60 mph. Well within the speed limit, but if one of them makes a mistake, a pile-up is the result.

It seems that you still aren't able to grasp the difference between agressive driving, and normal driving that is simply in excess of the speed limit.


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PostPosted: Fri Sep 17, 2004 16:38 
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PeterE wrote:
Do you think drivers were hopelessly confused about speed enforcement in 1989?


Oh yes, drivers were always confused about speed enforcement. There was always a risk that you might get caught speeding. Many drivers habitually exceeded the limit because it was a small risk, but there was still confusion about what was acceptable and what was not. Recently, technology means that the risk is very high. Drivers are much less confused now, because each of them knows people who have been pinged, and drivers are well aware that, if they flaunt the law, they are for it.

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PostPosted: Fri Sep 17, 2004 16:55 
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orange Posted: Fri Sep 17, 2004 4:27 pm
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Why would you feel intimidated by people who exceed the speed limit? It's only tailgaters and aggressive drivers who intimidate -- it's perfectly possible for me to drive behind you calmly and safely until such a point as you turn off the road or a safe overtaking opportunity arises.

I find it amusing when speeders arrogantly say, I travel quickly but I make sure I keep my 2 seconds distance between me and the car in front. I've no doubt you do Orange, but I infrequently meet drivers like you. I'll recognise you by your driving one day, and Ill stop and shake your hand.
Not all speeders intend to be aggressive - most are!

Quote:
on busy motorways sometimes the fast lane is full with tailgaters all doing 60 mph. Well within the speed limit, but if one of them makes a mistake, a pile-up is the result.

Why are they tailgating - to get past the car in front - to get Mr Smiths magic three minutes in the bank!

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PostPosted: Fri Sep 17, 2004 17:09 
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Twister wrote:
But unless the road through the village is a private one, owned by the villagers themselves, then it's NOT their road, is it... any expectation of tranquillity .. is absurd. If you live next to ... road through the middle of Somesmallhamletinthemiddleofnowhere - you shouldn't expect peace and tranquillity, ... purely NIMBYesque speed limit if there is no good safety/engineering case to be made for a reduction.


With that attitude, I'd limit you on noise and pollution alone, never mind safety!

Twister wrote:
either way there is a net financial benefit for the government


If only I could get lawbreakers to pay all my taxes, I'd be a happy man!

Twister wrote:
gang/yob culture continues to make certain areas off-limits out of daylight hours (and sometimes even in daylight) to anyone who isn't suicidal, small-scale theft, vandalism and other anti-social activities which have an immediate impact on the apparent well-being of an area


Of course, the mother of all evils, the speed camera is to blame! Come off it twister, if the roads are not owned by the villagers themselves, they are certainly not a public race track for the pleasure of the Top Speed crowd.

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PostPosted: Fri Sep 17, 2004 17:15 
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Søren wrote:
Why are they tailgating - to get past the car in front - to get Mr Smiths magic three minutes in the bank!


I don't think that's the case at all. From what I've seen, they don't realise they're doing it; it's not a deliberate act, more just 'the way they drive'. The sad thing is that until they have an accident, they won't realise their mistake.

And of course in most cases, even when they do have an accident, they'll blame the driver in front for stopping too quickly, and won't even consider the fact that they were driving too close.

This is the thing that really annoys me about the current road safety policy. Speed is important, definitely -- especially in urban areas. But on motorways and dual carriageways, tailgating is far more dangerous than exceeding the speed limit.


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PostPosted: Fri Sep 17, 2004 17:23 
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basingwerk wrote:
PeterE wrote:
Do you think drivers were hopelessly confused about speed enforcement in 1989?

Oh yes, drivers were always confused about speed enforcement. There was always a risk that you might get caught speeding. Many drivers habitually exceeded the limit because it was a small risk, but there was still confusion about what was acceptable and what was not. Recently, technology means that the risk is very high. Drivers are much less confused now, because each of them knows people who have been pinged, and drivers are well aware that, if they flaunt the law, they are for it.

No they're not. Except at fixed camera sites and designated mobile sites, they're less likely to be caught than they used to be. There's no direct relationship between the frequency of exceeding speed limits and the frequency of being caught.

Btw, it's "flout" in that context, not "flaunt".

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PostPosted: Fri Sep 17, 2004 17:30 
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PeterE wrote:
Btw, it's "flout" in that context, not "flaunt".


2 : to treat contemptuously <flaunted the rules -- Louis Untermeyer>

Hm..

Although transitive sense 2 of flaunt undoubtedly arose from confusion with flout, the contexts in which it appears cannot
be called substandard

So thanks, but no thanks.

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PostPosted: Fri Sep 17, 2004 17:52 
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Such an egregious exploit, this gratuitous illustration of shibboleth! :roll:

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PostPosted: Fri Sep 17, 2004 18:20 
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orange wrote:
Søren wrote:
Why are they tailgating - to get past the car in front - to get Mr Smiths magic three minutes in the bank!


I don't think that's the case at all. From what I've seen, they don't realise they're doing it; it's not a deliberate act, more just 'the way they drive'. The sad thing is that until they have an accident, they won't realise their mistake.

And of course in most cases, even when they do have an accident, they'll blame the driver in front for stopping too quickly, and won't even consider the fact that they were driving too close.

This is the thing that really annoys me about the current road safety policy. Speed is important, definitely -- especially in urban areas. But on motorways and dual carriageways, tailgating is far more dangerous than exceeding the speed limit.


I agree with this orange, most tailgaters don't realise they are doing anything potentially hazardous. It is therefore odd to assert that drivers who routinely make no attempt to obey the speed limit are any different because they aren't They are no more aware of the hazard they are presenting to themselves and others than the mindless tailgater is - they are driving in the same frame of mind - autopilot.


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PostPosted: Sat Sep 18, 2004 06:50 
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basingwerk wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:
But you're missing the vital point that every single circumstance is its own special case


I agree, and the top limit is not a suggestion about the right speed. It's the top limit for that stretch. Anybody can drive at less, indeed, almost they certainly should.


Given that on most of our roads the majority are already exceeding the speed limit under free flowing circumstances, that simply cannot be right can it?

Yet the least experienced drivers need the limits as they are - indeed they might already be on the high side. And our more experienced drivers need to be free to get on with the business of driving and pay full attention to hazards ahead.

This simply cannot be resolved with an emphasis on numerical speed - especially given that the speed limit is almost never the optimum speed.

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PostPosted: Sat Sep 18, 2004 07:22 
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Søren wrote:
SafeSpeed wrote:

[...]

Your reply highlights a range of fundamental misunderstandings about my work. I abhor selfish or careless driving. I am quite certain - having done a great deal of homework - that road safety is being very badly served by an overemphasis on the importance of speed limits.

[I'd also suggest that you made rather too many points in one post to enable a point by point reply. I started doing it point by point, but it was turning into a monster. Can you please try and focus on one or two issues per post? If you think I've ignored something important or significant, please ask me again.]


Politically answered ? missing almost every point, but I won?t push it if youre not up to it.

My main problem with you Mr Smith is that you like to make your disciples feel that they can display better driving by exceeding the speed limit. If we put enforcement aside for one minute, your dogma would drive their speeds up and up and up because of perceived (often imagined) skill enhancement, and because they only die every few thousand years, they would feel they are doing a good job. Theyre wrong, of course, they simply want to get from a to b three minutes quicker!


I'm not inclined towards "political answers". My background is in engineering - not politics - and I'll give a straight answer to any question politely asked.

I don't much like the general tone of your postings. This is a serious debate about the important factors and policies that deliver road safety. You might think road safety can be reduced to measured speed, but a decade of experience suggests that this is a massive mistake.

Your tendency to personal attacks is not appropriate.

Clearly the widespread disregard for UK speed limits is nothing so simple as the wish to arrive 3 minutes earlier. Do you really think that the vast majority of our experienced drivers are so impatient as to risk crashing for the sake of a few minutes?

Yes, there are reckless speeding drivers. But the vast majority of speeding drivers are not reckless. It's the recklessness that needs to be dealt with not the speed.

Søren wrote:
The government has set the limits. I?m almost entirely happy with them. They are there for numerous reasons many of which you cant or don?t recognise because of your self centred ideology. I?m entirely unhappy about people taking the p*ss not adhering to speed limits around me and mine. Will you slow down for me Mr Smith? The law of my country demands that you do.


The speed that I drive at is entirely outside of the important debate. Despite the fact that it is irrelevant, I will tell you that I take my personal road safety responsibilities extremely seriously. I give proper priority to risks based on three decades of experience. I spent thousands of pounds on driver training in the 1980s. I have been studying "how road safety works" for two decades.

If you can find a flaw in my work, then please point it out. It's all laid out on the web for examination. There's a promise to correct errors if any are discovered. I'll stand by that with a passion.

Finally, I don't dodge questions. If you think I missed something, then please ask me again, but please stick to discussing the issues. Personal attacks are not acceptable.

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PostPosted: Sat Sep 18, 2004 07:31 
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basingwerk wrote:
The only sign is a departure from a graph (deaths against miles travelled) which includes data from 1950. If the data of only the last 20 years is included, the departure from the graph occurs before the mass introduction of cameras. Don't forget that until 1996, there were only a few hundred cameras in the country, yet the curves (which appears to be the main plank SafeSpeed's case) alters abruptly in 1993, making it much less clearly linked to cameras. It is not evident that strict enforcement is counter productive.


But it's not just the count of cameras is it? It's the official approach to road safety that goes with the cameras. It's policy that changed in 1993 or so, and it's policy that's doing the damage.

Anyway the deviation from former trend is very closely correlated with camera convictions. Have you seen this:

Image

from:
http://www.safespeed.org.uk/fatality.html

It was many weeks after I had published the "fatality" page that I spotted this close correlation - so don't go accusing me of bending the data to fit a preconception. (not that you would, of course... :) )

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PostPosted: Sat Sep 18, 2004 07:52 
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Søren wrote:
SafeSpeed Posted: Thu Sep 16, 2004 11:09 am Post subject:
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I don't believe for a second that the 85th percentile speed (let alone the 90th - frequently the safest) on the M6 Toll is under 104mph. Last time I drove it there was loads of 110mph traffic.

I?ll stuff the 85th percentile figure for the M6 toll under your nose if and when I find it. I hope it doesn?t embarrass you too much!


I'd be very interested to see it. Neither the Police nor the camera partnerships are routinely publishing speed survey data. It'd be interesting to see M6 toll speed survey data by month, by time of day, and by vehicle class. The last few times I've been "down" that way I've used the M6. I'd guess it was about February when I last drove the M6 Toll, and most of the traffic was over 100.

Søren wrote:
I?m intrigued by the 85th/90th percentile. The above graph in the thread must have data sources. Can you tell me what they are, and what actual factual rather than theoretical work shows the validity of the theory that 85th/90th percentile speeds are IN FACT the safest speeds, ie. researched data showing that 85th percentile speed on the motorway is IN FACT safer than 65mph on the motorway.


There's been plenty of research dating back to Soloman in 1963. The point of the research ISN'T that you can adjust speed to move along the risk curve. The point is that drivers with different skills tend to choose different speeds. Our most competent and careful drivers tend to travel rather faster than the average. More on:

http://www.safespeed.org.uk/speedlimits.html

Or try a Google on "85th percentile".

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PostPosted: Sat Sep 18, 2004 08:01 
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Søren wrote:
I don?t trust you at the speeds significantly over the limit, and unless youre the blue moon speeder who limits his motorway overtakes to within 15mph closing speed, I have every right not to trust you.


15mph differential is at around the bottom of the optimal range for typical motorway lane widths and circumstances, with 15 to 25mph differential offering minimum danger. (I expect you'll appreciate that time spent alongside is potentially dangerous, and that approaching at too high a speed increases the risk that you won't be able to slow in time if the target vehicle changes lane.)

What do you think the effect would have been if the government had explained optimal passing speeds using some of the resources wasted on "stick to the speed limit" messages? I think we might have seen a real improvement.

Very very few UK drivers have ever been told that there's an optimal passing speed.

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PostPosted: Sat Sep 18, 2004 08:09 
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Søren wrote:
I know of schools in my area (30mph limit) for which the 85th percentile speed at school times is well in excess of that limit. It?s a disgrace isn?t it, but your ladyfriend's speed would be welcome in that particular street to reduce the average speed. The speed vans are there regularly. Rightly so!


It's extremely unusual to find a dangerous 85th percentile speed.

Where they exist there's an engineering problem to be resolved.

Your reasoning is based entirely on the false assumption that the speed limit is a measure of safety.

Have you seen this:

http://www.safespeed.org.uk/rules.html ?

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PostPosted: Sat Sep 18, 2004 08:12 
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basingwerk wrote:
There is something special in this respect about speed - any speed above zero can be dangerous, so there is no grey layer between safe and dangerous behaviour ? legally, it?s all grey except for speeds over the absolute top speed, which is BLACK.


It's a shame the safety picture is so very different - No speed is unsafe unless it is inappropriate for the conditions.

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